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    All Forums | Nascar

    MotoGP - Argentina - GP Red Bull de la República Argentina

    The-OG-GunClapa
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 395
    Posts: 7
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 15, 2015 - 8:52 PM ET #1

    Qatar 1-6, -22.5      Rossi +2500. Unreal.
    Texas 2-3, -10         Pol Espargaro getting taken out killed any chance of a positive weekend


    Race Wagers
    To Win Race: 2-1, +30
    Win Without Big 4:
    To Podium:
    Dual Forecast: 
    Top 6 Podium:
    Head-to-Head: 1-2, -10
    Group Betting: 0-2, -20
    Parlays:
    1st Lap Winner: 0-2, -12.5
    Live-in Play: 0-1, -10
    Total: 3-8, -12.5

    Qualifying Wagers
    Fastest Qualifier: 0-1, -10
    Head-to-Head: 
    Total: 0-1, -10

    Season Total: 3-9, -32.5

    About the circuit

    The Termas de Río Hondo Circuit is located 6km from the city which gives the venue its name, in the Province of Santiago del Estero. It was built in a 150 hectare area and officially inaugurated on May 11, 2008, during the visit of Argentina´s Touring Car Racing championship. In 2012, the reconditioning, enlargement and modernization of the circuit began, with the purpose of turning it into Latin America’s most modern, safe and vibrant circuit.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Qatar 1-6, -22.5      Rossi +2500. Unreal.
    Texas 2-3, -10         Pol Espargaro getting taken out killed any chance of a positive weekend


    Race Wagers
    To Win Race: 2-1, +30
    Win Without Big 4:
    To Podium:
    Dual Forecast: 
    Top 6 Podium:
    Head-to-Head: 1-2, -10
    Group Betting: 0-2, -20
    Parlays:
    1st Lap Winner: 0-2, -12.5
    Live-in Play: 0-1, -10
    Total: 3-8, -12.5

    Qualifying Wagers
    Fastest Qualifier: 0-1, -10
    Head-to-Head: 
    Total: 0-1, -10

    Season Total: 3-9, -32.5

    About the circuit

    The Termas de Río Hondo Circuit is located 6km from the city which gives the venue its name, in the Province of Santiago del Estero. It was built in a 150 hectare area and officially inaugurated on May 11, 2008, during the visit of Argentina´s Touring Car Racing championship. In 2012, the reconditioning, enlargement and modernization of the circuit began, with the purpose of turning it into Latin America’s most modern, safe and vibrant circuit.
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 2:59 PM ET #2

    Marc Marquez to Win Race (-200)      30/15
    Bet Placed 4/15/15 @WilliamHill

    Until books start recognizing and readjusting their lines I will continue to take advantage of the world champion being priced at just a 2/1 favorite. Before I go and scout lines across multiple books I try to come up with my own prices based on a few different criteria. Past results, current form, drive to win, and wagering odds. Those are the main things I look at when placing a wager before the weekend starts. Obviously if you wait till race day you can use a few other things to help handicap the race. Most books have 93 at -225 to -300 respectively. That alone gives us a value of 25-75 cents on our dollar. Not to shabby. If we went even further and used the -350 line I have Marquez pegged at then we would be getting an extra 1.25 on each dollar wager. The value is there. Take the wager today before the weekend results drive it up. 
    He won here last year and I don't expect anything less from him this time around. 
    Reply
    Marc Marquez to Win Race (-200)      30/15
    Bet Placed 4/15/15 @WilliamHill

    Until books start recognizing and readjusting their lines I will continue to take advantage of the world champion being priced at just a 2/1 favorite. Before I go and scout lines across multiple books I try to come up with my own prices based on a few different criteria. Past results, current form, drive to win, and wagering odds. Those are the main things I look at when placing a wager before the weekend starts. Obviously if you wait till race day you can use a few other things to help handicap the race. Most books have 93 at -225 to -300 respectively. That alone gives us a value of 25-75 cents on our dollar. Not to shabby. If we went even further and used the -350 line I have Marquez pegged at then we would be getting an extra 1.25 on each dollar wager. The value is there. Take the wager today before the weekend results drive it up. 
    He won here last year and I don't expect anything less from him this time around. 
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2015 - 12:13 PM ET #3

    Marc Marquez Fastest Qualifier (-125)     10/8
    Bet Placed 4/18/15 @ WilliamHill 

    After watching FP3 this bet is no brainer. Also the two major books for MotoGP wagering have Marc to take Pole Position @ -175 making this wager even more enticing. Marquez managed to take the fastest time in free practice 3 even after a small hiccup in the final turn losing about 0.1 seconds. He should take his second straight pole this afternoon.
    Reply
    Marc Marquez Fastest Qualifier (-125)     10/8
    Bet Placed 4/18/15 @ WilliamHill 

    After watching FP3 this bet is no brainer. Also the two major books for MotoGP wagering have Marc to take Pole Position @ -175 making this wager even more enticing. Marquez managed to take the fastest time in free practice 3 even after a small hiccup in the final turn losing about 0.1 seconds. He should take his second straight pole this afternoon.
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2015 - 12:20 PM ET #4

    Jorge Lorenzo to Beat Cal Crutchlow in Qualifying (+100)   10/10
    Bet Placed 4/18/15 @ Bet365

    Feels like deja vu. Cal managed another super fast lap in FP3 just like last weekend in Austin. Can he finally replicate that in Qualifying? I wager not. Last weekend he could only muster the 7th quickest time in QP2 after being the quickest rider up until that point. I think Jorge will push hard to be up near the front and has tons of motivation to do so. Faster bike, better rider, I'll take plus money all day long.

    Reply
    Jorge Lorenzo to Beat Cal Crutchlow in Qualifying (+100)   10/10
    Bet Placed 4/18/15 @ Bet365

    Feels like deja vu. Cal managed another super fast lap in FP3 just like last weekend in Austin. Can he finally replicate that in Qualifying? I wager not. Last weekend he could only muster the 7th quickest time in QP2 after being the quickest rider up until that point. I think Jorge will push hard to be up near the front and has tons of motivation to do so. Faster bike, better rider, I'll take plus money all day long.

     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 19, 2015 - 2:14 PM ET #5

    Lorenzo to Win Without Marquez (+250)     10/25
    Rossi to Win Without Marquez (+200)      10/20
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ WilliamHill 

    Parlay
    Iannone to Beat Dovizioso
    Smith to Beat P.Espargaro
    (+253)     10/35.35
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ Bet365 
    Reply
    Lorenzo to Win Without Marquez (+250)     10/25
    Rossi to Win Without Marquez (+200)      10/20
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ WilliamHill 

    Parlay
    Iannone to Beat Dovizioso
    Smith to Beat P.Espargaro
    (+253)     10/35.35
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ Bet365 
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 19, 2015 - 2:14 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa:

    Lorenzo to Win Without Marquez (+250)     10/25
    Rossi to Win Without Marquez (+200)      10/20
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ WilliamHill 

    Parlay
    Iannone to Beat Dovizioso
    Smith to Beat P.Espargaro
    (+253)     10/25.35
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ Bet365 

    Adjusted return on parlay
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa:

    Lorenzo to Win Without Marquez (+250)     10/25
    Rossi to Win Without Marquez (+200)      10/20
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ WilliamHill 

    Parlay
    Iannone to Beat Dovizioso
    Smith to Beat P.Espargaro
    (+253)     10/25.35
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ Bet365 

    Adjusted return on parlay
     
     
    The-OG-GunClapa
    The-OG-GunClapa
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 5553
    Posted: Apr. 19, 2015 - 2:35 PM ET #7

    Marc Marquez 1st Lap Winner (+138)     10/13.8
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ Bet365 

    Reply
    Marc Marquez 1st Lap Winner (+138)     10/13.8
    Bet Placed 4/19/15 @ Bet365 

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