Matchup (Away @ Home)
Predicted Spread through statistics -
L.A. Lakers @ Washington
LAL -13.1
Lakers
Washington allows a league-high 122.3 PPG. LAL wins the defensive gap by 5.8 points.
Toronto @ Orlando
TOR -1.2
Toronto
Tight game. Toronto’s superior assists and TO ratio barely overcome Orlando’s home court.
Sacramento @ Boston
BOS -18.5
Boston
Sacramento’s 120.6 PPG allowed vs Boston’s elite 110.1 makes this a mathematical blowout.
Portland @ NY Knicks
NYK -7.9
Knicks
NYK dominates the Rebounding (+1.0) and 3P% (+1.0) categories.
Memphis @ New Orleans
MEM -3.9
Memphis
Memphis wins the Defense and Block bonuses; NOP takes the Steal bonus (+0.5).
Cleveland @ Phoenix
CLE -1.9
Cleveland
CLE scores 5.2 more PPG, which offsets Phoenix's home court and steal advantage.
L.A. Clippers @ Denver
DEN -6.8
Denver
Denver sweeps the FG% and 3P% bonuses (+2.0) and leads in PPG (+7.4).
Brooklyn @ Utah
UTA -0.8
Utah
Upset Alert: Brooklyn is better defensively, but Utah’s #6 offense and home court keep them in it.
Detroit @ Golden State
DET -4.2
Detroit







