Kentucky

(-39.73 units YTD)

14 +2250

larry, by the time that play hits this year you will be lucky to recover all your losses from playing him every week. Smoke might not win at all this year.

chances of that happening slim 2 none!!!!   only chance he won't get it back is if Tony's 1st win comes at The Glen or once the chase starts.. I think he wins b4 chase starts...  It's when u write Tony off and least expect it he comes out of no where!!!

You guys are like a broken record with this whole bet tony thing lol...makes no sense on a down year

Like Shooter said, even if he does win, you will be lucky at best to break even

 r u new 2 Nascar ? what makes u think its a down year because he hasn't  won yet ?? is Kenseth,Kahne, and Stewart all having down years ?? 

At some point, someone will pull Smoke aside and explain to him that he will never win another race in NASCAR with his current level of fitness. Subtract Kyle Busch from the list of winners in 2014, and you have a pretty fit looking group of guys. Not a coincidence.

Lots of great tracks left on the schedule (Daytona, The Glen, Indy, Atlanta). Gotta figure he will start trying some fuel mileage tricks if he is running bad in a particular race with the Chase getting near. I believe he has won at every track on the remaining schedule except Kentucky. Just need a couple wins guys.

  I wouldn't exactly say Joey Logano or Jr r fit by any means!!!  and Jeff Gordon's back ?? 

Are you kidding about Logano, Kyle, Junior? Logano is in the gym every day almost lifting and doing cardio. He is in tremenspdous shape. And Tony always been bigger so the theory is out the window anyway. Gordon, dude is 43 I think and his back isnt because he not fit. Its because age starts getting to you.
As for the topic, 14 will win a race and make chase IMO but I dont think you will recover your losses of betting him weekly

Joey Logano at 6'1" and 140 lbs is not tremendous shape lol! I think he needs to hit the weights a little more and do a little less cardio... I would guess he has problems doing a push up or two at those stats.

 Most drivers are apart of some kind of workout program designed by fitness professionals that focus on improving areas of the body that take wear and tear in the car while racing. That does not mean that their overall fitness level is where is should be though. I would guess that Edwards workout program in a lot more strenuous than Logano's.

 I think there is more still going on with Tony Stewarts leg than he has let on all year, which would be negatively limiting his workout routine over the past year and maybe why he seems a little "bigger" lately. He seems to be finding his groove over the past few races and I see him winning a race this year.

As far as recovering your losses and profiting on this strategy of betting him every week you would have to win with him twice, or one win by increasing your wager amount every week which could get costly. I wish you the best of luck Larry and hope it works out for you.

Would like to add that most of my deficit is due to shitty results on matchups. Tony gets a unit a week, if he wins twice he pays for HIMSELF. Gotta do do better on the props and matchups. Will be adding some fade material when the matchups come out later in the day

The entire point of this thread is it's dumb to bet tony week after week on a down year...you will not recover your losses and will be lucky to break even...it's retarded to bet him every week...why not bet Larson who is due to win any time now every week instead and get better odds

Matty at +1000 

Games, your definition of being in shape and mine must be different. You cannot compare Joey to Edwards, thats silly. There isnt another driver in the garage that is Carl excpet Martin when he was there. You can lift but not be buff. You saying JJ and Carl are the same? Or Kahne? They can run a half Marathon in an hour and a half but I bet couldn't lift 225. Define shape at weightlifting or being in shape with cardio. There is a huge difference

Adding:

4 under 5.5 -115 to win 2 units

24 top 5 +130 risking 1 unit

Adding:

2,4,24,48 wins -120 to win 1 unit.

That's it boys, enjoy the race

Just saying Logano is not in "tremendous" shape. The rest of the guys you mentioned all have a decent height to weight ratio and can probably all bench their own body weight, which I doubt Logano could do. You can lift and not be buff, but you can't have a good workout regimen and be as scrawny as logano is. His Body Mass Index would be 18 which is too thin for his height. Just my $.02

Sorry for all the off topic post in your thread Larry, there is just way to much time to kill during the day for a night race

Stewart dropped 11 spots already...let's keep betting him

Somebody's got a hard on for not liking bets on Stewart. Lets not turn this into the rest of these forums . What was that an in-race post on a random lap to tell me that Tony Stewart dropped 11 spots? I believe he started 43rd due to a tran change.I get it, I know. Tony sucks this year. Just like a lot of years... Before he wins several races. I wish you luck in your threads ( that are without a record or YTD numbers but you claim to be up many THOUSANDS sometimes) yet you bash someone who bets on a driver that has won a race every year since the 1990's at every kind of track? I still wish you good luck and stay out of jail buddy. Can't wait for Daytona next week

Not really rooting against you...just trying to save you some money bud...he just doesn't have it this year...daytona might be where he does get it but his odds will be like 15-1 probably and not even get you back what you have lost unless you really load up on him. If he is gonna win any time soon though, it will be daytona...