JT - I was thinking of props this morning. Might have to take a look on the late game and then for tomorrow. Agree on Hamels, not sure the case for backing him at higher price than Lee
GL today
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LaDaddy, D-Town - thanks fellas.
JT - I was thinking of props this morning. Might have to take a look on the late game and then for tomorrow. Agree on Hamels, not sure the case for backing him at higher price than Lee
I'm not sure how people are comfortable laying more with Hamels than the line for Game 1 with Lee. I understand Hamels is a lefty and following the Game 1 loss, the Rockies are now 3-13 vs a left handed starter on a team with a winning record. However, I'm on the Rockies for a few reasons. Hamels has been inconsistent all year especially vs teams with winning records, during the day and over the course of his last 6 starts.
Hamels stats based on these splits:
vs. Winning Teams : 3-5 with a 4.78 ERA
Day Starts : 0-6 with a 5.44 ERA
Last 6 starts : 2-4 with a 4.68 ERA
In 2009, Hamels had only 3 quality starts in 13 outings vs teams with winning records. And over his last 6 starts, he has 2 wins vs the AA Mets and AAA Nationals.
Sure, the Rockies can't hit lefties, but they just faced one yesterday, so Hamels shouldn't catch them off guard. Cole normally follows Blanton in the rotation, so I'm challenging Charlie Manuel by not throwing a righty sandwiched in between Lee and Hamels. Cole won't be as effective as Lee especially considering the Rockies essentially faced the same pitcher yesterday.
Opposing Hamels os Aaron Cook, who by no means is better than Ubaldo Jimenez, but is vastly different. In fact, he's quite the opposite of Jimenez. From a line perspective, no reason Phils backers should be laying more today with Hamels vs. Cook. The discrepency between the Game 1 and Game 2 starters doesn't warrant a higher line. What I love is Cook essentially throws junk and that's the kind of stuff that's going to frustrate the Phillies lineup especially after seeing Jimenez's fastball over and over again just yesterday.
In sumamry, I think the pitching transitions favors the Rockies and I don't think Hamels warrants this price especially following Lee. Think this is more of a negative than a positive.
We'll see if Manuel made the right call ...
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psantana, Hot Route - Thanks, GL today
I'm not sure how people are comfortable laying more with Hamels than the line for Game 1 with Lee. I understand Hamels is a lefty and following the Game 1 loss, the Rockies are now 3-13 vs a left handed starter on a team with a winning record. However, I'm on the Rockies for a few reasons. Hamels has been inconsistent all year especially vs teams with winning records, during the day and over the course of his last 6 starts.
Hamels stats based on these splits:
vs. Winning Teams : 3-5 with a 4.78 ERA
Day Starts : 0-6 with a 5.44 ERA
Last 6 starts : 2-4 with a 4.68 ERA
In 2009, Hamels had only 3 quality starts in 13 outings vs teams with winning records. And over his last 6 starts, he has 2 wins vs the AA Mets and AAA Nationals.
Sure, the Rockies can't hit lefties, but they just faced one yesterday, so Hamels shouldn't catch them off guard. Cole normally follows Blanton in the rotation, so I'm challenging Charlie Manuel by not throwing a righty sandwiched in between Lee and Hamels. Cole won't be as effective as Lee especially considering the Rockies essentially faced the same pitcher yesterday.
Opposing Hamels os Aaron Cook, who by no means is better than Ubaldo Jimenez, but is vastly different. In fact, he's quite the opposite of Jimenez. From a line perspective, no reason Phils backers should be laying more today with Hamels vs. Cook. The discrepency between the Game 1 and Game 2 starters doesn't warrant a higher line. What I love is Cook essentially throws junk and that's the kind of stuff that's going to frustrate the Phillies lineup especially after seeing Jimenez's fastball over and over again just yesterday.
In sumamry, I think the pitching transitions favors the Rockies and I don't think Hamels warrants this price especially following Lee. Think this is more of a negative than a positive.
Looks like we are in for a sweat job on the Rockies ... Wanted to post up the play for Cards/Dodgers play as I finally got the line I wanted. Should be able to put some thoughts in here before the game starts.
St. Louis Cardinals -105 (12 units to win 11.4)
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Looks like we are in for a sweat job on the Rockies ... Wanted to post up the play for Cards/Dodgers play as I finally got the line I wanted. Should be able to put some thoughts in here before the game starts.
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....gl today w/ ur play Spaz
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