Posted:
#1
Here's what I got today:
NCAA
Iona -2.5
Yale/Harvard over 127
Wright State -8.5
The write-ups for these games can be found in my thread in the NCAA forum.
NBA
Thunder -4
They are 10-1 in their last 11 games. The Warriors have lost 10 of 14. OKC plays great D and have 2 aggressive players in Durant and Westbrook who will get to the foul line a lot, where the team is 80% on the season. Golden State is a terrible 70% from the line. OKC is a team that can score really well but also focuses on defense and can use that as a staple to win games. Basically, they already are what the Warriors are trying to become themselves. Westbrook should get the better of Curry, Ellis shouldn't be able to outscore Durant, and Harden off the bench should out-produce players like Nate Robinson and Klay Thompson for the Warriors.
Hawks -5.5
The Hawks are a better team and are coming off a horrible loss to the Spurs in a game where they forgot that their defense is key to winning games. Now they get to play the Pistons, who are just horrible defensively. Hawks probably won't have the same defensive breakdowns in this game (they should be more focused), but they could probably afford to have them and still pull off a W. They are easing Kirk Hinrich back into rotation, and he is actually a very solid defender to fill in for the steal-monster Jeff Teague. Hawks are also a superior rebounding team and that should go a long way in this one. The Hawks have won 8 of 11 against the Pistons and I look for them to get an easy win tonight in a bounce-back game for them.
Magic -4
The Hornets are on a 9 game losing streak and face a Magic team that "should" be pissed after blowing a 27 point lead last night in the loss to the Celtics (who did not have Rajon Rondo or Jermaine O'Neal). That was just a terrible loss. Luckily for Orlando, they are a solid road team and get to face what's probably the NBA's worst team. Dwight Howard should be able to dominate and they should win big if he can manage to make some free throws. Magic 3 point shooting has been terrific this year and if they knock down a couple early and open up a lead, the Hornets just don't have the offense to come back. Plus the Magic probably wouldn't melt down 2 games in a row.
Rockets/Wizards under 199
Combined, these teams average a 187 ppg and give up 196. The total has gone under in 5 of 6 the last few times these teams hooked up. The Wizards are second worst in the league in field goal percentage. Now they have a new head coach and are 1-0 with him. They are now being held accountable for their play and are being asked to play more focused on the defensive end. The Rockets seem to hit stretches where they are ice cold in their games lately. This should mean a nice under for today's game.
Nuggets/Raptors under 199
Raptors lost Andre Bargnani to a calf injury. This means they go back to being painful to watch on offense. I mean, it looks plain ugly when they are in a halfcourt game. Lucky for them, the Nuggets are without Ty Lawson, and this should mean that the pace should slow down considerably. With Andre Miller fully running the show, he traditionally plays a moderate tempo and I don't think they will get as many transition hoops as they would with Lawson being in. Also, Afflalo is listed as day-to-day and I'm not sure whether he is playing or not. That's another scoring option gone if he doesn't go. Consider that Rudy Fernandez is also out and you got Nene, Gallinari, and Harrington as your primary options. This unit can put up some points, but I don't see them scoring more than 105 at the very most. I also refuse to believe the Raptors can crack 95 points without Bargnani. If Denver decides not to play defense at all in this one I will be severely disappointed.
That's it for my NBA picks and write-ups. Feel free to leave comments or questions if you have any.
BOL to everyone. Feel free to fade away!
NCAA
Iona -2.5
Yale/Harvard over 127
Wright State -8.5
The write-ups for these games can be found in my thread in the NCAA forum.
NBA
Thunder -4
They are 10-1 in their last 11 games. The Warriors have lost 10 of 14. OKC plays great D and have 2 aggressive players in Durant and Westbrook who will get to the foul line a lot, where the team is 80% on the season. Golden State is a terrible 70% from the line. OKC is a team that can score really well but also focuses on defense and can use that as a staple to win games. Basically, they already are what the Warriors are trying to become themselves. Westbrook should get the better of Curry, Ellis shouldn't be able to outscore Durant, and Harden off the bench should out-produce players like Nate Robinson and Klay Thompson for the Warriors.
Hawks -5.5
The Hawks are a better team and are coming off a horrible loss to the Spurs in a game where they forgot that their defense is key to winning games. Now they get to play the Pistons, who are just horrible defensively. Hawks probably won't have the same defensive breakdowns in this game (they should be more focused), but they could probably afford to have them and still pull off a W. They are easing Kirk Hinrich back into rotation, and he is actually a very solid defender to fill in for the steal-monster Jeff Teague. Hawks are also a superior rebounding team and that should go a long way in this one. The Hawks have won 8 of 11 against the Pistons and I look for them to get an easy win tonight in a bounce-back game for them.
Magic -4
The Hornets are on a 9 game losing streak and face a Magic team that "should" be pissed after blowing a 27 point lead last night in the loss to the Celtics (who did not have Rajon Rondo or Jermaine O'Neal). That was just a terrible loss. Luckily for Orlando, they are a solid road team and get to face what's probably the NBA's worst team. Dwight Howard should be able to dominate and they should win big if he can manage to make some free throws. Magic 3 point shooting has been terrific this year and if they knock down a couple early and open up a lead, the Hornets just don't have the offense to come back. Plus the Magic probably wouldn't melt down 2 games in a row.
Rockets/Wizards under 199
Combined, these teams average a 187 ppg and give up 196. The total has gone under in 5 of 6 the last few times these teams hooked up. The Wizards are second worst in the league in field goal percentage. Now they have a new head coach and are 1-0 with him. They are now being held accountable for their play and are being asked to play more focused on the defensive end. The Rockets seem to hit stretches where they are ice cold in their games lately. This should mean a nice under for today's game.
Nuggets/Raptors under 199
Raptors lost Andre Bargnani to a calf injury. This means they go back to being painful to watch on offense. I mean, it looks plain ugly when they are in a halfcourt game. Lucky for them, the Nuggets are without Ty Lawson, and this should mean that the pace should slow down considerably. With Andre Miller fully running the show, he traditionally plays a moderate tempo and I don't think they will get as many transition hoops as they would with Lawson being in. Also, Afflalo is listed as day-to-day and I'm not sure whether he is playing or not. That's another scoring option gone if he doesn't go. Consider that Rudy Fernandez is also out and you got Nene, Gallinari, and Harrington as your primary options. This unit can put up some points, but I don't see them scoring more than 105 at the very most. I also refuse to believe the Raptors can crack 95 points without Bargnani. If Denver decides not to play defense at all in this one I will be severely disappointed.
That's it for my NBA picks and write-ups. Feel free to leave comments or questions if you have any.
BOL to everyone. Feel free to fade away!
0
BOL
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My biggest play hit!
They stunk in the first half.
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