Have seen in the past the relationship between the spread and the moneyline, when the Greek sportsbook was in business, the lines manager would play with it right before tip...when the spread went down the moneyline would go up (visa versa ).........see a lot of activity on pinny, regarding first half totals in college (fwiw)......you never know if they are 'juicing the side they want to win ? or is it 'sharp' or square money
I hope so. I misread the gametime today and missed the pre-match wager, but was lucky enough that BOS trailed during the first few minutes allowing for an advantageous line of +2.5 live. Anything -2.5 or better was a good wager.
Guys. I apologize, but I won't be posting plays anymore after tonight. I'm not being dramatic or anything. I can't focus on feeding the algo, running the numbers, placing my wager, posting my play here. Each match takes around 2 minutes. It took me 8 minutes for the last wager (CLE, NYK pick).... It's too chaotic and opens up too many opportunities for error.
@Froggy80
Definitely respect the decision man and wish you the best of luck. Would it be possible to get any of your plays after games start? Like what you played even if 10 mins after tip. Because then if odds ever come around your plays during the games live bets can be tailed. If not no worries at all. Just a believer in your system lol Either way good luck ??????
I can do that, as long as you guys don't mind. I can continue to post my plays after I place them.
I made a few mistakes tonight and not only does it affect my plays, but I'm affecting you guys. It's not fair because you guys are staking your hard-earned money based on my calls. That's why I'm deciding to step back a bit.
I will continue to post the calls as I mentioned.
@CrackerJackBets
Yes, it was. Plus, I missed a few good calls as well. Just not a good feeling when my actions result in real money lost, and even if I were to win on a mistaken call, that doesn't feel good either. Lose/Lose.
That being said, I stand by LAC all the way. A really solid correlation number tonight as well as enough time to evaluate the line and confirm afterwards. Also, a friend of mine did not like the call... he felt very uncertain about making the wager. (that's always a good sign in my book)
I created a simulation function to find the ideal settings for my correlation study.
For ATS plays, I was able to achieve 64.71% - 68.42% win rate
For Over/Under plays, I was able to achieve 73.33% - 78.57% win rate
With higher win rates, the selection process is much tighter. Some nights, there may be zero plays.
I also worked on making the calculations super fast. So, we'll see how it goes tonight.
No bets for 2nd match up either.
For the first match, I did get a hit on the 'under' for the Chicago/Houston matchup, but I really didn't like the correlation numbers. 72% accuracy is the threshold, but only one match fit the criteria. It was not enough for a post.
There's a lot more testing to be done in order to find the absolute best combination... but I feel good in that I have a better process now... we'll inch our way to bank 
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