Bristol

 Bristol is one of my favorite races of the year. I try to make it to the Bristol Night race every summer and this year should be no different. When it comes to the high bank half mile of Bristol Motor speedway it's a racer's racetrack where certain driver's excel. I went ahead and took my chances on openers this week.

Last year most of the favorites odds either stayed the same or got better before the race other than Keselowski, who closed at +350 as the race favorite. I had to jump on Busch this week early because of that, this race last year he posted 1st, 3rd, and 5th in practices sessions.


  Qualifying Matchup 
Risk 3.25 units to win 2.5
Hamlin -130 over JR


  Race Winner Plays 
2 units - Kenseth +875
Led in all four races since joining JGR totaling 461 laps led, Avg Driver Rating of 117 during those four races

2 units - Ku Busch +775 
Tied for most wins here at 5, if he can keep his car in one piece he typically runs really well here. He knows he needs a win and this may be one of his best shots. Not liking his odds at all here (opened +2500 and +1500 last year!) but he can wheel a car around here to put up decent practice/qualifying time keeping his odds lower than they should be.

.5 units - Kahne +2350
One of the better drivers on the current track configuration, other than a crash he would have 5 straight top 10 finishes, 1 win, 2nd, and over 200 laps led.

.5 units - McMurray +5500
Picked up Kahne's old crew chief starting in 2014 and led 145 laps in the fall race last year. I'm thinking he kept his setup notes.. His driver rating shot from 78 to over 100 at Bristol last year.

.3 units - Edwards +1250
Concrete Carl - His success combined with Gibbs at this track will be to hard to ignore. I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his 1st win for JGR here.

More to come closer to race time, waiting on H2H's until after practice sessions.

  Let's Go Short Track Racing - Good Luck! 

Bol buddy   I thought all the open odds were terrible except Gordon and Carl at 13-1

 I think the books are starting to get sharper with their Nascar lines

Even Carl's odds are low at 13-1, last year he opened at 27-1 and 23-1!

I had Carl at 25-1 last year...I think Dale Jr is a great bargain this year...he is knocking on that door of winning...Hamlin good odds too...and I had to take Harvick blah just because.....

Great start to the weekend! All 5 early picks starting in the top 10 which is very important here at Bristol.

Qualified
Kenseth   1st
Kurt   7th
Kahne   8th
McMurray   10th
Edwards   3rd


Qualifying -  Hamlin -130 over JR   (+2.5 units)

Nice job GTB,,,,,, get em Sunday!! 

   Xfinity Race  

2.6 units -  Hamlin -105 over Dillon

I like this one also. I actually took it before the first practice at -115.Now dimes has it at +110..Kyle has won 6 of the last 10 races in that 54 at Bristol..Denny has not done well with the 54 yet look for him to turn that around today.

gl
lugs

Every1 and the mother had this mu fuking Dillon finishes 3 laps down and we lose by 67 laps ...  

  Ya boys that's a tough way to lose a matchup. Dillon had all kinds of issues and Hamlin still couldn't beat him. Not really his fault but damn he has been unimpressive in the #54 this year compared to what Kyle Busch has been able to do in that car in the past..

Pretty amazing picks for the winners.  Got to think one of them hits!!!

That was just going to be to easy.. Hamlin took 2 tires and running 3rd and holding his own.Just waiting to get 4 on the next stop and show what he had. Dillion back in 12th and fading fast after the damage on pit road. It was the perfect set up..then rear end gear came out. of all things a rear end gear!. Back in 2012 this was a issue when teams were playing with them to get the most out of them but that rarely happens today. oh well ..that`s racing.

  Looks like we will have a hard time getting the race in today, even if they do it will most likely be shortened by rain throwing any capping strategy out the window on this one

With that being said I will add one more race winner play and stay away from H2H's today. Adding

   Hamlin +1650

Dale Jr at +2500 is also very tempting... To be honest this race is about as wide open as I have seen a race at Bristol in a while. Other than the #4 car no other team/car was very consistent. Like others on here I thought highly of the Gibbs cars this week, they look ok on single lap speeds but seem to fall of on long runs.

 I'm also noticing a trend when it come to bristol odds, this year again other than Harvick the race favorites are what they opened at or better. The biggest movers where Kahne (+2350 to +650) and Mcmurray (+5500 to 2500)


I threw in a small longshot parlay in today across all 3 race series just for fun.

Hamilton Wins F1 Race
Montoya over Power (Indy)
Castroneves over Pageneaud (Indy)
McMurray over Stewart
Menard over Biffle
Risk .5 units to win 5     

  Great call Nascar, got a whole 20 laps in and took out two of the race favorites! Not that I'm complaining about that .. I wouldn't be surprised to see Nascar bend the rules for their golden team and let them race their backup cars.


I'm throwing a couple of bullets in the Indy Race to kill some time 

Indy Race Winner Plays
Montoya +450
Pagenaud +800

Alright night racing at Bristol again!

Race is back on Fox Sports 1

Indy Race Winner Plays were a bust but my Parlay is still alive!

Hamilton Wins F1 Race  WON
Montoya over Power (Indy)  WON
Castroneves over Pageneaud (Indy)  WON
McMurray over Stewart
Menard over Biffle


Hopefully with different track conditions somebody can beat the #4 team!

WOW, Hamlin out of the Race WTF

Since Hamlin started the race I'm pretty sure all his bets stand 


Could be one of the oddest starts to a race I have seen...

Great hit on Kenseth buddy 

  Race WINNER - Kenseth +875 (2 units)


Definitely an odd race but came out on top with Kenseth somehow coming out with a win after all that. McMurray smacking the wall with 30 to go cost me an additional $500 but can't get greedy..

On to Richmond for back-to-back NIGHT short track races!

Nice hits this weekend GTB         Keep it up