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    All Forums | Nascar

    MotoGP - Barcelona - Gran Premi Monster Energy de Catalunya

    The-OG-GunClapa
    alangrrbs
    MoreGeezer
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    Views: 637
    Posts: 12
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 7, 2014 - 11:17 AM ET #1

    Mugello 2-1, +32. 16-12, +220.45 first 6 races of the year.



    Race Wagers
    To Win Race, 3-5, +34
    Win Without Big 4, 1-1 +7.50
    To Podium, 2-0, +25 
    Dual Forecast, 1-1, +46.70
    Top 6 Podium: 0-1, -22
    Head-to-Head: 3-1, +43
    Parlays: 0-0, 
    1st Lap Winner: 2-0, +86.25
    Total: 12-9, +220.45

    Qualifying Wagers
    Fastest Qualifier: 2-1, +14
    Head-to-Head: 2-2, -14
    Total: 4-3, 

    Season Total: 16-12, +220.45



    The Circuit de Catalunya opened on the doorstep of Barcelona in September 1991 and welcomed its first international event that same month, hosting the Spanish F1 Grand Prix. It went on to host the European Motorcycle Grand Prix and in 1995 became home to the Gran Premio de Catalunya. 

    Should be another great weekend of racing!

    Picks to follow
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Mugello 2-1, +32. 16-12, +220.45 first 6 races of the year.



    Race Wagers
    To Win Race, 3-5, +34
    Win Without Big 4, 1-1 +7.50
    To Podium, 2-0, +25 
    Dual Forecast, 1-1, +46.70
    Top 6 Podium: 0-1, -22
    Head-to-Head: 3-1, +43
    Parlays: 0-0, 
    1st Lap Winner: 2-0, +86.25
    Total: 12-9, +220.45

    Qualifying Wagers
    Fastest Qualifier: 2-1, +14
    Head-to-Head: 2-2, -14
    Total: 4-3, 

    Season Total: 16-12, +220.45



    The Circuit de Catalunya opened on the doorstep of Barcelona in September 1991 and welcomed its first international event that same month, hosting the Spanish F1 Grand Prix. It went on to host the European Motorcycle Grand Prix and in 1995 became home to the Gran Premio de Catalunya. 

    Should be another great weekend of racing!

    Picks to follow
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 8, 2014 - 11:13 PM ET #2

    Marc Marquez to Win Race (-222)     20/9
    Bet Placed 6/8/14 @ Bwin

    Eventually I'm going to sound like a broken record
    I'll try something new.

    Step 1
    Read the last 4-6 write ups I've done on Marquez
    Step 2
    Get a Bwin Account
    Step 3
    Rejoice

    Ok I guess that's a bit of a cop out. The Win Probability heavily outweighs the line provided to us. I easily put this around -400. All things I said last week when I took it a week before the race. Come 2pm Sunday he was a -400-500 and thats exactly where I put him again this weekend......eventually I'm going to sound like a broken record......

    Reply
    Marc Marquez to Win Race (-222)     20/9
    Bet Placed 6/8/14 @ Bwin

    Eventually I'm going to sound like a broken record
    I'll try something new.

    Step 1
    Read the last 4-6 write ups I've done on Marquez
    Step 2
    Get a Bwin Account
    Step 3
    Rejoice

    Ok I guess that's a bit of a cop out. The Win Probability heavily outweighs the line provided to us. I easily put this around -400. All things I said last week when I took it a week before the race. Come 2pm Sunday he was a -400-500 and thats exactly where I put him again this weekend......eventually I'm going to sound like a broken record......

     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jun. 9, 2014 - 7:41 PM ET #3

    Who cares about being a broken record if the picks keep winning.  Racing is the only sport I've found where you can find a bet on one guy that the books keep putting out week after week that you can keep taking advantage of. 

    The F1 equivalent is Hulkenberg top 10.  Dating back to last year he's finished in the top 10 something like 12 out of the last 13 races...yet before qualifying the books keep putting him out there at -200 or -180. 

    Keep pounding your Marquez bets, and it's not a broken record if it keeps winning.  It's a successful record. 
    Reply
    Who cares about being a broken record if the picks keep winning.  Racing is the only sport I've found where you can find a bet on one guy that the books keep putting out week after week that you can keep taking advantage of. 

    The F1 equivalent is Hulkenberg top 10.  Dating back to last year he's finished in the top 10 something like 12 out of the last 13 races...yet before qualifying the books keep putting him out there at -200 or -180. 

    Keep pounding your Marquez bets, and it's not a broken record if it keeps winning.  It's a successful record. 
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 10:20 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Who cares about being a broken record if the picks keep winning.  Racing is the only sport I've found where you can find a bet on one guy that the books keep putting out week after week that you can keep taking advantage of. 

    The F1 equivalent is Hulkenberg top 10.  Dating back to last year he's finished in the top 10 something like 12 out of the last 13 races...yet before qualifying the books keep putting him out there at -200 or -180. 

    Keep pounding your Marquez bets, and it's not a broken record if it keeps winning.  It's a successful record. 

    Thank you for the kind words alangrrbs
    I guess books set the lines based on where they think they're customers money will come in. Bwin continues to show that they are in a Lorenzo market and therefore continue to price Marquez cheaper then anywhere else. Interesting to hear this happens in F1 as well. Speaking of F1, I've been following your thread this year and must say I am very impressed. You've got a great grasp on it from what I've seen so far. Love the writeups and reasoning! Looking forward to following you over the entire season! 
    BOL Buddy
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Who cares about being a broken record if the picks keep winning.  Racing is the only sport I've found where you can find a bet on one guy that the books keep putting out week after week that you can keep taking advantage of. 

    The F1 equivalent is Hulkenberg top 10.  Dating back to last year he's finished in the top 10 something like 12 out of the last 13 races...yet before qualifying the books keep putting him out there at -200 or -180. 

    Keep pounding your Marquez bets, and it's not a broken record if it keeps winning.  It's a successful record. 

    Thank you for the kind words alangrrbs
    I guess books set the lines based on where they think they're customers money will come in. Bwin continues to show that they are in a Lorenzo market and therefore continue to price Marquez cheaper then anywhere else. Interesting to hear this happens in F1 as well. Speaking of F1, I've been following your thread this year and must say I am very impressed. You've got a great grasp on it from what I've seen so far. Love the writeups and reasoning! Looking forward to following you over the entire season! 
    BOL Buddy
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2014 - 2:05 AM ET #5

    Jorge Lorenzo to Beat Dani Pedrosa in Qualifying (-200)     10/5
    Bet Placed 6/14/14 @ Bwin

    Thankful we are near the end of these terrible time zones for us North Americans. Missing out on so many lines that appear right before qualifying. Anyways this will be my only wager on it this weekend. I feel confident the bigger disks will help Jorge alot this weekend and that Dani is still not 100%

    Reply
    Jorge Lorenzo to Beat Dani Pedrosa in Qualifying (-200)     10/5
    Bet Placed 6/14/14 @ Bwin

    Thankful we are near the end of these terrible time zones for us North Americans. Missing out on so many lines that appear right before qualifying. Anyways this will be my only wager on it this weekend. I feel confident the bigger disks will help Jorge alot this weekend and that Dani is still not 100%

     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2014 - 1:25 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa:

    Jorge Lorenzo to Beat Dani Pedrosa in Qualifying (-200)     10/5
    Bet Placed 6/14/14 @ Bwin

    Thankful we are near the end of these terrible time zones for us North Americans. Missing out on so many lines that appear right before qualifying. Anyways this will be my only wager on it this weekend. I feel confident the bigger disks will help Jorge alot this weekend and that Dani is still not 100%



    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa:

    Jorge Lorenzo to Beat Dani Pedrosa in Qualifying (-200)     10/5
    Bet Placed 6/14/14 @ Bwin

    Thankful we are near the end of these terrible time zones for us North Americans. Missing out on so many lines that appear right before qualifying. Anyways this will be my only wager on it this weekend. I feel confident the bigger disks will help Jorge alot this weekend and that Dani is still not 100%



     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2014 - 1:30 AM ET #7

    Stefan Bradl to Beat Andrea Dovizioso (-125)     20/16
    Bet Placed 6/15/14 @ Bet365

    Will do writeups if I can find time. For now, sleep. 
    Reply
    Stefan Bradl to Beat Andrea Dovizioso (-125)     20/16
    Bet Placed 6/15/14 @ Bet365

    Will do writeups if I can find time. For now, sleep. 
     
    MoreGeezer
    MoreGeezer
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    Posts: 1062
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2014 - 3:18 PM ET #8

    Reply
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 10:19 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:


    Where were you this weekend bud??? Wanted to rattle your brain about a few things. Small card for me this weekend, wasn't sure if it would be a dry race or not. Great battle with valy, pedrosa, and marq! Can't wait for after the break when the time zones are better and I can actually get all the lines offered before the race. Stayed up till 2am EST hoping to see a few more with no avail
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:


    Where were you this weekend bud??? Wanted to rattle your brain about a few things. Small card for me this weekend, wasn't sure if it would be a dry race or not. Great battle with valy, pedrosa, and marq! Can't wait for after the break when the time zones are better and I can actually get all the lines offered before the race. Stayed up till 2am EST hoping to see a few more with no avail
     
    MoreGeezer
    MoreGeezer
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    Posts: 1062
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 5:39 PM ET #10

    I was studying.It's exams time...but i did my bets though :) in motogp i went big on bradl too,,,paddy gave him at 1.90 on dovi.
    i wanted to discuss something with you...about marq.Do you think is still worth taking him next races at 1.40?clearly other racers are catching up...and they want to win.Did you see ped yesterday?he risked so much at the end...it was pride,vs a kid who is winning it all.
    Reply
    I was studying.It's exams time...but i did my bets though :) in motogp i went big on bradl too,,,paddy gave him at 1.90 on dovi.
    i wanted to discuss something with you...about marq.Do you think is still worth taking him next races at 1.40?clearly other racers are catching up...and they want to win.Did you see ped yesterday?he risked so much at the end...it was pride,vs a kid who is winning it all.
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2014 - 11:24 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:

    I was studying.It's exams time...but i did my bets though :) in motogp i went big on bradl too,,,paddy gave him at 1.90 on dovi.

    i wanted to discuss something with you...about marq.Do you think is still worth taking him next races at 1.40?clearly other racers are catching up...and they want to win.Did you see ped yesterday?he risked so much at the end...it was pride,vs a kid who is winning it all.

    Ahh thatta boy, good for you. Bradl seemed quick all weekend, also having your old man there for the race might of helped spur him on. From the 1st free practice you could tell he had a good pace. Dovi's pace rarely matchs that of Stefan so @ -125 I felt we were getting a steal.
    As for Marquez and laying -220 (1.40) after what we saw this weekend is a tough question to answer. Vintage Rossi showed that he still has it and next race is Assen where he had his last win a year ago. Pedrosa battled hard and showed some of what made me a fan of his in the early going, patiently waiting in the whims only to turn on the jets with 5 laps to go. Love that. As to the question, yes, I do believe it's still worth laying that price. Marc has so much more reason to battle and go for the victory, the streak, the legacy, greatness. All things he has proved worthy of and I believe he knows is capable of. He shows confidence all weekend but above all has the passion to win. 7 straight victories doesn't happen all that often and I'd say he wants to keep that streak going for as long as possible.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:

    I was studying.It's exams time...but i did my bets though :) in motogp i went big on bradl too,,,paddy gave him at 1.90 on dovi.

    i wanted to discuss something with you...about marq.Do you think is still worth taking him next races at 1.40?clearly other racers are catching up...and they want to win.Did you see ped yesterday?he risked so much at the end...it was pride,vs a kid who is winning it all.

    Ahh thatta boy, good for you. Bradl seemed quick all weekend, also having your old man there for the race might of helped spur him on. From the 1st free practice you could tell he had a good pace. Dovi's pace rarely matchs that of Stefan so @ -125 I felt we were getting a steal.
    As for Marquez and laying -220 (1.40) after what we saw this weekend is a tough question to answer. Vintage Rossi showed that he still has it and next race is Assen where he had his last win a year ago. Pedrosa battled hard and showed some of what made me a fan of his in the early going, patiently waiting in the whims only to turn on the jets with 5 laps to go. Love that. As to the question, yes, I do believe it's still worth laying that price. Marc has so much more reason to battle and go for the victory, the streak, the legacy, greatness. All things he has proved worthy of and I believe he knows is capable of. He shows confidence all weekend but above all has the passion to win. 7 straight victories doesn't happen all that often and I'd say he wants to keep that streak going for as long as possible.


     
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2014 - 12:01 AM ET #12

    Lorenzo to Beat Pedrosa in Qualifying (-200)     10/5

    Bradl to Beat Dovizioso in Race (-125)     20/16
    Marquez to Win Race (-222)     20/9



    Catalunya Weekend Results

    2-1 +15



    Hard weekend from a handicappers stand point. Factor in all the rain talk and not being in the right time zone (7 hours behind) it makes it very hard to know what's going to happen and how it may drastically effect the outcome of your wager. Decided to take it easy and play the card small as we get close to Assen and the last race before the break. 
    In 2 weeks Valentino returns to a venue that saw him capture his most recent victory and only win ever in the Marc Marquez Era. After a very strong showing this weekend will he finally be able to ascend to that number 1 spot atop the podium?

    See you in the Netherlands!


    Reply
    Lorenzo to Beat Pedrosa in Qualifying (-200)     10/5

    Bradl to Beat Dovizioso in Race (-125)     20/16
    Marquez to Win Race (-222)     20/9



    Catalunya Weekend Results

    2-1 +15



    Hard weekend from a handicappers stand point. Factor in all the rain talk and not being in the right time zone (7 hours behind) it makes it very hard to know what's going to happen and how it may drastically effect the outcome of your wager. Decided to take it easy and play the card small as we get close to Assen and the last race before the break. 
    In 2 weeks Valentino returns to a venue that saw him capture his most recent victory and only win ever in the Marc Marquez Era. After a very strong showing this weekend will he finally be able to ascend to that number 1 spot atop the podium?

    See you in the Netherlands!


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