Boston @ Philadelphia

Hello friends 

Attached is the models pick and reasoning for this game:

Situational trends (from https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/matchup/celtics-76ers-2026-04-24/trends): Celtics: Strong ATS as away favorite (16-8-0) but vulnerable after a loss in some metrics; playoff ATS 1-1-0. 76ers: Respectable as home underdog (7-5-0 in recent similar spots), playoff ATS 1-1-0. Series is split 1-1, with PHI covering comfortably in Game 2 despite being the visitor.

Taking the expected point differentials (+12.87 Celtics vs. +10.03 76ers) together with the situational trends, the two regression models largely offset each other (net near pick-’em after averaging the conflicting views). This creates clear value on the large 8.5-point spread in a playoff Game 3, and the 76ers’ home underdog ATS history plus their Game 2 cover provides the decisive edge.

76ers +8.5

Good luck!

Bol ...I am opposite 

@mrdeltona

 Good luck md 

@umgmu

 My collaborator said I should train it on as many game results as possible. But, so far, it likes taking dogs. Boston still has a projected point differential above the spread. Hopefully, it can pick up on patterns to discern which model should have more influence in the near future. Good luck!

@mrdeltona

close one

@mrdeltona

 Thanks buddy...I should have bought Boston down to 8 for the push.

Got greedy but that's wagering.

Still a good night .

Nice win

@mrdeltona