We have all been waiting for this moment. As the MLB season comes to a close and midway through NFL season, I am wishing everyone a profitable NBA season ahead. We are up for another wild ride. I will be more disciplined to post stats about my plays.
Season stats (0-0)
Rockets TT u110.5 -115 on DraftKings
Holmgren o2.5 -125 blocks+steals
SGA o6.5 -107 on DK
-OKC allowed on average 107.36 opponent points per game at home in the 2024-25 season.
-Against Western Conference opponents overall, OKC’s defense shows opponents score around 108.71 points per game.
-The Rockets have averaged 105.8 points per game against the Thunder (all head-to-head matchups) over their history.
-With FVV sidelined, we can expect the Rockets to play the slow pace with Amen and Reed Sheppard as PGs. No known floor general for the Rockets will be a great disadvantage pacing this game. Durant's iso play can only do so much. Their length can be a good factor too to slow down OKC's scoring and this game can go under. I can see this game not go over the 227.5 total with OKC dominating.
-Chet will be matched against Jabari Smith Jr and Alperen Sengun, both operate in paint and takes most of their shots in layups or dunks. Chet averaged 2.6 bpg last season at home vs 1.8bpg on the road. With his match ups taking more shots in the paint I can see him getting 2 blocks easily. He also averaged 0.8 steals at home last season
+EV Parlays (0-0)
+350 Parlay on DK
SGA +1 steal
Thompson +1 steal
Dort +1 steal
Caruso +1 steal
Holmgreen +2 blocks
Wallace +1 steal
Good luck to everyone!
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