I think you already know this but you're the best capper here. no one can touch your POD record and the best part is that you don't bash, brag and you're always nice to people. now that you've added 2H plays, you're proving it even more.
I think you already know this but you're the best capper here. no one can touch your POD record and the best part is that you don't bash, brag and you're always nice to people. now that you've added 2H plays, you're proving it even more.
hey ax can you elaborate more on the portland Knicks under with some reasoning... thanks Id love to hear what you have to say about it
bighoot, these ares some of the trends i looked at. although not a huge sample, they are recent.
both team's O/U records this season lean towards the U
Under 4-1 in last 5 matchups between these two (1 over in OT)
Under is 4-1 last 5 when POR plays a sub .500 team
Under is 8-3 this season with POR at home vs sub .500 teams
Unders is 10-3 when Knicks are road dogs on 1 day rest
then you have trend everyone sees on Covers
Under is 6-2 in NY last 8 road games.
Under is 6-2 in NY last 8 vs. Western Conference.
Head to Head:
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Portland.
of course you can make these things say anything so I just go to stats.
POR is at home and the better team therefore it's not a big leap to say they dictate. POR's D holds opp 3-6 below the league avg while they score about the league avg. considering these two factors, we have an under 200 game.
hey ax can you elaborate more on the portland Knicks under with some reasoning... thanks Id love to hear what you have to say about it
bighoot, these ares some of the trends i looked at. although not a huge sample, they are recent.
both team's O/U records this season lean towards the U
Under 4-1 in last 5 matchups between these two (1 over in OT)
Under is 4-1 last 5 when POR plays a sub .500 team
Under is 8-3 this season with POR at home vs sub .500 teams
Unders is 10-3 when Knicks are road dogs on 1 day rest
then you have trend everyone sees on Covers
Under is 6-2 in NY last 8 road games.
Under is 6-2 in NY last 8 vs. Western Conference.
Head to Head:
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Portland.
of course you can make these things say anything so I just go to stats.
POR is at home and the better team therefore it's not a big leap to say they dictate. POR's D holds opp 3-6 below the league avg while they score about the league avg. considering these two factors, we have an under 200 game.
hey ax, i ended up playing that dallas under last night and got cornholed with ot. luck will change today hopefully. got a big card. hope we r on the same side. bol today
hey ax, i ended up playing that dallas under last night and got cornholed with ot. luck will change today hopefully. got a big card. hope we r on the same side. bol today
hey ax, i ended up playing that dallas under last night and got cornholed with ot. luck will change today hopefully. got a big card. hope we r on the same side. bol today
I took the 2H under on that game . When is Jason Kidd going to retire? LOL He turned my 5-1 2H night to a 4-2. There's some tricky numbers on the board today. I promise and trying to convince myself not to force any game. The OKC side looks like a bait and so does UTA. I'm not going to get caught up in that mess. Only winners today pal. GL
hey ax, i ended up playing that dallas under last night and got cornholed with ot. luck will change today hopefully. got a big card. hope we r on the same side. bol today
I took the 2H under on that game . When is Jason Kidd going to retire? LOL He turned my 5-1 2H night to a 4-2. There's some tricky numbers on the board today. I promise and trying to convince myself not to force any game. The OKC side looks like a bait and so does UTA. I'm not going to get caught up in that mess. Only winners today pal. GL
Check out the UNDER on the Lakers/Cavs game. The totals on the previous meetings were 184 and 193, and the Cavs always step it up on defence against high-class opponents, especially on their home court. It's my POD.
Check out the UNDER on the Lakers/Cavs game. The totals on the previous meetings were 184 and 193, and the Cavs always step it up on defence against high-class opponents, especially on their home court. It's my POD.
Check out the UNDER on the Lakers/Cavs game. The totals on the previous meetings were 184 and 193, and the Cavs always step it up on defence against high-class opponents, especially on their home court. It's my POD.
...and the Under is 5-1in the last 6 between these 2 where the total was set @ 200+. requires some investigating...thanks for pointing this out jlip. GL with your entire card today.
Check out the UNDER on the Lakers/Cavs game. The totals on the previous meetings were 184 and 193, and the Cavs always step it up on defence against high-class opponents, especially on their home court. It's my POD.
...and the Under is 5-1in the last 6 between these 2 where the total was set @ 200+. requires some investigating...thanks for pointing this out jlip. GL with your entire card today.
Thanks Whytt...those are kind words. Please don't expect this everyday. I've had a chance to devote a lot of time the last few days because I've had the flu. GL and please don't tail blindly .
Thanks Whytt...those are kind words. Please don't expect this everyday. I've had a chance to devote a lot of time the last few days because I've had the flu. GL and please don't tail blindly .
I have a few more but I want to go line shopping...
I just saw Chump is on this...I haven't been keeping track but when we're on the same side of a POD, the results are very positive. the number is moving up...do I dare buy more?
I have a few more but I want to go line shopping...
I just saw Chump is on this...I haven't been keeping track but when we're on the same side of a POD, the results are very positive. the number is moving up...do I dare buy more?
Hey Axp: I like that NY/Portland total, although I'm not sure I like it enough to buy on it.
Secondly: could I ask how you cap your second half totals? You've been on fire!
I understand jlipp...value is also in the eyes of the beholder.
Yes. I have a regression model for performance I've been tweeking the last month or so. How a team plays in the 1H is very indicative of how they will perform in the 2H. As whytteoutt has pointed out to me, the model isn't that great with sides. I also pay very close attention to how much the team deviate from expection as I predict the 1H. Given the data, I have a nice comfort zone with both the team's projected 2H numbers and thus the total for both teams. To sum it up...I pay close attention to the teams and how they play in the 1H, they'll tell you better than anyone how they'll perform in the 2H. There are 3 2H score predictions made each with their own set of dependent variables. All 3 must agree for there to be a play.
I will be posting 2H plays here today. crap...i hope i don't jinx myself by posting.
Hey Axp: I like that NY/Portland total, although I'm not sure I like it enough to buy on it.
Secondly: could I ask how you cap your second half totals? You've been on fire!
I understand jlipp...value is also in the eyes of the beholder.
Yes. I have a regression model for performance I've been tweeking the last month or so. How a team plays in the 1H is very indicative of how they will perform in the 2H. As whytteoutt has pointed out to me, the model isn't that great with sides. I also pay very close attention to how much the team deviate from expection as I predict the 1H. Given the data, I have a nice comfort zone with both the team's projected 2H numbers and thus the total for both teams. To sum it up...I pay close attention to the teams and how they play in the 1H, they'll tell you better than anyone how they'll perform in the 2H. There are 3 2H score predictions made each with their own set of dependent variables. All 3 must agree for there to be a play.
I will be posting 2H plays here today. crap...i hope i don't jinx myself by posting.
axpiota, so what are your plays for today? I've seen you post a lot of questions and thoughts but you haven't picked anything for sure. What are your 3 best plays today?
axpiota, so what are your plays for today? I've seen you post a lot of questions and thoughts but you haven't picked anything for sure. What are your 3 best plays today?
axpiota, so what are your plays for today? I've seen you post a lot of questions and thoughts but you haven't picked anything for sure. What are your 3 best plays today?
there are no sure things but I have 2 plays up on this thread I've locked in and my POD is posted in WBA thread.
axpiota, so what are your plays for today? I've seen you post a lot of questions and thoughts but you haven't picked anything for sure. What are your 3 best plays today?
there are no sure things but I have 2 plays up on this thread I've locked in and my POD is posted in WBA thread.
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