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BBALL $CHMETO' $YSTEM $CORES ( $$$)

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Captain
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Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 5092
Posted: #1
Hi ,

I have made hard work  to built a good system for Bball and particulary for the NBA. I used European basket, Wnba and Ncaab to make tests and try to improve it.

- To analyse 1 match, i will use 3 steps :

1) The System ( itself) who care on form+ h2h

2) The checking of the system who care only on the Form

3) My feelings who care about results of step1 and step2.

4) My bet(s)


Wait and $ee if we $ee the $ea  ...
 
Captain
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Posted: #2
Well, for this first day, i will just use the Step 2 to analyse because it is just the starting season and i will just care about pre saison games so i cannot be very accurate but just give some trends.


Dallas - Miami:
 
check1:  98/104
check2: 110/ 107 or 90/92
 
NY - Boston
 
check1: 83/80
check2 : 88/79 or 74/68
 
Totals at193 pts ?? 

Lakers - Chicago:
 
check1 : 92/106
check2 : 92/105  or 88/102
 
Chicago h-3  only ??


OKL City Thunder - Orlando :
 
check1: 102/72  
check2:102/82 or 95/71
check3: 107/89 or 99/77
 
dubble negative handicap could pass here?
 
 

Golden State - Clipers :
 
check1: 100/96
checkf2: 100/ 104 or 92/95  (96/100)
check3: 105/110 , 97 /100  (101/105)
 
Here, it looks correct but totals seems  a little too much but could pass.. maximum 215 pts for this game i think.


My bets will come later normaly( if i bet)

Merry christmas to all
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
pre season in the nba does not mean anything.I would wait until the teams play a few real games.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 187
Posted: #4
Good Luck with the NBA. I will stick with College BB until season shakes out. I have a totals system in ncabb that I will start on Tues. Don`t bet, just follow until it`s good or I quit if it bombs.
 
Captain
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Posted: #5
@ Il prato : you are right it is just "trends"..
After 5-10 game of each teams who will see behaviour of teams.

p.s: Are you origin italian as well?

@Petro : Do you made a topic for your totals system? i will check on ncaab forum


 
Captain
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Posts: 5092
Posted: #6
NBA 18h:  
 
NY vs Boston
 
bet ( Book PKR)
 
 Total (193)  Under (193)  $ 6,00  1.84 $ 11,04  
 
bonus: (book blost)
 
Boston Celtics chez New York Knicks  Nombre de points marqués dans le temps réglementaire du match  De 161 à 170          1.4  @10.50
 
Boston Celtics chez New York Knicks (Nombre de points marqués dans le temps réglementaire du match)  De 151 à 160    1.00  @26.00
 
Boston Celtics chez New York Knicks (Nombre de points marqués dans le temps réglementaire du match)  150 ou moins    1.00  @101.00
 
P.S : Last possibilites i forgot to put..

BOSTON could WIN  74 /79  !!!!!!
 
Veteran
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Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1100
Posted: #7
schmeto,

i always have a difficult time understanding what your plays are.

i think that i have been following them correctly.

obviously, u can post them how u want to, but i just wanted to ask if you could just post the team and the play somewhere by itself, so that it is easier to tail your plays.

thanks,
matt
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 187
Posted: #8
I am not going to post my picks, I will just send them to you as info, not to bet on until I see the results.  I will pick between 4 and 8 games per night, I can`t do the whole card because it is too time consuming. As for today I took the Knicks -4, I bought the hook.  Since you posted in Italian I couldn`t follow your picks.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 187
Posted: #9

Schemto, Trying out my system today.

SoIll/Xav  Under 132 I bought points

Clemson/ Hawaii Too close to call

Utep/Aub  over 123.5

LB St./Ks  under 145 opening line jumped from 142

 
Captain
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Posted: #10
@MATT : sorry i had put copy taste on my book so it was in french but i just post trends for nba not yet bet here don't worry it will be clear...

@Petro: did you see on the Ncaab forum i posted for Hawai +6.5 i predicted victory of haway and i was nearly My prediction score..


1st Nba game between NY an Boston my system completely wrong i dont know why this game happen like this..but for Miami Dallas i was nearly again of my prediction score so i think i could have a few truth on pre season game. If i see that it happen good for the game between chicago and Lakers perhaps will bet on OKL city h-8  like my trends score say for this game...
 
Captain
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Posted: #11
bet took live in play

OKC Thunder  -6.5 @ 1.86
€4.00  Single
 
Captain
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by schmeto:

bet took live in play

OKC Thunder  -6.5 @ 1.86
€4.00  Single


i won but normally the starting line was -8 , better who play this bet could be ry sick  to  have just a Void!!! Thunders won all the game easily by 15-20 and orlando back just at the end because thunder stoped playing.
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
Golden State Vs Chicago:

Treads

Check1: 87/96
Check2:87/96
Check3: 90/93 ,90/100, 83/93---> 86/96?
 
For me..MAx 190 points 
 
My bet:
 
Under 194.5  CHI Bulls @ GS Warriors  (Game Totals)  @  1.90 
 
Stake:  5.50   To Win:  5.00
 
Captain
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by schmeto:

Golden State Vs Chicago:

Treads

Check1: 87/96
Check2:87/96
Check3: 90/93 ,90/100, 83/93---> 86/96?
 
For me..MAx 190 points 
 
My bet:
 
Under 194.5  CHI Bulls @ GS Warriors  (Game Totals)  @  1.90 
 
Stake:  5.50   To Win:  5.00


99/91 :  An entire game of GS give them the win

i was saying about Dallas game yesterday that  this team was sick but i didn"t bet because Denver have just played on pre season game beforev but it happened exactly how i thought 91/114  it finished 93/115
 
Captain
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by schmeto:



99/91 :  An entire game of GS give them the win

i was saying about Dallas game yesterday that  this team was sick but i didn"t bet because Denver have just played on pre season game beforev but it happened exactly how i thought 91/114  it finished 93/115
 Good job .. Only played Under GS for $5 but thanks for the winner.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #16
Thanks Schmeto, Tailed you on GS under and got a winner . Are you going to post College bb or NBA hoops today? Thanks
 
Captain
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Posted: #17
You welcome Petro


First bet for today( for the night for me lol):

NETS Vs ATLANTA :

check1:81/84
check2:80/81
check3:85/79 ,85/89, 77/79 ---> 81/84

My bet :







Under 179.0 @ 1.90
€5.50  Single

 
Prospect
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Posts: 371
Posted: #18
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 187
Posted: #19
On it, did you look at 4 game college card?
 
Captain
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Petro27:

On it, did you look at 4 game college card?


just one game st johns providence but i did'nt see great value if i have time will check others game and will putt on the forum ncaab ok? because with Nba i am little busy
 
Captain
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Posted: #21
second bet for this night is a parlay:


MIAMI vs BOSTON:
 
- I see an easy game for Miami,i think they could win by 20pts during the game but at the end what about the substitute of Wade or James( because they will putt on the bench certainly to let them in rest for tomorrow) so perhaps it will not easy to substitute to keep H-11 alive so i prefer to assure with h-5
 
Trends
 
1)112/100
2)111/93 , 113/93
 

LAKERS  vs UTAH JAZZ:
 
- I don't see LAkers Lost once again and particulary at home or it will be the Crisis!!but not sure about the Handicap because B2b2b
 
Trends:
 
1) 98/89
2)96/85

My bet ( PARLAY)

LA Lakers0.0 @ 1.50
MIA Heat  -5.0 @ 1.36

Doubles, 1 bet * €5.00
 
Captain
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Posts: 5092
Posted: #22
Last bet for this night ( i think)


MIL vs MIN:
 
Trends:
 
1)  90/90

2)  78/81
 
UNDER 178.5 ( i play with bonus  5$) so be careffuly with your stake if you bet on this i have not strong truth but odds are goods particulary for bets which you can see below
 
+ on book BLost
 

 (Does it have an OT?)  YES  ?  1.00  @21.00  
 
(Totals points marging)

between 151 à 160  ?  0.50 @ 26.00  
 
between 161 à 170  ?  0.50 @ 11.00

Have a nice evening to all.....
 
Captain
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Posts: 5092
Posted: #23
i pick this live:

OVER TEAM MIAMI 102.5 pts@1.86 

5euros


points are still increase...and lebron james are on the bench!!!  i have good feeling of my trends Miami will be finish at 111 points!!!
 
Captain
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Posts: 8003
Posted: #24
Good call on the team total on Mia , I didn't see the pick until now . I layed off the under in ther Bucks , but played Under Atl .. Keep it up bro ..
 
 
Captain
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Posts: 5092
Posted: #25

Basket NBA:00h08
 
Toronto vs Indiana:
 
check1:84/81

check2 :84/79 ( 82/81 ou 82/74 )

check3:95/88 (my first choice)

check4:92/96 .. the bad way but i dont think so
 
My feeling on this game:
 
score 95/88    a victory of  5-6 points For Toronto
 
 
My bet( to discrease the risk of the bad way) :
 
TOR Raptors  +4.0 @ 1.90
€5.50  Single

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