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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    *** NBA Playoffs - Round 2 ***

    «First Previous 789 ... 8910 Next Last»
    rod_steel
    boulay
    jpot34
    Macwestie1
    dcp1985
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 67253
    Posts: 249
    «First Previous 789 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:24 PM ET #151

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    If you beat the closing lines, books will know you are a winner and will limit your action.  Have you ever been limited before at a book?  If you consistently beat the closing line, your limits will get reduced.


    Look at leaguecappers plays.  Is he beating the closing line or not?  Nope.  That is why he is welcomed to bet at the books.  Also his sample size is not even much.  But according to covers cappers, its seems to be a lot.  Most modelers and legit cappers have a ton of plays.  If a line is off by 1 point, they will bet it because there is an edge.  Leaguecapper is just an average joe and nothing more.  Again, nothing wrong with that.  But when you start talking like a big know it all etc, that is when the problem occurs.  


    Have you notice he not once talked about games he got lucky in?  I saw some posts of his and few times the team he is betting on were down a lot of points and basically backdoored covered.  He didn't mention anything about it.  If he does, its a quick comment.  Yet all his unlucky plays, he talks about it many times.  That is why others don't go to his threads much anymore. 


    Again, leaguecapper, do you have a model?  Are you a modeler?  You wonder why he is not answering the question.







    What model do you use when capping games?
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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    If you beat the closing lines, books will know you are a winner and will limit your action.  Have you ever been limited before at a book?  If you consistently beat the closing line, your limits will get reduced.


    Look at leaguecappers plays.  Is he beating the closing line or not?  Nope.  That is why he is welcomed to bet at the books.  Also his sample size is not even much.  But according to covers cappers, its seems to be a lot.  Most modelers and legit cappers have a ton of plays.  If a line is off by 1 point, they will bet it because there is an edge.  Leaguecapper is just an average joe and nothing more.  Again, nothing wrong with that.  But when you start talking like a big know it all etc, that is when the problem occurs.  


    Have you notice he not once talked about games he got lucky in?  I saw some posts of his and few times the team he is betting on were down a lot of points and basically backdoored covered.  He didn't mention anything about it.  If he does, its a quick comment.  Yet all his unlucky plays, he talks about it many times.  That is why others don't go to his threads much anymore. 


    Again, leaguecapper, do you have a model?  Are you a modeler?  You wonder why he is not answering the question.







    What model do you use when capping games?
     
    boulay
    boulay
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:26 PM ET #152

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    Go ask him about kelly criterion. .

     

    Hmm, maybe you should start posting plays. Seems like you made this account today just to post on Leagues threads... So you're hiding behind a fake user name? Had to make a new one because you're too afraid to show who you really are?

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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    Go ask him about kelly criterion. .

     

    Hmm, maybe you should start posting plays. Seems like you made this account today just to post on Leagues threads... So you're hiding behind a fake user name? Had to make a new one because you're too afraid to show who you really are?

     
    jpot34
    jpot34
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:30 PM ET #153

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    Leaguecapper isn't responding to my questions because he doesn't have any.  Average capper on the short positive side of variance and does not use math.  That is why books allow him to bet.

     

    Houston, book this mongoloid!    confused

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    Leaguecapper isn't responding to my questions because he doesn't have any.  Average capper on the short positive side of variance and does not use math.  That is why books allow him to bet.

     

    Houston, book this mongoloid!    confused

     
    Macwestie1
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:37 PM ET #154

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    Leaguecapper isn't responding to my questions because he doesn't have any.  Average capper on the short positive side of variance and does not use math.  That is why books allow him to bet.

     

    You mah man have waaaaay too much time on your handsnew_sleeping1

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    Leaguecapper isn't responding to my questions because he doesn't have any.  Average capper on the short positive side of variance and does not use math.  That is why books allow him to bet.

     

    You mah man have waaaaay too much time on your handsnew_sleeping1

     
    dcp1985
    dcp1985
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:39 PM ET #155

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    I'm a totals capper.  I don't cap playoffs because there is very little edge to be had.  I factor in possessions, tempo and many others things that I won't discuss here.  


    I have totals capped already before the opening lines come up.  If anything is off by a certain amount of points, i bet the opener.  Simple as that.  That is what a legit capper and modeler does.


    Leaguecapper, what does he do?  He bets on feel, nothing more.  Also many of plays come close to when it starts.  You are not beating any closing line that way.  What do you think his average closing line value is for the games he bets?  I give you a clue.  Its not in the plus.  

    BAHAHAHAHAHAHA!  This is pure gold!

    You factor in a bunch of things you won't disclose here, yet expect LC to just lay every x and o of his methods out.
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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    I'm a totals capper.  I don't cap playoffs because there is very little edge to be had.  I factor in possessions, tempo and many others things that I won't discuss here.  


    I have totals capped already before the opening lines come up.  If anything is off by a certain amount of points, i bet the opener.  Simple as that.  That is what a legit capper and modeler does.


    Leaguecapper, what does he do?  He bets on feel, nothing more.  Also many of plays come close to when it starts.  You are not beating any closing line that way.  What do you think his average closing line value is for the games he bets?  I give you a clue.  Its not in the plus.  

    BAHAHAHAHAHAHA!  This is pure gold!

    You factor in a bunch of things you won't disclose here, yet expect LC to just lay every x and o of his methods out.
     
    dcp1985
    dcp1985
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:40 PM ET #156

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    I haven't posted in this forum in a while.  Don't remember my old username here.  I just browse it from time to time.  The reason i posted this was its pretty disgusting when an average capper who has no use of math posts and then gets praise when he basically bets on feel.  Now if he does beat the closing line, then i won't have anything to say against him.  But he is not beating the closing line.


    The post that caught my attention the most and assured me he was not legit when he says the true line was Rams -3 against the Patriots.  That pretty much summed it up.


    I don't post plays in the playoffs because i don't have much plays in the playoffs.  Again very little edge to be had.  Lines are not off by much.  Ask any legit capper and most will tell you after the regular season is over, very few bets in the playoffs in any sport compared to regular season.


    I do bet openers across pinnacle, betcris etc.  If i post them, i will obviously post them after im done betting and don't plan to get more down.  Im obviously not going to post over 222, if i plan to get more down later on as more money on one side would give me a worst line.


    There is no purpose of me posting my plays.  I do my work.  I do my numbers.  I spend time doing it.  I beat the closing line.  I also don't sell plays like those fake touts who can't win.


    Also I have access to pretty much every Non-US and US book out there.  Someone like leaguecapper who is most likely in the US probably doesn't even have a pinnacle account.  Anyone that is legit has one.  




    I remember your old username...it was donny20000000
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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    I haven't posted in this forum in a while.  Don't remember my old username here.  I just browse it from time to time.  The reason i posted this was its pretty disgusting when an average capper who has no use of math posts and then gets praise when he basically bets on feel.  Now if he does beat the closing line, then i won't have anything to say against him.  But he is not beating the closing line.


    The post that caught my attention the most and assured me he was not legit when he says the true line was Rams -3 against the Patriots.  That pretty much summed it up.


    I don't post plays in the playoffs because i don't have much plays in the playoffs.  Again very little edge to be had.  Lines are not off by much.  Ask any legit capper and most will tell you after the regular season is over, very few bets in the playoffs in any sport compared to regular season.


    I do bet openers across pinnacle, betcris etc.  If i post them, i will obviously post them after im done betting and don't plan to get more down.  Im obviously not going to post over 222, if i plan to get more down later on as more money on one side would give me a worst line.


    There is no purpose of me posting my plays.  I do my work.  I do my numbers.  I spend time doing it.  I beat the closing line.  I also don't sell plays like those fake touts who can't win.


    Also I have access to pretty much every Non-US and US book out there.  Someone like leaguecapper who is most likely in the US probably doesn't even have a pinnacle account.  Anyone that is legit has one.  




    I remember your old username...it was donny20000000
     
    Clemenza
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 5:41 PM ET #157

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

     

    You mah man have waaaaay too much time on your handsnew_sleeping1


    says the guy who has spent 15 years on a forum with 115k posts.  cool emoji's, though.  try using more.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

     

    You mah man have waaaaay too much time on your handsnew_sleeping1


    says the guy who has spent 15 years on a forum with 115k posts.  cool emoji's, though.  try using more.
     
    dcp1985
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 6:05 PM ET #158

    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    I never said have leaguecapper lay every x and o.  The question is hey leaguecapper, do you use a model and are you a modeler?  That is all.  Then use any term that might be related to what he uses.


    I already know he is not a modeler.  He basically is an average joe who bets on feel on what he thinks will happen.  And of course trying to sound smart.


    Ask him if he knows what full or half kelly is?  He probably doesn't.

    Not very bright are you?  If you already know why do you keep asking?  If you haven't noticed, nobody else here gives a crap what you think.
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    Quote Originally Posted by donshow1:

    I never said have leaguecapper lay every x and o.  The question is hey leaguecapper, do you use a model and are you a modeler?  That is all.  Then use any term that might be related to what he uses.


    I already know he is not a modeler.  He basically is an average joe who bets on feel on what he thinks will happen.  And of course trying to sound smart.


    Ask him if he knows what full or half kelly is?  He probably doesn't.

    Not very bright are you?  If you already know why do you keep asking?  If you haven't noticed, nobody else here gives a crap what you think.
     
    brewster
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 6:10 PM ET #159

    “Most modelers and legit cappers have a ton of plays.” Um, no they don’t. They put high wagers on few plays. Say nothing further, sir. You don’t know what you’re talking about.
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    “Most modelers and legit cappers have a ton of plays.” Um, no they don’t. They put high wagers on few plays. Say nothing further, sir. You don’t know what you’re talking about.
     
    omb1
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 6:26 PM ET #160

    Donny / donshow / DavidStone...whatever your name is you are clearly unbalanced and obsessed with LC, and obviously lost a lot of money on the Rams and are still sore about it. 

    As far as math and algorithms and all of that, you should understand that there are a lot of consistently successful cappers, professional or otherwise, that do not rely solely on "systems".  They also do not have to "beat the closing line" to be considered a good capper.  That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard. 

    As far as I'm concerned. the closing line is whatever it says it is on my betting ticket.

    Idiot.


     
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    Donny / donshow / DavidStone...whatever your name is you are clearly unbalanced and obsessed with LC, and obviously lost a lot of money on the Rams and are still sore about it. 

    As far as math and algorithms and all of that, you should understand that there are a lot of consistently successful cappers, professional or otherwise, that do not rely solely on "systems".  They also do not have to "beat the closing line" to be considered a good capper.  That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard. 

    As far as I'm concerned. the closing line is whatever it says it is on my betting ticket.

    Idiot.


     
     
    bigdude
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 6:31 PM ET #161

    LC

    Gets tough when your this good ..  X on your back from the beta males like this MORON..

    Hate and envy go with greed ..

    bad characteristics .. 

    long as the outcome is income ... FXXX A HATER . 

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    LC

    Gets tough when your this good ..  X on your back from the beta males like this MORON..

    Hate and envy go with greed ..

    bad characteristics .. 

    long as the outcome is income ... FXXX A HATER . 

     
    westcoastguido
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 6:41 PM ET #162

    Easy up people!  donshow1 was dropped on his head when he was a child. It's not his fault. 

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    Easy up people!  donshow1 was dropped on his head when he was a child. It's not his fault. 

     
    swanbomb
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 6:43 PM ET #163

    Quote Originally Posted by omb1:

    Donny / donshow / DavidStone...whatever your name is you are clearly unbalanced and obsessed with LC, and obviously lost a lot of money on the Rams and are still sore about it. 

    As far as math and algorithms and all of that, you should understand that there are a lot of consistently successful cappers, professional or otherwise, that do not rely solely on "systems".  They also do not have to "beat the closing line" to be considered a good capper.  That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard. 

    As far as I'm concerned. the closing line is whatever it says it is on my betting ticket.

    Idiot.


     

    Well said. Agreed.
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    Quote Originally Posted by omb1:

    Donny / donshow / DavidStone...whatever your name is you are clearly unbalanced and obsessed with LC, and obviously lost a lot of money on the Rams and are still sore about it. 

    As far as math and algorithms and all of that, you should understand that there are a lot of consistently successful cappers, professional or otherwise, that do not rely solely on "systems".  They also do not have to "beat the closing line" to be considered a good capper.  That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard. 

    As far as I'm concerned. the closing line is whatever it says it is on my betting ticket.

    Idiot.


     

    Well said. Agreed.
     
    Erich777
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    Posted: May. 9, 2019 - 8:46 PM ET #164

    The Dubs play better without KD v Hou. CP is a shell of former self, and Harden can’t handle the pace. Good luck on series but at least it’s only 2x

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    The Dubs play better without KD v Hou. CP is a shell of former self, and Harden can’t handle the pace. Good luck on series but at least it’s only 2x

     
    lmb4321
    lmb4321
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 12:45 AM ET #165

    LC....I feel this line of Rockets -7 is such an inflated line...
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    LC....I feel this line of Rockets -7 is such an inflated line...
     
    richwins81
    richwins81
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 7:38 AM ET #166

    LC - as always thanks for all the hard work.  

    Any changes in thought from toronto/PHI game 7?  I know you have them for the series.

    Good luck w/ Houston.

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    LC - as always thanks for all the hard work.  

    Any changes in thought from toronto/PHI game 7?  I know you have them for the series.

    Good luck w/ Houston.

     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 9:56 AM ET #167

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    LC....I feel this line of Rockets -7 is such an inflated line...

    How so? I think people think because the Warriors won 73 games without Durant that they are still that team without him. This is a much older GS team now with a depleted bench, and playing a Houston team that knows how to beat them better than any team in the NBA. If I didn't have so much riding on Houston already this would be a bigger play, but I expect a comfortable Rockets victory tonight
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    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    LC....I feel this line of Rockets -7 is such an inflated line...

    How so? I think people think because the Warriors won 73 games without Durant that they are still that team without him. This is a much older GS team now with a depleted bench, and playing a Houston team that knows how to beat them better than any team in the NBA. If I didn't have so much riding on Houston already this would be a bigger play, but I expect a comfortable Rockets victory tonight
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 9:57 AM ET #168

    Quote Originally Posted by richwins81:

    LC - as always thanks for all the hard work.  

    Any changes in thought from toronto/PHI game 7?  I know you have them for the series.

    Good luck w/ Houston.


    No changes, definitely a little nervous given how much we have riding on Toronto and with that juice. Would have liked for them to close it out earlier but what can you do. Role players will have to step up tomorrow and get it done for us.
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    Quote Originally Posted by richwins81:

    LC - as always thanks for all the hard work.  

    Any changes in thought from toronto/PHI game 7?  I know you have them for the series.

    Good luck w/ Houston.


    No changes, definitely a little nervous given how much we have riding on Toronto and with that juice. Would have liked for them to close it out earlier but what can you do. Role players will have to step up tomorrow and get it done for us.
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 9:59 AM ET #169

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Adding one more on tomorrow
    1. Rockets -7 -108 (2x) gm 6
    2. Rockets +220 series (2x)

    Just these two for tonight
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Adding one more on tomorrow
    1. Rockets -7 -108 (2x) gm 6
    2. Rockets +220 series (2x)

    Just these two for tonight
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 1:22 PM ET #170

    Waiting for the hook to come back, will be making some upgrades
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    Waiting for the hook to come back, will be making some upgrades
     
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 1:30 PM ET #171

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
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    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 

     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 1:32 PM ET #172

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 


    5d as well, you were just a lil late as the price has been dropping since yesterday.

    560126840-15/9/19 3:32pm$2,000.00$4,400.00Pending5/10/19 9:00pm  NBA Basketball  1221 Houston Rockets (Series) +220* vs Golden State Warriors (Series) 

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    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 


    5d as well, you were just a lil late as the price has been dropping since yesterday.

    560126840-15/9/19 3:32pm$2,000.00$4,400.00Pending5/10/19 9:00pm  NBA Basketball  1221 Houston Rockets (Series) +220* vs Golden State Warriors (Series) 

     
    Skog
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 2:12 PM ET #173

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 
    5d as well, you were just a lil late as the price has been dropping since yesterday.560126840-15/9/19 3:32pm$2,000.00$4,400.00Pending5/10/19 9:00pm  NBA Basketball  1221 Houston Rockets (Series) +220* vs Golden State Warriors (Series)

    Best of luck I followed on Rockets -7 -115 tonight 

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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 
    5d as well, you were just a lil late as the price has been dropping since yesterday.560126840-15/9/19 3:32pm$2,000.00$4,400.00Pending5/10/19 9:00pm  NBA Basketball  1221 Houston Rockets (Series) +220* vs Golden State Warriors (Series)

    Best of luck I followed on Rockets -7 -115 tonight 

     
    ByTheBay
    ByTheBay
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 2:17 PM ET #174

    I have the -7 -110 with local right now

    What kind of upgrade we looking at boss?

    Rockets/Raptors teaser?
    Rockets/Raptors money line parlay?
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    I have the -7 -110 with local right now

    What kind of upgrade we looking at boss?

    Rockets/Raptors teaser?
    Rockets/Raptors money line parlay?
     
     
    gambleholic63
    gambleholic63
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    Posted: May. 10, 2019 - 2:23 PM ET #175

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 
    5d as well, you were just a lil late as the price has been dropping since yesterday.560126840-15/9/19 3:32pm$2,000.00$4,400.00Pending5/10/19 9:00pm  NBA Basketball  1221 Houston Rockets (Series) +220* vs Golden State Warriors (Series)

    I played this at +170 yesterday morning so you definitely got the jump. I figured the odds on the money line vs a projected Rockets -1 or -2 in the finals and the plus 170 was the correct price. You beat the market considerably. Nice job.

    Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

    Just curious where you are getting a +220 series line LC. Best I can get is +170 at 5dimes. 
    5d as well, you were just a lil late as the price has been dropping since yesterday.560126840-15/9/19 3:32pm$2,000.00$4,400.00Pending5/10/19 9:00pm  NBA Basketball  1221 Houston Rockets (Series) +220* vs Golden State Warriors (Series)

    I played this at +170 yesterday morning so you definitely got the jump. I figured the odds on the money line vs a projected Rockets -1 or -2 in the finals and the plus 170 was the correct price. You beat the market considerably. Nice job.

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