Based on this contest's moneyline, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 74.9%. Oklahoma City has a record of 44-7 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -299 or shorter (winning 86.3%). Minnesota has a record of 2-3 when it is set as the underdog by +240 or more by sportsbooks this season. Oklahoma City is 33-15-1 ATS at home this season. Dunkel's Pick: Oklahoma City (-7.5)
While the Timberwolves have the talent to compete, the Thunder’s depth, experience, and home-court advantage make them the favorites in this matchup. Oklahoma City’s defensive schemes and the leadership of Gilgeous-Alexander are expected to be too much for Minnesota to overcome in Game 1. That said, I still like the Timberwolves to cover. This is just too many points.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Game 1 Betting Prediction: MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +7.5
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