Posted:
#126
I believe last payout I did was my first and that required a form of ID such as a license, but again that was over a year ago.
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Starting a thread on something I enjoy playing.
Posted:
#128
Another profitable day 
Dave I have been thinking about potentially supplementing your original system with a few moremore plays out of the throwback games (those over 7 that we don't bet on}
I made a test run yesterday with both winners unfortunately I don't have stats to see if it would be profitable in the long run.
So I picked 4 early games yesterday. Didn't bet the first inning at all. Out of those 4 games 2 had runs in 1st inning.As soon as one of the teams scored I bet on scoreless 2nd inning (and then 3rd inning if needed) So we had only 2 stage progression even if the bet would lose we would only be down 10 units instead of 26 unitsunits (in three steps progression) Both game cashed one in 2nd inning the other in the third.
Also wondering what would be the trend for games that had runs in both 1st and 2nd innings. In that case there would be no progression at all we would jump in straight on 3rd inning.
So to sum up if you find some free time could you take a look at stats for games over 7 that had runs in 1st inning and also for games that had runs in both 1st and 2nd inning.
Hope this makes sense.
Thanks Brother and BOL today 
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Posted:
#129
Quote Originally Posted by Arturo777:
Another profitable day
Another profitable day
Dave I have been thinking about potentially supplementing your original system with a few moremore plays out of the throwback games (those over 7 that we don't bet on}
I made a test run yesterday with both winners unfortunately I don't have stats to see if it would be profitable in the long run.
So I picked 4 early games yesterday. Didn't bet the first inning at all. Out of those 4 games 2 had runs in 1st inning.As soon as one of the teams scored I bet on scoreless 2nd inning (and then 3rd inning if needed) So we had only 2 stage progression even if the bet would lose we would only be down 10 units instead of 26 unitsunits (in three steps progression) Both game cashed one in 2nd inning the other in the third.
Also wondering what would be the trend for games that had runs in both 1st and 2nd innings. In that case there would be no progression at all we would jump in straight on 3rd inning.
So to sum up if you find some free time could you take a look at stats for games over 7 that had runs in 1st inning and also for games that had runs in both 1st and 2nd inning.
Hope this makes sense.
Thanks Brother and BOL today
Yeah, I'll see what I can dig up for that later on today. Got a busy early half of my Sunday but this evening for sure I will have time to sit down and sift through some numbers.
Good ideas too! I appreciate the input!
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Posted:
#130
Quote Originally Posted by Arturo777:
Another profitable day
Another profitable day
Dave I have been thinking about potentially supplementing your original system with a few moremore plays out of the throwback games (those over 7 that we don't bet on}
I made a test run yesterday with both winners unfortunately I don't have stats to see if it would be profitable in the long run.
So I picked 4 early games yesterday. Didn't bet the first inning at all. Out of those 4 games 2 had runs in 1st inning.As soon as one of the teams scored I bet on scoreless 2nd inning (and then 3rd inning if needed) So we had only 2 stage progression even if the bet would lose we would only be down 10 units instead of 26 unitsunits (in three steps progression) Both game cashed one in 2nd inning the other in the third.
Also wondering what would be the trend for games that had runs in both 1st and 2nd innings. In that case there would be no progression at all we would jump in straight on 3rd inning.
So to sum up if you find some free time could you take a look at stats for games over 7 that had runs in 1st inning and also for games that had runs in both 1st and 2nd inning.
Hope this makes sense.
Thanks Brother and BOL today
Chores got completed quicker than I expected so I ran through some numbers.
IF playing every game that was 7.5 total or below you would be
106-6 as of yesterdays games.
106 wins at 2.5 units is 265 units profit
6 losses at 30 units is -180 from profit
265-180 = +85 units of profit.. We would be down some money from if we just stayed with 7 runs or fewer.
If you bet on the second inning to score a run after the 1st inning did have a scored run you would be 79-53
79 win at 2.5 units is 197.5 units profit
(since its a single bet probably wagered 3-3.5 units)
53 losses at 3.25 (average wager) is -172.25 from profit
197.5 - 172.25 = +25.25 units
If a single wager placed on 3rd inning alone after consecutive scores in 1st and 2nd inning you would be 32-21
32 wins at 2.5 units is 80 units profit
21 losses at 3.25 avg wager is -68.25 units from profit
80- 68.25 = +11.75 units profit
For the A/B progression after a run scored in the first you would be 113-21
113 wins at 2.5 units is 282.5 units profit
Average A/B loss is roughly 15 units(if still trying to profit 2.5 units overall )
21 losses at -15 units = 315 units loss
-32.5 units
I saw you had posted 10 units for a loss but at odds between -110 and -140 Im not sure where that would come from. Even with me playing the game of getting lowest odds everyday my average B bet is about 15 units.
Hope this helps!
It was interesting to sift through the data to see if there was a better angle but from my results I like the plan we have in action. I prefer quality over quantity anyday. But thats just me.
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Posted:
#146
Quote Originally Posted by Dizzy_Dave:
CIN/NYM - 2nd Inning Scoreless +2.5 units
CIN/NYM - 2nd Inning Scoreless
+2.5 unitsDaily: 1-0 +2.5 units
Total: 18-0 +45 units
Possibly 1 or 2 more plays later. Will confirm before first pitch.
Kudos Dave!! Great spreadsheet and game pics:)
Been following this thread for a week or so and pulled the trigger betting live on the mets/cinn game.
Didn't see your post but jumped on it an hr pregame after seeing the line at 7.
I got kc-angels at 7 and padres-giants at 6.5 tonight... got a fav?
BOL and keep rockin it
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Posted:
#147
Quote Originally Posted by JL-SWFL:
Kudos Dave!! Great spreadsheet and game pics:)
Been following this thread for a week or so and pulled the trigger betting live on the mets/cinn game.
Didn't see your post but jumped on it an hr pregame after seeing the line at 7.
I got kc-angels at 7 and padres-giants at 6.5 tonight... got a fav?
BOL and keep rockin it
Kudos Dave!! Great spreadsheet and game pics:)
Been following this thread for a week or so and pulled the trigger betting live on the mets/cinn game.
Didn't see your post but jumped on it an hr pregame after seeing the line at 7.
I got kc-angels at 7 and padres-giants at 6.5 tonight... got a fav?
BOL and keep rockin it
Thank you! Glad you enjoy the spreadsheet and also made some profit!
Both will be a play as long as they are 7 or below immediately before the game starts here in an hour
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