i wouldn't call it a confident play, but would not be opposed at taking WAS ML for the odds either.
lean WAS +8.5 comparing last 5 Off/Def may be skewed as GS has
played the majority of those 5 on the road and in general, against
better teams. WAS has avg'ed 105, but against teams that almost all
(with the exception of NO) allow more pts/game than GSW. ALL of WAS'
last 5 opponents, however, allow a higher FG% than GS.
Simply
comparing Home/Away avg stats over the season, GS is favored to come
away with the v, roughly 98-93. in this case, WAS still covers.
Both
have winning records ATS w GS at home and WAS away, but WAS has the
edge in matchups A500 opponents while GS has a losing record ATS v B500
opponents. both have winning ATS records in their current 'after
win'/'aol' and 'after loss'/'aow' stats with a slight edge to WAS.
on
days rest, WAS is 15-2 ATS on 0 days rest avg'ing their 2nd highest
92.8 AF and allowing their 2nd lowest 94.7 AA. GSW, however, avgs their
lowest AF at 96.6 and allows their highest avg 111.8 AA with a losing
record of 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS on 2 days rest. both are winless straight
up facing opponents on the same number of days rest for each team as
this matchup, but once again edge to WAS for being 1-1 ATS with GSW at
0-1 ATS in such situations.
Martell Webster has been red hot
lately, and that is the icing on the cake here. Avg'ing over (3) threes
in his last 14 days and over 90 pts (out of his 600+ pt season), he
seals WAS +8.5 as the winning play here in my opinion.
0
i wouldn't call it a confident play, but would not be opposed at taking WAS ML for the odds either.
lean WAS +8.5 comparing last 5 Off/Def may be skewed as GS has
played the majority of those 5 on the road and in general, against
better teams. WAS has avg'ed 105, but against teams that almost all
(with the exception of NO) allow more pts/game than GSW. ALL of WAS'
last 5 opponents, however, allow a higher FG% than GS.
Simply
comparing Home/Away avg stats over the season, GS is favored to come
away with the v, roughly 98-93. in this case, WAS still covers.
Both
have winning records ATS w GS at home and WAS away, but WAS has the
edge in matchups A500 opponents while GS has a losing record ATS v B500
opponents. both have winning ATS records in their current 'after
win'/'aol' and 'after loss'/'aow' stats with a slight edge to WAS.
on
days rest, WAS is 15-2 ATS on 0 days rest avg'ing their 2nd highest
92.8 AF and allowing their 2nd lowest 94.7 AA. GSW, however, avgs their
lowest AF at 96.6 and allows their highest avg 111.8 AA with a losing
record of 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS on 2 days rest. both are winless straight
up facing opponents on the same number of days rest for each team as
this matchup, but once again edge to WAS for being 1-1 ATS with GSW at
0-1 ATS in such situations.
Martell Webster has been red hot
lately, and that is the icing on the cake here. Avg'ing over (3) threes
in his last 14 days and over 90 pts (out of his 600+ pt season), he
seals WAS +8.5 as the winning play here in my opinion.
Analysis: I'm recommending a play on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Washington has won five of their last six both SU & ATS, including last night's 103-100 win over the Lakers. The Wizards are playing in their second game in as many nights, but have been outstanding in this role going 20-7 ATS the last 27 times, including 15-2 ATS this season. The Wizards got 24 points and 16 assists out of John Wall last night and they're actually a healthy 20-15 SU when Wall is on the floor. Wall is averaging over 23 ppg over the last six outings. Golden State comes home after a 3-game road trip and Oracle Arena has not been "home-sweet-home" as of late. The Warriors have won just two of their last five home games SU where they're 1-5 ATS in their last six. Meanwhile, the under-valued Wizards are on a 23-6-1 ATS run against western conference opposition. I believe the line is too high and I'm grabbing the points with the Wizards on Saturday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer
Analysis: I'm recommending a play on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Washington has won five of their last six both SU & ATS, including last night's 103-100 win over the Lakers. The Wizards are playing in their second game in as many nights, but have been outstanding in this role going 20-7 ATS the last 27 times, including 15-2 ATS this season. The Wizards got 24 points and 16 assists out of John Wall last night and they're actually a healthy 20-15 SU when Wall is on the floor. Wall is averaging over 23 ppg over the last six outings. Golden State comes home after a 3-game road trip and Oracle Arena has not been "home-sweet-home" as of late. The Warriors have won just two of their last five home games SU where they're 1-5 ATS in their last six. Meanwhile, the under-valued Wizards are on a 23-6-1 ATS run against western conference opposition. I believe the line is too high and I'm grabbing the points with the Wizards on Saturday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer
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