NBA Totals - Tuesday 2-14-12

YTD (Overall): 20-15 / 57.1% (+7.5)

4 Unit Bets: (1-0)

3 Unit Bets: (0-0)

2 Unit Bets: (1-0)

1 Unit Bets: (18-15)

Yesterday's Thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=101269383

Today's Lines / Mine (Actual):

Toronto vs. New York: 182.5 (191.5)

Indiana vs. Miami: 191.6 (198.5)

Detroit vs. San Antonio: 190 (187)

Chicago vs. Sacramento: 186 (NL)

Memphis vs. Houston: 191 (189.5)

Oklahoma City vs. Utah: 194 (200.5)

Denver vs. Phoenix: 197 (205.5)

Portland vs. Washington: 191 (193.5)

LA Lakers vs. Atlanta: 181.5 (177.5)

You'll see the three games in bold that I'm going to do some more research on throughout the day. The variance between my total and the actual total for the Denver/Phoenix game is not large enough to consider. I had this same issue last night with the Golden State game; my line said UNDER was the play, which ended up hitting. I don't feel bad about missing that game - it will happen both ways, but I'm going to stick to my guns and wait for larger discrepencies before considering those plays.

i have the suns/nuggets under 207 locked in already.

the knicks/craptors total should go over. I'm leaning towards this play as well. just going to see how the line moves before locking it in.

i'll post my final plays in my thread as always.

good luck today.

cashin - I'm thinking of laying off that game to see how Amare fits into what I would consider this "new" Knicks offense. I've actually got that line about 9 points lower than the actual; it will most likely be a no-play for me. I just locked in the Suns/Nuggets UNDER 207 because I saw a lot of people on here posting about 206 or 206.5; I figured if I could get 207, I should jump on it ASAP. Good to know we'll be on the same side of that one and BOL on the Knicks play - it will be interesting to watch, that's for sure.

vasilli07 -

FINAL PLAYS:

Denver vs. Phoenix UNDER 207 (2 units)

With the line up to 207, this actually fell into my variance range that I am willing to play Denver games (+/- 10.0). I will be back throughout the day with one, possibly two, more pick(s).

FINAL PLAYS:

Denver vs. Phoenix UNDER 207

Toronto vs. New York UNDER 191

Unless the Oklahoma City/Utah game goes back up to 201.5, the two plays above will be it for the day. As far as the Toronto game is concerned, both defenses are ranked higher than the opposing offenses, with Toronto being ranked offensively as the 26th highest scoring home team, while the Knicks are 8th in the league in PPG allowed on the road. On the other hand, you've got the 11th ranked road offense for New York verses the 7th ranked home defense for Toronto. Both of these teams average in the low 90s and I do think there will be a bit of a learning curve for the Knicks integrating Amare back into the offense with Lin. One other note - all three of these refs are averaging less than 190 PPG so far this season.

Sorry, one last play to add:

Indiana vs. Miami UNDER 199 (1 unit)

Denver vs. Phoenix UNDER 207 (2 units) (PENDING)

Toronto vs. New York UNDER 191 (2 units) (PENDING)

Indiana vs. Miami UNDER 199 (1 unit)

Denver vs. Phoenix UNDER 207 (2 units) (PENDING)

Toronto vs. New York UNDER 191 (2 units)

Indiana vs. Miami UNDER 199 (1 unit)

Denver vs. Phoenix UNDER 207 (2 units)

Toronto vs. New York UNDER 191 (2 units)

Indiana vs. Miami UNDER 199 (1 unit)

mrod112 -