Posted:
#1
Two early games jump out. Normally one thinks 'over in the AL, under in the NL', but I 'm banking on a reverse trend for these two early AM risers:
Odalis Peres @ Bronson Arroyo
NYM just have the Reds pitchers figured out, so the question is, if Mets are in a zone/groove, is Arroyo the stopper? He got unstoppable at the end of last yr, but Ii think he will 'live' off of that success for a few outings before becoming his old self. Also he's having arm problems that he is just recovering from.
Perez getting booed at home, having delivery problems.
This Ohio Park gave me fits last yr going over even 10 run totals with gd pitchers on the bump. Weather favors an over: Sunny with a 10 mph wind out to left.
OVER 9 NYM @ CIN Reds
DET @ TOR Det has yet to show they are a hitting monster team they get credit for. Two rookies get the rouindball, and that tells me, with two men on and 2 out, neither pitcher will throw a gooseball and gamble (like Blanton or Wellemeyer did yesterday). Rookies will play it tight, and hitters won't get into a groove. Managers will pull them once in trouble. TOR with a good pen.
UNDER 9.5 DET @ TOR
0
but maybe he will outperform his numbers. SEA hitting the ball well--for now. W/o Ichiro, they will become their old selves soon enuff.
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