MotoGP - Argentina - Termas de Rio Hondo

Question

And were back again!

This weekend brings us to a brand new venue at Termas Argentina. Excited to see all the changes that have been done since the last time MotoGP visited way back in 1999. Can Jorge grab a podium this weekend and get back in the mix? Lets hope so....

Race Wagers

To Win Race, 1-5, +10

To Podium, 1-0, +10
Head-to-Head: 2-1, +28
Parlays: 0-0,
Top 3 Podium: 0-0,
Top 6 Podium: 0-0,
1st Lap Winner: 0-0,
Total: 4-6, +48

Qualifying Wagers

Fastest Qualifier: 0-1, -15

Head-to-Head: 0-0,
Total: 0-1, -15

Season Total: 4-7, +33

No wagers yet and wont have any ideas until FP starts. New venue means no history to go off and that doesnt bod well with me. Sadly wont be able to fade Cal this weekend as he is not fit to ride and Pirro will be taking his spot.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

And were back again!

This weekend brings us to a brand new venue at Termas Argentina. Excited to see all the changes that have been done since the last time MotoGP visited way back in 1999. Can Jorge grab a podium this weekend and get back in the mix? Lets hope so....

Race Wagers

To Win Race, 1-5, +10

To Podium, 1-0, +10
Head-to-Head: 2-1, +28
Parlays: 0-0,
Top 3 Podium: 0-0,
Top 6 Podium: 0-0,
1st Lap Winner: 0-0,
Total: 4-6, +48

Qualifying Wagers

Fastest Qualifier: 0-1, -15

Head-to-Head: 0-0,
Total: 0-1, -15

Season Total: 4-7, +33

No wagers yet and wont have any ideas until FP starts. New venue means no history to go off and that doesnt bod well with me. Sadly wont be able to fade Cal this weekend as he is not fit to ride and Pirro will be taking his spot.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Marc Marquez Fastest Qualifier (-142)    20/14Bet Placed 24/4/14  @ BwinKing Midas himself should be shaking in his boots with the way this kid has torched everything he put two wheels on in 2014. Fastest in practice, fastest in qualifying, and of course fastest come race time all year long. So what&#x27;s changed this weekend? Nothing. When this line becomes available again this evening I wouldn&#x27;t hesitate to lay anything under -200. Not a big fan of qualifying Wagers but this one had way to much value IMO.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Bradley Smith to Win Without Big 4 (&#x2B;500)       10/50Bet Placed 24/4/14 @ WilliamHillAm I missing something or is the Book missing something? He hung in there with the best of em outside the likes of Marquez and Dani. Actually he not only hung in there with them he beat all of them except 2. Stephan Bradl and Andrea Dovizioso, whom again will remain his top competitors at Termas. Out of the 3 (I think have the best shot out of the pack) I&#x27;d go....Bradl &#x2B;175Smith &#x2B;350Dovi &#x2B;500Etc.So again I&#x27;d say lots of value at &#x2B;500

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Marc Marquez to Podium (-500)       75/15Bet Placed 25/4/14 @ LadbrokesMost of the time these extremely juiced prices tend to keep betters a stray. And for good reason. You don&#x27;t often win in the long run laying these kinds of odds. That said a value better does not concern himself with laying these kinds of prices when line warrants it. As I browsed the odds yesterday and Podium Selections to be specific I saw around the board Marquez -800,Marquez -1000,Marquez -1200. Didn&#x27;t really think much of it as the odds all seemed to be fair according to where they had action. Sure -800 isn&#x27;t terrible but still held little to no value. After MMs blistering speed in practice today we saw WilliamHill adjust him to a -800 to land on the podium. Marquez is a -1250 to finish the race this weekend at Bwin. All these other factors (see above in my other marquez wager) and Ladbrokes decides to throw out a very enticing -500. Now after I justify the line and why its worth laying a whopping -500, heres the real reason this is has so much damn VALUE.Young Marc Marquez has finished on the Podium an insane 18 out of 20 tries.So shouldn&#x27;t the odd be substantially higher than 5-1?

alangrrbs · Answer

I don&#x27;t have a book that lets me bet on MotoGP, and I really wish I could.  I enjoy your posts, and I hope you keep doing them.  Very informative, and I like the thinking behind your picks.  You clearly have the knowledge and passion for this sport, and I hope you have great success this year.  I&#x27;ll keep reading and following your posts and I hope you keep them up all year.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

I am glad to hear that alangrrbsIt couldnt come at a better time. Was starting to feel it might be time to move onto another forum that may at least have a few more GP enthusiasts. I do put a lot of effort into my selections and am very humbled to hear your enjoying my posts wether your wagering or not. I dont do this to just post my picks. I do it to try and keep people informed and hopefully generate more fans along the way.Is there anyway I can help you find a book for motogp?

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Stephan Bradl to Win Without Big 4 (&#x2B;175)     10/17.50Bet Placed 26/4/14 @ WilliamHillThis wager just makes sense. After the way Smith rode today in FP3 I&#x27;m just not as confident he can get the job done this weekend. Bradl has held great pace all weekend and is right about where I thought he&#x27;d be (actually I called the line bang on, see post above). Do not get me wrong he will still have to battle tooth and nail for this victory but in the end he has shown he can consistently be the fastest rider outside the big 4.If you didn&#x27;t already lay that Bradely Smith wager I would say steer clear of both.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

lol should read Stefan Bradl**** for some reason my auto correct just cant get that one right

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Valentino Rossi to Beat Stefan Bradl in Qualifying (&#x2B;110)     10/11Bet Placed 26/4/14 @ WilliamHillDuh huh?He was already quicker today during free practice 3... Why would Bradl start magically making up the gap? Valentino takes this.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa]  Valentino Rossi to Beat Stefan Bradl in Qualifying (&#x2B;110)     10/11Bet Placed 26/4/14 @ WilliamHillDuh huh?He was already quicker today during free practice 3... Why would Bradl start magically making up the gap? Valentino takes this.  [/Quote]and now in free practice 4.....

MoreGeezer · Answer

Hey man!the winner in this race seem to be written already.the other picks you made aren't that good in my opinion...smith doesn't seem to be in position to be competitive,maybe bradl...and yamaha doesn't seem to be doing well here.anyway we'll see.
Good luck!

PS My only bet is Marquez winner of race at 1.50.

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Look who finally decided to show upI hear you on the Win Without the Big 4 bets. I took Smith before free practice started. I was basing alot of it on last weekends results, but hey look at him in qualifying? He has a riders chance now where earlier I thought this bet had already set sail. He&#x27;ll be competing against the likes of Dovi,Bradl, and Bautista. I still give these bets a good shot all be it the odds may not be as good now. Its a chance you take.What other bets do you not like?The marquez to podium bet?Thanks for the input buddy I always appreciate it

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa]  Marc Marquez Fastest Qualifier (-142)    20/14Bet Placed 24/4/14  @ BwinKing Midas himself should be shaking in his boots with the way this kid has torched everything he put two wheels on in 2014. Fastest in practice, fastest in qualifying, and of course fastest come race time all year long. So what&#x27;s changed this weekend? Nothing. When this line becomes available again this evening I wouldn&#x27;t hesitate to lay anything under -200. Not a big fan of qualifying Wagers but this one had way to much value IMO.  [/Quote] Move over King Midas.....

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa]  Valentino Rossi to Beat Stefan Bradl in Qualifying (&#x2B;110)     10/11Bet Placed 26/4/14 @ WilliamHillDuh huh?He was already quicker today during free practice 3... Why would Bradl start magically making up the gap? Valentino takes this.  [/Quote] Well it helped that Bradl went down mid way into his second lap. That said I still believe Rossi would of taken this ether way

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Jorge Lorenzo to Lead After 1st Lap (&#x2B;138)     30/41.25Bet Placed 26/4/14 @ Bet365This is one domain I believe Jorge still has a distinct advantage. Since I&#x27;ve been watching MotoGP I&#x27;ve come to the conclusion that this guy is the best of the best. I have heard commentators say how good Dani Pedrosa was over his career but since I&#x27;ve been following he hasn&#x27;t had nearly as many solid starts and 1st lap winners as number 99. Is it the fact that he crashed out in the first lap in Qatar and jumped the gun in Austin? If that is going to fool betters and books alike then the better for us. Sure Marquez is faster and will beat Mr.Lorenzo over just a few laps but he historically is not a fast starter and the edge should clearly be the Jorges

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Well I hope you guys bought em when I did

Marquez to Podium is now -1000

Jorge Lorenzo to Win First Lap is now +100

Sadly cant say the same about these other two bets. All be it much smaller wagers than the two above.

Bradley Smith to Win Without Big 4 is now +1200

Stefan Bradl to Win Without Big 4 is now +400

The-OG-GunClapa · Answer

Marquez to Podium (-500)     75/15Smith to Win Without Big 4 (&#x2B;500)     10/50Bradl to Win Without Big 4 (&#x2B;175)      10/17.50Lorenzo to Win 1st Lap (&#x2B;138)     30/41.25Marquez Fastest Qualifier (-142)     20/14Rossi to beat Bradl in Qualifying (&#x2B;110)     10/11 TERMAS RACE WEEKEND RESULTS5-1  &#x2B;88.75 &#x9;What a weekend. I cant remember there ever being 3 laps,to start a race, as exciting as Rio De Hondo provided. Simply brilliant. It had all the reasons I love motorcycle racing. Hell it had everything any racing fan would love. Crashes, passing, bikes running wide, you name it, it had it.Well to no surprise, Honda continues its dominance in the premier class and in specific a young world champion who wears the number 92. Poor Lorenzo....it must be emotionally draining knowing you put it all on the table and it still wasn&#x27;t close to enough....even for second on the podium. That said lots of credit to Dani for sticking to a solid race plan and securing a 2nd spot late in the race. Hopefully he can take away the fact that he is still the fastest when it comes to starting and winning the first lap... Bradl and Smith decided to show up and make me look good this weekend both finishing 1,3 respectively (without big 4). Thanks boys. I wont mention the other riders just because I&#x27;d be here rambling forever. Great overall event and equally as good results at the betting window! We have a quick turn around as the premier class takes us to Jerez next Sunday.See you in Spain

MoreGeezer · Answer

Man that was a great week-end for ya.Congrats.I didn't like Smith and Bradl bets because i clearly overvalued Dovizioso who screwed me last race;didn't happen this time.Great bet on Lorenzo(where did you get the line?i wish i had that too :) )
Anyway i didn 't have much time this week to post,sorry if i showed up late.My only other bet for the race was Bradl over Bautista at 1.55.Good race for me overall.
Got screwed in sbk thanks to the weird atmosphere conditions though

MotoGP - Argentina - Termas de Rio Hondo

Hot Forum Topics