Quake State 400 @ Kentucky

CUP YTD: +10.01 units

Weather has me a little hesitant tonight, but went through with these plays and hoping to go full distance

MATCH-UPS

2.00 units Brad Keselowksi (-125) over Denny Hamlin

This Blue Deuce team has been on a downward spiral with all the turmoil the last few months (only 1 Top 10 last 8 starts) but this looks to be the race to get back on track, it has to be for their sake. Top 10 starting spot, good practice numbers and Kez won here last year

2.00 units Martin Truex (-115) over Tony Stewart

Going with the hot driver in this one, he may be a little undervalued this week

1.50 units Martin Truex (+215) over Carl Edwards

Speaking of undervalued, got to try this one

1.50 units Brian Vickers (-115) over Jamie McMurray

Love it when Vickers is in the 55 for MWR

PROPS

2.00 units Kevin Harvick (-115) under 10.5

You have to go back 7 races since Harvick finished outside the Top 10

1.50 units Martin Truex (+150) Top 10

Once again like the value in this line

OUTRIGHTS

1.66 units Jimmie Johnson (+425)

I don't like playing the favorite but on paper this looks like another Pocono

0.60 unit Brad Keselowski (+1000)

Needs a great finish badly....a win would be even better

0.50 unit Kasey Kahne (+1200)

KK finished 2nd here last year and ran 2nd at somewhat similar 1.5 tracks at Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte

0.40 unit Kevin Harvick (+2000)

Maybe Top 5 or better

Good luck

I definitely sprinkled a little on Smoke 30-1!!  Also on JR 8-1, and Harvick T3 6-1!

Good luck!  Hope JR can pull the win of course!

thehuntmanstatslonghornsclepto

stats/longhorn......good luck w/stewart that would be a nice payday

clepto....gl w/Gordon, had him on some plays just didn't make final cut. Got him finishing 6th-10th

Will be a different race today if they can get it in, but not buying anything back...made my bed and gonna lie in it

GL Maxx 

$10 a piece on Stewart and Biffle to win !

 I'm not a Johnson fan and I dislike Knaus and a day like this multiplies those feelings to near hatred!!!! Really got jobbed by ole "5 Time" today. Would have been two straight 12+ unit races

Still actually not a bad day at all but could have been a lot better