Posted:
#26
*** 4Q System Plays ***
Posted:
#27
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Feel like I owe covers somethin after my picks this week
Gonna post my 4Q system plays here if anyone is interested.
Requirements:
-Home team must be +5 or higher on the opening line
(+4.5 does not qualify)
-Away team can not be Top 3 in Away 4th Quarter PD
(currently Chicago Bulls, Orlando Magic, and Cleveland Cavaliers)
System is 28-12 (70%) since December 25th
Here are the plays from the past 2 weeks:
1/20/12: Raptors 4Q , Wizards 4Q
1/21/12: Pistons 4Q , New Orleans 4Q , New Jersey 4Q
1/23/12: Wizards 4Q, New Jersey 4Q, Pistons 4Q
1/25/12: Kings 4Q, Pistons 4Q
1/27/12: Pistons 4Q
1/28/12: Bucks 4Q
1/31/12: Raptors 4Q
2/01/12: Bucks 4Q
2/04/12: Cavaliers 4Q, Wizards 4Q
2/08/12: Cavaliers 4Q
Today's play:
2/09/12: Kings 4Q (+1.5)
Feel like I owe covers somethin after my picks this week
Gonna post my 4Q system plays here if anyone is interested.
Requirements:
-Home team must be +5 or higher on the opening line
(+4.5 does not qualify)
-Away team can not be Top 3 in Away 4th Quarter PD
(currently Chicago Bulls, Orlando Magic, and Cleveland Cavaliers)
System is 28-12 (70%) since December 25th
Here are the plays from the past 2 weeks:
1/20/12: Raptors 4Q , Wizards 4Q
1/21/12: Pistons 4Q , New Orleans 4Q , New Jersey 4Q
1/23/12: Wizards 4Q, New Jersey 4Q, Pistons 4Q
1/25/12: Kings 4Q, Pistons 4Q
1/27/12: Pistons 4Q
1/28/12: Bucks 4Q
1/31/12: Raptors 4Q
2/01/12: Bucks 4Q
2/04/12: Cavaliers 4Q, Wizards 4Q
2/08/12: Cavaliers 4Q
Today's play:
2/09/12: Kings 4Q (+1.5)
Just want to point out that this system is incredibly logical. Basically this is a play on teams that are expected to get blown out but still win or tie the fourth quarter because they're still playing starters while the opponent rotates in bench players and relaxes on their lead. Just common sense. Very heady system LC.
Posted:
#28
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
Just want to point out that this system is incredibly logical. Basically this is a play on teams that are expected to get blown out but still win or tie the fourth quarter because they're still playing starters while the opponent rotates in bench players and relaxes on their lead. Just common sense. Very heady system LC.
Love analyzing any quarter trends I can and what you said was basically my thinking as well when I started tracking this. Thanks for the kind words
Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
For tomorrow we have Washington as a definite play and the Hornets as a possible play (pending the opening line)
Also VegasInsider is reporting the Lakers line opened at -5 but scoresandodds is reporting Lakers opened at -3.5, anyone else have any knowledge on the opening line?
For tomorrow we have Washington as a definite play and the Hornets as a possible play (pending the opening line)
Also VegasInsider is reporting the Lakers line opened at -5 but scoresandodds is reporting Lakers opened at -3.5, anyone else have any knowledge on the opening line?
3.5
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