Johnson's NBA Tuesday 3/12

Question

OVERALL RECORD:  188-185 (&#x2B;35$)Record vs. Spread/ML:  95-97 (-145$)Record vs. O/U:  91-85  (&#x2B;370$)Record vs. Parlay:  1-2  (-190$)===========================================================================Not too thrilled with the current pattern of juicing out most nights.  The positive point is that out of all my write-ups and work last night, I was only wrong about one play...the Nets.  Being the lucky s.o.b. I am, that was a 2 unit play for me.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

OVERALL RECORD:  188-185 (&#x2B;35$)Record vs. Spread/ML:  95-97 (-145$)Record vs. O/U:  91-85  (&#x2B;370$)Record vs. Parlay:  1-2  (-190$)===========================================================================Not too thrilled with the current pattern of juicing out most nights.  The positive point is that out of all my write-ups and work last night, I was only wrong about one play...the Nets.  Being the lucky s.o.b. I am, that was a 2 unit play for me.

wredskins · Answer

today

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Celtics vs. Bobcats -Obvious big lean towards the Celtics here coming off a tough loss against the Thunder going up against a DII college team.  Bobcats beat the Celtics last time out, so there is a revenge factor.  Past couple days I&#x27;ve been reading a lot of the player quotes and stories about how this team reacted to the loss to the Thunder...and whether or not they were encouraged by it.  What I came across was a few tweets saying that Doc Rivers will rest Paul Pierce tonight and give some of the bench guys some time to play.  Last time this happened the bench stepped up, and the Celtics had one of the biggest offensive explosions of their season against a similarly bad team...the Suns...113-88.  Don&#x27;t let that scare you away!

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Lakers vs. Magic -Lakers looked damn good against the Bulls, but I haven&#x27;t been big on the Bulls for quite a while now.  Traveling into Orlando before a few bigger market games against Atlanta and Indiana could mean a look ahead game.  I see the Magic coming out strong in this one and maybe having a first quarter or first half lead, then having Kobe Bean take over and kill them late.  The problem I have is figuring out if it&#x27;s going to be a Hornets take over late and cover, or a Raptors take over late and not cover.  Lakers tend to struggle against the bad teams for some stupid reason...11-15 ATS vs. a team w/a losing record....1-6 ATS vs. the Southeast Division....3-12 ATS on Tuesday Nights.  Not too much pointing towards the Lakers tonight.

wredskins · Answer

How can you look over the Magic with Dwight on your team?

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Wizards vs. Cavaliers -Initial lean is big time towards the UNDER in this one without Kyrie Irving for the Cavs.  Only 6 of the Wizards 29 road games have gone OVER the total.  Only 1 of the 12 games against the Central Division have gone OVER the total.  Only 7 of their 27 games against teams with a losing record have gone OVER the total.  Looking at the Wizards and when their games see the century mark you see teams like Charlotte, Denver, Houston, Milwaukee, and New York...teams that like to run and gun.  Cavaliers without Kyrie don&#x27;t fit that category.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Because it&#x27;s Dwight Howard...and NOTHING about him says "motivation", "revenge", or any other term that is positive.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Hornets vs. Nets -Nets are the logical play here...but they will lose.  They are on my shlt list...sorry.  Would lean towards the OVER if anything.  Other than that, I&#x27;m refusing to put more work into my research of a game than the players give in the actual game.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Hawks vs. Heat -Initial lean here is on the Heat.  Hawks have a home game against the Lakers tomorrow night, and I think that&#x27;s where their focus will be, despite the fact that they have a chance to end the streak tonight.  It&#x27;s all about matchups, and the Hawks just don&#x27;t have them in this game.  Add in the fact that the past couple of weeks travel wise haven&#x27;t been friendly for the Hawks, and they just won&#x27;t have a lot of legs left IMO.  Just in the last week they have had to travel from Denver after a 6 game road trip back to Atlanta for one game, then up to Boston for an OT game, then back down to Atlanta, and now over to Miami for a game before heading back home.  Heat at home shoot a very high FG% and the Hawks on the road give up a high FG%...should easily be a double digit win tonight.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Mavericks vs. Bucks -Hmmmm....Dallas is 19-13 ATS on the road this year, and Milwaukee is 10-19 ATS at home.  Both teams are coming into this game on a hot streak...but the revenge factor is there for the Mavericks, as the Bucks came into their house last week and got a win.  Would have to lean towards the Mavericks right now because of the home/road records and the revenge factor and the injury concerns for the Bucks.  Either way will have to wait until later on to see what&#x27;s going on.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Spurs vs. Wolves -Logical plays here in my mind would be either the Spurs laying the points or the Wolves TT UNDER.  Or maybe even both.  Wolves just are falling apart with all of their injuries right now...and the Spurs could essentially play their backups and still get the win.  Most of the betting public is on the Spurs early on for those obvious reasons...only reason to lay off is if the line goes down for some reason, and even that might not be enough to detract me from the Spurs tonight.

Gfred · Answer

Great write up

mickz15 · Answer

thx for the nice write ups like the Boston/Charlotte Under and the Heat

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Grizzlies vs. Blazers -Good spot for the Blazers to get a signature win...but then I saw Zach Zarba on this game...and that changes an awful lot.  He is so anti-home team it&#x27;s laughable.  If they ever put him and Barnanky on the same game, watch out.  Anyway, the biggest stat of this game for me is the fact that the Grizzlies have lost TWO road games this season to teams with a losing record.  TWO.  Once to Dallas who is barely a losing team as it is...and once to Phoenix in December.  Initial lean would be towards the Grizz for those reasons.

DaMeCabeza · Answer

Taking Boston and Under

Albertcore · Answer

Tim Duncan (knee) and Kawhi Leonard (knee) did not travel to Minnesota and will not play on Wednesday.

OneB · Answer

What about taking pts with the Magic! Fans are furious to see Howard and the Lakers going down because of Howard`s stupid comments about his former teammates!

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Hmmm...interesting night

DaMeCabeza · Answer

Moved to -11 and 187.5

crh11289 · Answer

What do you guys think about taking Minnesota? 80% public still riding the Spurs A S S. I think Minnesota keeps it close. The line hasn&#x27;t moved yet in favor of anyone.

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Orlando Magic &#x2B;5 1st Half  (1.1 to win 1)Lakers generally struggle against the bad teams early on in games, and I would hope that the Magic will be pumped up for this game. Prediction:  Lakers 49  Magic 47

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Memphis Grizzlies -1.5  (1.1 to win 1)Gotta stay with the hot team here...they get the job done when they have to get the job done.  Nothing really else to say about it.Prediction:  Grizzlies 94  Blazers 89

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Miami Heat -10  (1.1 to win 1)I do think they lose one of their next two games, but the last home game before heading out for a few road games should be a blow out.  Hawks just don&#x27;t have the depth or the talent to run with the Heat for 48 minutes.Prediction:  Heat 108  Hawks 95

CMJohnson1 · Answer

Wizards vs. Cavaliers UNDER 191.5  (1.1 to win 1)Without Irving in there, I just don&#x27;t see a lot of offensive options tonight for the Cavs, despite the lower level defense they will see from the Wizards.  Add in how terrible the Wizards stats are against bad teams...they somehow play even farther down to their competition.Prediction:  Cavaliers 90  Wizards 84

Johnson's NBA Tuesday 3/12

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