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NBA 2nd HALF 3/7/2013 SOLID PLAYS !!! Mostly right, sometimes wrong !!

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Prospect
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Posted: #76
Hey Pho, just curious, how come you always post your 2H plays last minute? I usually miss half your plays cause they're too late and my book is closed already.
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by ronh_pm:

Not sure how In Play works but they have NYK to win at +390. Is that not a better bet than NYK +4.5 @ -110?

Sorry - not rhetorical, I dont' know?



+390 to a +4.5 line is pretty strong...

Most +8 teams in the NBA are +400.

Probably has more to do with only having half a game to come back for the win.
 
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Posted: #78
Hey Pho, just curious, how come you always post your 2H plays last minute? I usually miss half your plays cause they're too late and my book is closed already.
 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by ronh_pm:

Not sure how In Play works but they have NYK to win at +390. Is that not a better bet than NYK +4.5 @ -110?

Sorry - not rhetorical, I dont' know?

Ron, they don't have to win the game to get paid at +4.5.  Score could be even or OKC could increase the lead 2nd H and you can still win....

 
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Posted: #80

Quote Originally Posted by trustandfall:



+390 to a +4.5 line is pretty strong...

Most +8 teams in the NBA are +400.

Probably has more to do with only having half a game to come back for the win.

It seems to me, in this case at least it is the same bet. I don't play in game so not too sure if I'm missing something.

 
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Posted: #81
loy marymount 2h  big
 
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Posted: #82
2H under deep, my 204  still alive
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by Phodacbiet:

NYK +4.5 Gl guys we're going to need it.

 
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Posted: #84

Quote Originally Posted by Phodacbiet:

Small OVER 101

take the over now phod, 5-2 in the first 5 min..............

 
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Posted: #85
He said small play.   Chill out!
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by ronh_pm:

It seems to me, in this case at least it is the same bet. I don't play in game so not too sure if I'm missing something.

Not the same bet at all.  OKC is up by 3 at half and giving 4.5 more.  So Knicks can lose FG by 7 and you'd still win at +4.5.  But on that money line, Knicks have to win the game outright.  So you're deciding between 7.5 points FG or getting +390 FG....

 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by telemaco22:


telemaco u didn't play anyways what do you care. ?? Post was late. 

 
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Posted: #88
Bitcching too  much telemaco. when you don't even have money on the game. Why don't you post ur own thread and I will come over throw a couple of  these on ur thread. fackin ahole.
 
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Posted: #89
Its really a matter of whether you want 7.5 points, or want to take a shot that they'll win the game outright for a big payout....
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by Phodacbiet:

Bitcching too  much telemaco. when you don't even have money on the game. Why don't you post ur own thread and I will come over throw a couple of  these on ur thread. fackin ahole.


PHO KEEP YOUR HEAD UP... DONT LET THESE HATERS GET TO YOU.... KEEP DOING THE GREAT JOB YOUR DOING... WE ALL APPRECIATE IT !!!!!  
 
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Posted: #91
Lata game left boys so chill
 
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Posted: #92
MSU over 2H ???
 
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Posted: #93
or under lol....pho doesn't like this one
 
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Posted: #94
fkkk them clowns pho..some of these guys are trolls/clowns whatever u wanna call em, dont let them bother u .. ur doing good bro..
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:

Not the same bet at all.  OKC is up by 3 at half and giving 4.5 more.  So Knicks can lose FG by 7 and you'd still win at +4.5.  But on that money line, Knicks have to win the game outright.  So you're deciding between 7.5 points FG or getting +390 FG....

Ah - gotcha. I see what I overlooked in that the Knicks can still lose but cover the 4.5. I was thinking that if they covered the 4.5 they would win...not necessarily.

Thanks peeps!

 
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Posted: #96
Telemaco youz a person
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by ronh_pm:

Ah - gotcha. I see what I overlooked in that the Knicks can still lose but cover the 4.5. I was thinking that if they covered the 4.5 they would win...not necessarily.

Thanks peeps!

Actually, by covering the 4.5 2nd H they're covering 7.5 FG, because they started the 2nd down by 3.  So you're getting 7.5 versus that FG bet of +390 for them to win.

But here's the thing....  Most books value a half point around .10 or less, so if you buy 1/2 on a full game you'll lay -120 (or less) rather than -110.  So if you look at "buying" 7.5 points that should cost 150, making the FG line worth 260 (110 +150 = 260).  So unless I f*cked up the math, getting +390 on the FG is a great deal on a close game at the half....

 
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Posted: #98
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:

Actually, by covering the 4.5 2nd H they're covering 7.5 FG, because they started the 2nd down by 3.  So you're getting 7.5 versus that FG bet of +390 for them to win.

But here's the thing....  Most books value a half point around .10 or less, so if you buy 1/2 on a full game you'll lay -120 (or less) rather than -110.  So if you look at "buying" 7.5 points that should cost 150, making the FG line worth 260 (110 +150 = 260).  So unless I f*cked up the math, getting +390 on the FG is a great deal on a close game at the half....

I'll save this and Trusandfall'd write up to try and figure it out when I'm not too busy losing my behind trying to pick NCAA 2nd halves.

Generally I tail and I don't know much about how it all works but I am having some fun working through it.

Thanks for taking the time to explain guys.

 
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Posted: #99
Pho just ignore them! They'll get tired after a while.. Losers!!!! 
 
 
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Posted: #100
Eastern Kentucky -2.5

and OVER 77 small
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