Posted:
#1
This pick is nothing like the Knicks@Raptors play so don't go crazy with it. If you are up on the night, play it for a little more profit. If you are down big this is not a chase play.
The game is Wolves@Kings at 9pm EST.
The line is -1.5 Kings.
We are going to back the Kings here.
This will be a short write-up so here it is quick and dirty.
1. Are you worried about the Kings tanking? Don't worry they are not tanking. How do we know? The head coach instructed his team to play Hack-A_DeAndre in that game. Now how can anyone sell me that the knigs didn't want that game when they were employing a tactic to gain more possessions while DeAndre blows free throws. Even worse, they employed the tactic...in the SECOND QUARTER.
Don't be fooled by he final score. That was an 89-95 game with six minutes left in the fourth quarter.
But you cannot bet the Kings vs. the Clippers on the road. Or bet them vs. the Blazers on the road.
There really is no reaonable spread <=13 that you can back them with any confidence on the road against top flight competition.
And that leads us to our next point.
2. The Kings are favored here by 1.5.
With the Knicks game and games I have extensively researched, lines are meaningless.
Here we can employ some line reading.
The books are clearly taking a position to back the kings. They are favorites, even after a vey public display of Brewer's 51. You'd think even with wolves backups, the public would back the wolves here. They will. We have the books on our side here.
3. Wolves shutdown
Kings have not shutdown. They want a win so badly, they are looking to bring back Isaiah Thomas for the final game. Most teams shut it down permanently. Not the Kings. The wolves have. Love, Pekovic and Martin if not shut down are all unlikely to play.
That is not to say the Wovles don't have something left. Rubio, Brewer and Dieng can all play, sometimes very well like Brewer did and Rubio can always play. Dieng has put up some incredible rebounding numbers at times.
Even at that what motivation do the Wolves have here?
Which leads to the next point.
4. Kings are locked into their draft spot
To further support the no-tanking theory, nothing the kings can do with regard to wins and losses can change the kings draft positition.
The same holds for the T-Wolves.
5. The kings seem to top out at 6/7 game losing streaks.
As bad as they are, the kings seem to disallow sixer like fiascos and better even streaks that approach 6 or 7 as a benchmark. 7 is their longest losing streak of the season.
Let's look at how the kings have responded during losing streaks at the tail end of them. While they have multiple 2 and 3 game streaks, they have only had three streaks >=6 games.
1. From 1/22 to 2/1, they had a 7 game losing streak. But in the fifth and sixth games they were at Dallas and worse, at the Spurs respectively and played two of the best games of their season falling short by 2 and 4 respectively.
Then they came out a blazin' and crushed the bulls in a game I posted winning by TWENTY NINE, yes agaisnt the bulls, and then beat a quality raptors team the next game. So in 4 games, they were very competitive with the Mavs and Spurs on the road and beat the Bulls and Raptors. All on a 6/7 game losing streak.
0
Good Luck as always
goood luck to us and great pick other nite 
Looks nice.....they truly want a win for the home crowd in a town that needs it....
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