I guess the crazy got worse. This is the 2nd time this month there were more blown leads than safe leads.
December had 2. November had 2. October had 2. January already has 2 (1/1 and 1/11). There may be some good betting spots if this continues.
WAS/OKC was supposed to be the safe game, and it flipped. Got confused with DEN/LAC. Stuck with the plan that LAC games blow leads, and it did. Hit LAC ML+775.
Rolling 2-week period (12/29 - 1/11)
LAC MIL NOP are now tied as the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAMS in the NBA. Don't trust a lead with these teams in the game.
HOU MIA PHI POR are the MOST RELIABLE TEAMS in the NBA, over the 2-week period.
2021-2022 NBA Season
For the season, BOS is the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAM. CHA is just behind them.
For the season, MIA is the MOST RELIABLE TEAM. POR is just above them.
Wednesday (1/12) has a great game for blown leads... LAL/SAC. Anything with BOS would have to be included... BOS/IND.
The best game for a safe lead is MIA/ATL. That has got to be the MOST RELIABLE matchup this year.
0
Tuesday action...
I guess the crazy got worse. This is the 2nd time this month there were more blown leads than safe leads.
December had 2. November had 2. October had 2. January already has 2 (1/1 and 1/11). There may be some good betting spots if this continues.
WAS/OKC was supposed to be the safe game, and it flipped. Got confused with DEN/LAC. Stuck with the plan that LAC games blow leads, and it did. Hit LAC ML+775.
Rolling 2-week period (12/29 - 1/11)
LAC MIL NOP are now tied as the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAMS in the NBA. Don't trust a lead with these teams in the game.
HOU MIA PHI POR are the MOST RELIABLE TEAMS in the NBA, over the 2-week period.
2021-2022 NBA Season
For the season, BOS is the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAM. CHA is just behind them.
For the season, MIA is the MOST RELIABLE TEAM. POR is just above them.
Wednesday (1/12) has a great game for blown leads... LAL/SAC. Anything with BOS would have to be included... BOS/IND.
The best game for a safe lead is MIA/ATL. That has got to be the MOST RELIABLE matchup this year.
It started badly, but ended strong. BOS/IND held a safe lead. Didn't expect that. And, the safest game, MIA/ATL blew up on me. I suppose it was due to happen. DAL/NYK was difficult to read and it was a loss. Had a 1-4 start, but the +ML on CHA helped.
HOU proved it was reliable. SAC proved it was UNreliable. Those two made the night a good one.
That is the thing with this. If you play one game, you have to play them all... or at least all the ones with +ML.
Rolling 2-week period (12/30 - 1/12)
The league average has dropped after today. Only 2 out of 9 games had blown leads. Despite this, the top UNRELIABLE TEAMS have not changed much. It is just that now safe teams, MIA & ATL have been added into the rolling count.
Tomorrow should be nothing like today.
First, you have GSW/MIL. This game has the most UNreliable team in the league playing in it. MIL leads the NBA with 4 blown leads in 2 weeks. If this game has a blown lead, MIL will be the most UNreliable team of the season over ANY 2-week stretch.
Next is NOP/LAC. 6 total blown leads between the two of them. Two of the most UNreliable teams in the league, playing each other. Two crazy teams trying to out-crazy the other.
MIN/BKN. Yet another unreliable team, with BKN in 3 blown leads. But, at least MIN might calm things down, since they only have been in 1.
POR/DEN is the sanest game on the night. Only 1 blown lead between the two of them, in 2 weeks.
This is how you get +ML action going. Or, you get destroyed. This will be interesting.
0
Wednesday action...
It started badly, but ended strong. BOS/IND held a safe lead. Didn't expect that. And, the safest game, MIA/ATL blew up on me. I suppose it was due to happen. DAL/NYK was difficult to read and it was a loss. Had a 1-4 start, but the +ML on CHA helped.
HOU proved it was reliable. SAC proved it was UNreliable. Those two made the night a good one.
That is the thing with this. If you play one game, you have to play them all... or at least all the ones with +ML.
Rolling 2-week period (12/30 - 1/12)
The league average has dropped after today. Only 2 out of 9 games had blown leads. Despite this, the top UNRELIABLE TEAMS have not changed much. It is just that now safe teams, MIA & ATL have been added into the rolling count.
Tomorrow should be nothing like today.
First, you have GSW/MIL. This game has the most UNreliable team in the league playing in it. MIL leads the NBA with 4 blown leads in 2 weeks. If this game has a blown lead, MIL will be the most UNreliable team of the season over ANY 2-week stretch.
Next is NOP/LAC. 6 total blown leads between the two of them. Two of the most UNreliable teams in the league, playing each other. Two crazy teams trying to out-crazy the other.
MIN/BKN. Yet another unreliable team, with BKN in 3 blown leads. But, at least MIN might calm things down, since they only have been in 1.
POR/DEN is the sanest game on the night. Only 1 blown lead between the two of them, in 2 weeks.
This is how you get +ML action going. Or, you get destroyed. This will be interesting.
Just a bad day all around for +ML SU action. 4 games began with a big lead and held it. GSW/MIL & LAC/NOP imitated reliable teams for 1 night. MIN/MEM was RELIABLE on paper, but the only game to blow the lead. Put 3 bets on MIN and all lost. The last time this happened was January 7th, when 8 games held the lead, and 1 blew it. That was UTA/TOR and I lost that time too. That is the cost of +ML SU plays. I accept it.
Rolling 2-week period (12/31 - 1/13)
These days do not happen often, so I expect Friday to be very different.
The league average of blown leads actually increased. There were no blown leads on 12/30, but 1 on 1/13.
I fully expect 1 blown lead Friday. The average for the month is just about where it should be.
DAL/MEM is the most UNreliable. During its 11-game win streak, MEM had 4 games with blown leads (LAC LAL SAC MIN). The first three teams were highly UNreliable. MIN was reliable, yet still blew the lead. DAL can have a blown lead and it would not change its rolling 2-week count, because the last roll-off day had a DAL blown lead. So, there would be no change in the next count. Whoever is in the lead here, I am betting opposite.
BOS/PHI and HOU/SAC are similar, where you have an UNreliable team with a VERY reliable team. I'll play the odds on this game and the rest for safe leads.
Any team that gets the lead, with +ML SU, I'm on it, except DAL/MEM.
0
Thursday action...
Just a bad day all around for +ML SU action. 4 games began with a big lead and held it. GSW/MIL & LAC/NOP imitated reliable teams for 1 night. MIN/MEM was RELIABLE on paper, but the only game to blow the lead. Put 3 bets on MIN and all lost. The last time this happened was January 7th, when 8 games held the lead, and 1 blew it. That was UTA/TOR and I lost that time too. That is the cost of +ML SU plays. I accept it.
Rolling 2-week period (12/31 - 1/13)
These days do not happen often, so I expect Friday to be very different.
The league average of blown leads actually increased. There were no blown leads on 12/30, but 1 on 1/13.
I fully expect 1 blown lead Friday. The average for the month is just about where it should be.
DAL/MEM is the most UNreliable. During its 11-game win streak, MEM had 4 games with blown leads (LAC LAL SAC MIN). The first three teams were highly UNreliable. MIN was reliable, yet still blew the lead. DAL can have a blown lead and it would not change its rolling 2-week count, because the last roll-off day had a DAL blown lead. So, there would be no change in the next count. Whoever is in the lead here, I am betting opposite.
BOS/PHI and HOU/SAC are similar, where you have an UNreliable team with a VERY reliable team. I'll play the odds on this game and the rest for safe leads.
Any team that gets the lead, with +ML SU, I'm on it, except DAL/MEM.
Hot Forum Topics
