MotoGP - Jerez - Gran Premio bwin de Espana

Last Weekends Results 5-1, +88.75

Bet Placed 28/4/14 @ Bwin

"Marc" my words this will be the shortest line of the week for the champ baring any falls or engine problems. Bwin must know its market loves Lorenzo or just haven't adjusted yet to his current prices across the board. Those being

WillHill   -250

Ladbrokes -250

Bet365  -300

Until number 93 shows me any reason not to back him, especially at a mere 2-1, I will continue to do so. I gave you plenty of reasons to take him just a few days ago and nothing has changed. As free practice gets under way books will adjust him accordingly. My -200 will have come and gone. We most likely baring any falls should see this line on race day sitting around -400 as it was in Austin and Argentina. 

Ha,Ha, says the guy who has taken Marquez at -200 the last 2 races.

Bet Placed 30/4/14 @ Ladbrokes

No need to write this one up. IMO get it while you can. Free practice should only drive the price in the wrong direction. Just a case of

-"Good price now, bad price later"

I'm not quite sure to be honest stats. My hope is that it garnishes attention of the nascar regulars. But I'm not here to stuff it down anyone's throat. My time here has been short and I'm hoping over the long haul we may attract some more motorcycle racing fans, betters, hell maybe even some of you nascar boys

I follow your thread every week so hopefully by you just stopping by it can garner the attention of others. Will continue to read your weekly threads and start posting my support, keep up the great work bud

But what about Dani and Jorge

All jokes aside...lol....k really. 

Glad to see we are in agreements on 93. Did you watch the press conference today? Bridgestone announced they will be withdrawing from MotoGP after the 2015 campaign. Pretty shocking news. Maybe having more choice now is better but from what the riders were saying is that they like the tires and that prior to Bridgestone the tire quality wasn't as good. Jorge went on to emphasize how much of a game changer it was when bridgestone came along, specifically the hard front tire. Worried for the future of motogp. Thankfully the riders will be world class.

I really like that Rossi/Smith match up. Is that Bwin??

You read into that wrong. I ment I was worried for the future of motogp in a sense that the quality of racing won't be as good. Obviously someone will always make tires. But will they be as good as Bridgestone? The riders have doubts.

I hope your right about Bridgestone just taking a hiatus from the sport. But I also have doubts about that. My question to that answer would be "why leave in the first place?" 

Anyway I think you got a winner with that Rossi/Smith matchup.  Smith went down hard in FP and should struggle in the heat this weekend. 

So looks like Marquez is now a minimum -250 on the board everywhere

Cheers brother

Bet Placed 4/3/14 @ WilliamHill

Felt like seeing what match ups were out there before I call it a night. Low and behold I find this beauty. Just like in Austin when I took Smith to beat Cal solely based on the fact it shouldn't even be considered a match up. This is another one of those only in qualifying. 

Side note

Not a fan of laying so much juice on one card but the line and match ups warrant it. 

Well done bro

Not a fan of Aleix in general but that takes balls to go up against the soft option "open" tire. Good thing he went down late, he seemed to be on a hot lap. Dovi came through late for us as did Marquez. Great start to the weekend.

Well the world champion decided to keep us on the edge of our seats for the entire 15 minutes to only pull off the fastest lap ever achieved at Jerez. He never ceases to amaze me. As my buddy KeyElement would say "Cash it if you laid it"

This one was a little closer than I had initially anticipated. Although Dovi was able to secure a 6th spot on the grid he only finished 0.12 seconds ahead of Smith who grabbed 9th. 

Bet Placed 5/3/14 @ WilliamHill

WillHill always seems to be running their own agenda. My other 3 books tend to offer somewhat similar match ups to eachother. 

I always say how and where do they come up with these head to heads??? Well here I am again for the second time this weekend scratching my head. How does Aleix even remotely have a 2/1 shot at betting Dani at his favorite/winningest track on the GP circuit?? I would think he first needs to concentrate staying on that bike before he even thinks he has a shot at the podium. Hell even if he stays on his bike, he just doesn't have the pace over an entire 20+ laps to hang with the big 3 let alone the top 7 riders. None of the open riders outside of Ducati do for that matter. The only way Aleix has a shot is if Pedrosa has an engine problem or by some random chance goes down. He's been the second most consistent rider this year and I doubt ether of those two outcomes happen.

Books continue to show Espargaro respect which will only continue to help us at the betting window.

Heres a little food for thought if the steep -275 concerns you

Pedrosa won at Jerez last year

Pedrosa has not missed the Podium in 9 years at Jerez

Pedrosa was the 3rd fastest rider in Qualifying

Pedrosa has finished on the podium in every race this year

The list goes on