NBA playoffs 1st round

Pick: Cavs -4.5 first half, extreme mismatch in this series, the only problem is the best 4 starters (Allen, Mobley, Beard,Spida) of Cavs rarely play together, only 7 games this season, but when they do, the net rating is +38 , this is true contender caliber stats, also Cavs basically top 10 for both off/def metrics, only weakness is 3 pt defense, but raps 3 pts offense is nearly dead last, however I dont trust the Cavs just yet, their ATS record is terrible during the season.... I can only trust them first half

BOL everyone

Good luck Yorosan.  

@yorosan

Cavs -4.5 FH 

@yorosan

 Another winner 

Nice

Craptors shooting 8-15 from 3 made this closer than it needed to be.  

Add: Ant man + 7

Well, this is a rivalry playoffs series, and Minny always play Joker tough, pretty sure this series will go distance

Ant-man:29+ PPG vs Nuggets in playoffs and multiple 40+ pts games vs Nuggets, exactly the spot he will put on a show

Good luck guys

Pick: Magic + 9 BIG

good luck everyone

@yorosan

 Good luck Yoro 

@yorosan

@yorosan

 Magic 

@Yessss88

 thank you as always 

@yorosan

 Get another one tomorrow....Great Capping...

teams down 0-1 with losing more than 10+ pts

game 2 it favors underdog , which cover at 57% rate

Pick: Raps + 8.5, I will make this as a big bet if Quickley play (he's a very disruptive defender), anyhow, this is a bet against Cavs, with possible shooting regression from game 1 for both 3 pts shooting and expect Max Strus wont be on fire again 

Pick: Ant + 7.5 whenever it comes to playoffs games, eye test is very important , from what I saw Minny actually played a terrible game offensively and Ant still not on his best form, however they keep it close for 75% of the game, and my bias is this series shhould go 6-7 games , game 2 is the best bounce back spot for Ant/Randle

BOL 

@lmb4321

 thank you bro, good luck in the playoffs

@yorosan

Not really imo

It really depends on how good you think both home teams are. Not sure I wanna fade the Nuggs on their hot streak right now.

Since 2015 home teams who won by DD have won by 8 or more 12 of 19 times.I dont see a real advantage for the road team. If the road team won I think probably a slight advantage for the home team. I do lean a shot at the Raps but not sure yet.

The editing on the site is trash

Since 2015 home teams who  are 4/5 or 3/6 matchups won and  by DD game 1 of the 1st round have won by 8 or more 12 of 19 times.I dont see a real advantage for the road team. If the road team won I think probably a slight advantage for the home team. I do lean a shot at the Raps but not sure yet.

As I have said yesterday teams lost double digits in game 1 and they have good chance to cover game 2 as dog again 

if I have to pick the top five teams with raw talent in this playoffs, I think blazers should be there, basically they have very good players at all positions , similar to da spurs, and Deni has been on fire lately, if his supporting cast especially Scoot and clingan play a bit better, they have chance to upset the spurs

pick: blazers + 11.5

Blazers 

When home favorite team being upset in first game, they cover 66% ats in game 2 (1st round stats)

Pick: Detroit FH - 5, Magic never trailed in game 1 , I will assume Pistons will make alot of adjustments and fix it, as for the Magic, I think too much hype after last game win, as you can see the players comment are pretty high and say they deserve .....blah, blah, this is closed to a must win bounce back spot for Pistons, but again I dont trust them full game

Good luck everyone 

Playoffs record: 4-3 , BIG bet (1-0)

In a must win situation 

First-half ATS 

• Home teams down 0–2 in Game 3:
  ?? 88–45–2 ATS (66%) since 2005
• Since 2015:
  ?? ~73.5% ATS (36–13–1)
  
  
  Pick: Houston -5 first half (BIG) and full game -8.5 (normal) , just because my previous pick I try to pick detroit first half and they end up covering full game
  
  And as we all know fakers not really a team that is unbeatable, especially without Luka
  
  BOL everyone
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Damnn on it