NBA picks, Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Will update record tomorrow...

Plays:

1. Chicago Bulls -6.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1 -- Don't generally like laying road chalk but this should be closer to -9 in my mind. Cleveland is just terrible right now and nothing has gone right in the last week. Now they finally hit the end of this stretch of the schedule. Chicago off on one day rest and CLE playing their 4th game in 5 nights (all four ATS losses) and fifth game in seven days (all five ATS losses). They just want this part of the schedule -- MIA at home followed by 3 road games in 5 days -- to be over with. If CHI brings it on the defensive end they should be able to cover this number IMO. Tough matchups all around for CLE as well, not even Varejao will have an advantage on really any of the CHI big men now that Boozer is back. Slight lookahead potential with CHI with the LAL on deck.

2. San Antonio Spurs -11 (-110), 2.2 to win 2 -- Poor Golden State, 3rd game in four nights and tail end of a B2B in San Antonio after playing Dallas. Tough spot for them. They covered in Dallas (but then again, who hasn't) but San Antonio, off of 2 days rest, is a completely different beast. San Antonio is just blowing teams out, including blowing Golden State out by 20 (winning each quarter outright by 4, 6, 8, and 2 -- just consistently better). I'll probably bite on this fishy line. GSW is 1-6 ATS in their last seven in San Antonio and 0-5 ATS last five meetings against Spurs. Look at GSW B2B this year: beat TOR and Minnesota SU and ATS, lost SU and ATS to Chicago and Denver. You tell me which of those two categories San Antonio belongs in as it relates to quality of competition for GSW on a B2B.

3. Utah Jazz ML (-120), 1.8 to win 1.5 -- alright MIA, prove you can beat a very good home team in a tough atmosphere. Utah is strong in areas that MIA is weak (PG and interior defense/rebounding) so matchups favor UTAH in my opinion, and you know Sloan will coach circles around Spoelestra. I think this line will creep up tomorrow and wanted to lock in a good ML price.

Good luck to everyone

Really like the Jazz tomorrow Kap.

I think miami can win this game just bet it or fade me GL

I see you are still up, looking ahead. I agree that being on the west coast helps to see the early lines, but I think it helps to read the movement in the morning.

If those games are already played I wish you nothing but luck. Always seem to read your threads.

Updated record:


YTD: 34-35-1, -4.37 units

 kaponfor

GL kap 

like the JAZZ kap---------good luck with rest of your card

going to be on the 1st and 3rd ones myself - gl kap

Well I got a terrible line on the Jazz ML, its available at PICK -105 on 5dimes right now

Also got -11 instead of -10.5 on the Spurs game

But I did get a point of value on the Chicago game

BOL K43  

Outstanding card buddy, always like reading your thoughts and analysis.  Best of luck CM Punk (Great commentator too)

Kap, IMHO, is one of best cappers on the board. Especially like to tail his Pac-10 picks. I cannot argue with any of these Association picks tonight. Also liking Knicks and Hornets. bol to all.

He sure is, huh? It amazes me that he was such a hated heel with the SES and now after, what, three weeks of commentary he's already getting crowds chanting for him and face pops when he stepped to the podium to read the GM e-mail? Just goes to show how amazing the guy is. I hope they have something big planned for him for Wrestlemania.

Thanks for the kind words rangers but my records really don't bear me out as being one of the best on the board. I appreciate the love though

Thanks for dropping in, guys... appreciate the sentiment

Man I'd really love to have a positive day today... I've had like 3-4 negative days in a row. Would be great for my morale

I think you've got yourself a winner with San Ant.  I think this line ought to be around -14.  GL 

Amen! brotha   I have been bombing these picks lately

Lets turn it around tonight Kap  BOL!

Record keeping, another losing day


1. Chicago Bulls -6.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1
2. San Antonio Spurs -11 (-110), 2.2 to win 2 
3. Utah Jazz ML (-120), 1.8 to win 1.5

1-2, -0.90 units
YTD: 35-37-1, -5.27 units