47-29-2
8-14 ml dogs
+21.43 units ytd
Just not my night yesterday, bad reads early on with an ot moose late. Happens over the course of a season, gotta move on.
Celtics -5.5, 3 unit play. Rested off a horrible home loss, playing an overvalued team on a road back to back on national tv. Blowout.
Portland/Orlando Under 190, 2 unit play. Pace slows down here, somebody wins a 92-86 game.
Will post more throughout the day.
Hawks/Pacers Under 183, 1 unit. Pacers allowing 83 ppg at home, Hawks off a bunch of consecutive overs, I expect a standstill game.
Raptors/Kings Over 189.5, 1 unit. Liked this play when it opened at 192, liked it even more after the overnight drop, and locked it in comfortably after seeing the entire forum on the under. May throw more on it.
I'll be at the Garden tonight, no read to be honest. The whole idea of regression to the mean suggests the Knicks might be the play, but it's only 9 games in so the Philly lines still have a lot of time to keep adjusting. Also, I'd have to be on hallucinogens to place a Knicks -4 bet against this Philly team with conviction right now. Knicks are a very difficult team to read in games like this, it's a meaningful game and they had a day off so I expect to see effort, but they still haven't played together, are at a severe coaching disadvantage, and Philly is just steamrolling everyone right now. No play for me, if anything a Philly wager is in order.
Going to be at the Raptor game tonight. Train69 also seems like the only other poster on the over in the game.
My concern is the Raptors options off the bench to put up points, and the lack of scoring from DeRozan, and both Butler and Jimmy Johnson. I can see everyone on the forum on the under, but wondered how you see the over hitting if the Raps lean heavily on Bargs and Jose scoring (or not scoring). Does the thought of the b2b2b play into your pick for the over, or are you fading the forum.
Personally, I think Philly covers the +4.
Good luck and enjoy the game!
Heading out now, all plays posted below just for easier tracking.
Celtics -5.5, 3 unit play.
Portland/Orlando Under 190, 2 unit play.
Hawks/Pacers Under 183, 1.5 unit play
Raptors/Kings Over 189.5, now 1.5.
Jazz +115 ml, 2 unit play.
Orlando +3.5/+140 ml, each for 1.5 units
Good luck to everybody tonight.
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