Pure Michigan 400

CUP YTD

59-42 +22.03 units (Match-Ups)
28-29 +10.14 units (Props/FP)
07-15 +05.18 units (Race Winners)

Total: +37.35 units

Once again running late, played these....

MATCH-UPS

1.50 units Carl Edwards (+105) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
1.50 units Denny Hamlin (-115) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)

JJ is my go against guy today, not saying the 48 will be bad but think the other two should be in or near the Top 5

1.50 units Brad Keselowski (+120) over Dale Jr. (@5dimes)
Going with the momentum here

1.50 units Ryan Newman (-125) over Mark Martin (@thegreek)
Mark looks really fast (again) its just doesn't seem to cross over to the race, like Newman as a darkhorse pick for the win today (starting 3rd/2nd and 8th in practice and was 6th here in June)

1.50 units Brian Vickers (+105) over Jamie McMurray (@5dimes)
Vickers at his best track over struggling McMurray

1.50 units Joey Logano (-135) over Juan Montoya (@thegreek)
A little risky and pricey but the 42 is a mess this weekend


PROPS/FP

2.00 units Ryan Newman (+275) to win group (@sportsbook)
over Ragan/Logano/Montoya/Truex

My favorite play this week believe Newman is the only one in this group with a shot at Top 5 or better

1.25 units Kyle Busch (+315) to win group (@thegreek)
over Gordon/Kurt/Stewart/Dale Jr

Like Kyle a lot today

1.00 unit Kyle Busch (+160) Top 5 (@5dimes)
1.00 unit Denny Hamlin (+140) Top 5 (@5dimes)
0.50 unit Ryan Newman (+355) Top 5 (@5dimes)

RACE WINNER

0.80 unit Matt Kenseth (+650) @5dimes
0.60 unit Kyle Busch (+900) @thegreek
0.50 unit Denny Hamlin (+1050) @5dimes
0.40 unit Ryan Newman (+2400) @thegreek
0.25 unit Brad Keselowski (+2200) @thegreek

The 39 makes or breaks me today.
Good luck!

GL Maxx

GL Maxx

GL Maxx

GL buddy like the picks

"A little risky and pricey but the 42 is a mess this weekend"

what makes this weekend any different than almost every other weekend for the 42?

I missed this play and just tailed you buddy for 0.5u

2.00 units Ryan Newman (+275) to win group (@sportsbook)
over Ragan/Logano/Montoya/Truex

goggles based that on this statement:

 

Earnhardt-Ganassi Racing, Jim Pohlman, crew chief Juan Pablo Montoya...He's not too happy and they have struggled all weekend. It could be a long, long day. He said in race trim they can't seem to find the center balance with messing up the corner entry or corner exit. He said Montoya's spirits are good, but no idea how good or bad the car is going to run.

thanks pat, dennis, lugs, goggles, TREE........hope its a great race for you guys

 

goggles i hope that group bet hits for us, got a lot on newman today

gl maxx !

Awesome day

Maxx, thx for the tip. It cushioned the blow

Johnson was a lot stronger than I thought, even without their problems it would have been doubtful Hamlin or Edwards beat the 48......pretty much broke even on the match-ups, killed the props with the big play never in doubt, but was lucky on the Newman Top 5, and hit the race winner for the 3rd straight week. So overall a very good day.

3-3 - 0.23 unit (Match-Ups)
4-1 +11.81 units (Props/FP)
1-0 +03.45 units (Race Winner)

Total: +15.04 units

thanks dennis

 goggles

nice day buddy