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    All Forums | Nascar

    Handicapping Nascar?

    Zaphod
    madshooter72
    stats1
    TREE88
    thetomcat1
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 891
    Posts: 9
     
    Zaphod
    Zaphod
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2014
    Posts: 13
    Posted: Feb. 25, 2014 - 11:00 PM ET #1

    I am new to this site and I had no idea people could handicap NASCAR races this is mind-blowing to me. I am trying to learn how to handicap how does one go about it? Yet another way to make money it does not get better than this. To many variables to me since in sense you are mixing man and machine.

    I get that for example, Dale Earnhardt Jr. is a great racer and has a great crew but still the mechanical aspect how do you handicap that?
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I am new to this site and I had no idea people could handicap NASCAR races this is mind-blowing to me. I am trying to learn how to handicap how does one go about it? Yet another way to make money it does not get better than this. To many variables to me since in sense you are mixing man and machine.

    I get that for example, Dale Earnhardt Jr. is a great racer and has a great crew but still the mechanical aspect how do you handicap that?
     
    madshooter72
    madshooter72
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 6778
    Posted: Feb. 26, 2014 - 8:14 AM ET #2

    A lot goes into predicting how you think a driver will finish a race. Clearly we can't predict when and engine mishap happens, but we can look at data that backs up how a driver tends to run at certain tracks. You can look at loop data, driver ratings, previous history and also how a team has looked thus far during the year. Matchups are were the money is to be made...We all play To Wins but that is more of playing value and getting lucky. Example, Edwards opened up as a 20-1 fav. this week, well last year he won 1 race here and nearly won the second. There is great value in him at those odds hence the early play. I am sure more people can add to this, but just hang around in here all year and you will learn a lot. Good luck this year.
    Reply
    A lot goes into predicting how you think a driver will finish a race. Clearly we can't predict when and engine mishap happens, but we can look at data that backs up how a driver tends to run at certain tracks. You can look at loop data, driver ratings, previous history and also how a team has looked thus far during the year. Matchups are were the money is to be made...We all play To Wins but that is more of playing value and getting lucky. Example, Edwards opened up as a 20-1 fav. this week, well last year he won 1 race here and nearly won the second. There is great value in him at those odds hence the early play. I am sure more people can add to this, but just hang around in here all year and you will learn a lot. Good luck this year.
     
    stats1
    stats1
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2009
    Posts: 8153
    Posted: Feb. 26, 2014 - 1:02 PM ET #3

    Matchup's r where the  is playing Nascar is kind of like golf matchup's sometimes u r playing the mu because u like the guy u r betting on and sometimes u r fading the other guy and sometimes I just can't pass up a mu due 2 value... hitting a winner takes some knowledge but more luck if u ask me ...   Bol this year Buddy 
    Reply
    Matchup's r where the  is playing Nascar is kind of like golf matchup's sometimes u r playing the mu because u like the guy u r betting on and sometimes u r fading the other guy and sometimes I just can't pass up a mu due 2 value... hitting a winner takes some knowledge but more luck if u ask me ...   Bol this year Buddy 
     
    TREE88
    TREE88
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    Joined: Feb, 2008
    Posts: 20749
    Posted: Feb. 27, 2014 - 6:03 PM ET #4

    I agree with both post above. Match ups is where I make my money. I usually always play small on long shots to win and very rarely expect them to come in. If I feel strong about a certain driver winning a race I will bump up my wager as you can get well quick hitting the winner.

     

    GL this year.

     

    Reply

    I agree with both post above. Match ups is where I make my money. I usually always play small on long shots to win and very rarely expect them to come in. If I feel strong about a certain driver winning a race I will bump up my wager as you can get well quick hitting the winner.

     

    GL this year.

     

     
    madshooter72
    madshooter72
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    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 6778
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2014 - 8:19 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by TexanGambler:

    Money management. you can cheat your sportsbooks if you don't care winning or losing.

     

     

     

    this coming from the guy who bets EVERY SINGLE matchup ....LMAO.............Don't LISTEN to this guy, he is full of crap. Posting winners after the race...etc.....

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TexanGambler:

    Money management. you can cheat your sportsbooks if you don't care winning or losing.

     

     

     

    this coming from the guy who bets EVERY SINGLE matchup ....LMAO.............Don't LISTEN to this guy, he is full of crap. Posting winners after the race...etc.....

     
    madshooter72
    madshooter72
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 6778
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #6

    TG,  Than how do you explain this?

     

    Posted: 2/15/2014 11:22:42 PM

    RACE WINNERS - SPRINT UNLIMITED @ DAYTONA
    1 MCMURRAY 14-1 ...10.00
    2 STEWART 11-1 ...10.00
    3 HAMLIN 11-1 ...10.00
    4 KYBUSCH 7.5-1 ...10.00

    RACE MATCHUPS
    MCMURRAY OVER EDWARDS -115 ...10.00
    HAMLIN OVER LOGANO -125 ...10.00
    KYBUSCH OVER HARVICK +100 ...10.00
    GORDON OVER KUBUSCH +100 ...10.00
    EARNHARDT OVER KENSETH -130 ...10.00
    KESELOWSKI OVER JOHNSON -115 ...10.00

    RACE MATCHUPS
    MCMURRAY OVER EDWARDS -125 ...10.00
    HAMLIN OVER LOGANO -140 ...10.00
    KYBUSCH OVER KENSETH -115 ...10.00
    AMBROSE OVER STENHOUSE +110 ...10.00
    GORDON OVER JOHNSON -110 ...10.00
    EARNHARDT OVER HARVICK -115 ...10.00
    KESELOWSKI OVER KUBUSCH +105 ...10.00
    HARVICK OVER KENSETH -115 ...10.00
    NEWMAN OVER LOGANO -140 ...10.00
    PATRICK OVER STENHOUSE -115 ...10.00 




    race started at 8 PM, it was already over when you posted the above, which by the way is in your thread...

    Time stamps on Covers doesn't lie.


    I await your response  

    Reply

    TG,  Than how do you explain this?

     

    Posted: 2/15/2014 11:22:42 PM

    RACE WINNERS - SPRINT UNLIMITED @ DAYTONA
    1 MCMURRAY 14-1 ...10.00
    2 STEWART 11-1 ...10.00
    3 HAMLIN 11-1 ...10.00
    4 KYBUSCH 7.5-1 ...10.00

    RACE MATCHUPS
    MCMURRAY OVER EDWARDS -115 ...10.00
    HAMLIN OVER LOGANO -125 ...10.00
    KYBUSCH OVER HARVICK +100 ...10.00
    GORDON OVER KUBUSCH +100 ...10.00
    EARNHARDT OVER KENSETH -130 ...10.00
    KESELOWSKI OVER JOHNSON -115 ...10.00

    RACE MATCHUPS
    MCMURRAY OVER EDWARDS -125 ...10.00
    HAMLIN OVER LOGANO -140 ...10.00
    KYBUSCH OVER KENSETH -115 ...10.00
    AMBROSE OVER STENHOUSE +110 ...10.00
    GORDON OVER JOHNSON -110 ...10.00
    EARNHARDT OVER HARVICK -115 ...10.00
    KESELOWSKI OVER KUBUSCH +105 ...10.00
    HARVICK OVER KENSETH -115 ...10.00
    NEWMAN OVER LOGANO -140 ...10.00
    PATRICK OVER STENHOUSE -115 ...10.00 




    race started at 8 PM, it was already over when you posted the above, which by the way is in your thread...

    Time stamps on Covers doesn't lie.


    I await your response  

     
    madshooter72
    madshooter72
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 6778
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2014 - 12:58 PM ET #7

    Also, NO ONE in here takes you seriously, You KNOW absolutely NOTHING about NASCAR.....this has been proven over the years. You have never contributed anything to our weekly discussion in the past 4 years. Everyone that ventures into your thread does it for a laugh.
    Reply
    Also, NO ONE in here takes you seriously, You KNOW absolutely NOTHING about NASCAR.....this has been proven over the years. You have never contributed anything to our weekly discussion in the past 4 years. Everyone that ventures into your thread does it for a laugh.
     
    madshooter72
    madshooter72
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2006
    Posts: 6778
    Posted: Mar. 1, 2014 - 10:05 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by TexanGambler:

    Honest picks



    Says you, ( very little credibility on here ).....Why post this at all, what exactly is the point?

    ANYONE can post winners after the fact.....for someone who has been on these boards for a few years, YOU SHOULD KNOW BETTER
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TexanGambler:

    Honest picks



    Says you, ( very little credibility on here ).....Why post this at all, what exactly is the point?

    ANYONE can post winners after the fact.....for someone who has been on these boards for a few years, YOU SHOULD KNOW BETTER
     
     
    thetomcat1
    thetomcat1
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 1270
    Posted: Mar. 2, 2014 - 4:27 AM ET #9

    Texangambler is a DOUCHEBAG  !!!!!!!!!!!  This guy cannot even put complete sentences together!  It's almost like your mentally challenged, but everyone is calling YOU OUT NOW!  Whatever Forum any of us go into and YOU-Texasgambler ALL GIVE US A GREAT   with your CRAZY Picks that have already happened in that sport!  PLEASE in the <3 of GOD, GO AWAY!! 
    Reply
    Texangambler is a DOUCHEBAG  !!!!!!!!!!!  This guy cannot even put complete sentences together!  It's almost like your mentally challenged, but everyone is calling YOU OUT NOW!  Whatever Forum any of us go into and YOU-Texasgambler ALL GIVE US A GREAT   with your CRAZY Picks that have already happened in that sport!  PLEASE in the <3 of GOD, GO AWAY!! 
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