Fontana Plays

I have to give the books some credit.  They put up some really tough matchups for this race.  Guys like Newman, Truex, and Larson, who we all think have good value, are matched up against each other.  Not good for us bettors, but very smart by the books.

Few early plays

Menard -130 over Vickers
Kahne -110 over Edwards
Allmendinger -115 over Almirola

Really glad to see them keep putting up this Allmendinger play.  This play hasn't lost yet. 

Not sure who is going to keep up with Harvick, and because of how dominant he's been I wouldn't be surprised to see some crazy fuel mileage strategy, some stops where someone doesn't take any new tires, etc.  Should make for an interesting race though.

I  like this Menard over Vickers play. When it comes to 2 mile tracks Menard is a beast! He has the best avg finish than anyone in nascar( 7.1 )for the last 6 races. His last 4 finishes are 4th4th9th and 4th on 2 mile tracks. Where Vickers results have not been up to par. his last three races from last year are 19th42nd and 7th.

Like the play ..gl..

Good stuff Lugs...thanks

What do you think of this?

Paul Menard over David Regan  -115?

David has one one the best rides there is under his belt.. with a pit crew and crew chief.. that is top notch and better than anything he has ever had before. David has always finished better than he`s started with on 2 mile tracks. Just don`t see him in the same caliber as Menard.

Edge to Paul? I`m leaning that way.

Too many unknowns with Ragan for me to bet on, but im a conservative bettor. If you feel good about it i say go for it

Anyone else starting to get the feeling Kurt Busch may be racing with more determination than anyone else this year?  Came back last week and had a great run...fast in practice on a 2 mile track...takes the pole...

I expect big things out of Kurt this year. He is a talented racer that is motivated now, a previous champion, he's in the same equipment as Harvick, and has a more "technical" crew chief this year that I really think will get him on the right track

It just so happens that his first three races back are some of his better tracks although ever since the crew chief swap last season they have been progressing as a team finishing top 11 in 4 of the last 5 races to close out the 2014 season

It's hard to ignore Menards numbers at Fontana, plus your taking a chevy over a toyota - which have yet to impress me this year.

18 looks fast this week but I would give the edge to Menard in that one

flip a coin   

Adding

Newman under 11.5 position
Ragan under 17.5 position

Love the Newman under 11.5  prop 

GL alan,,,,,, some nice plays there 

Anyone got the guts to take Stenhouse +100 over Danica? I know Roush has been slow...but it's tempting...