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September Dogs - Starting with $4k

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Rookie
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Posted: #1201
For today, one small play or pass on the Twins Gm#1

Aug 21 8:10 pm -- 
Twins - T. Melville -R vs White Sox - C. Rodon -L
Twins - T. Melville -R +131
$77 to win $100.87

It qualifies, but I don't like betting double headers a whole lot so keep it small or pass!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1202
What system is at play here? Hope you don't mind me asking
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1203
What are your plays for this evening? 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1204
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

For today, one small play or pass on the Twins Gm#1

Aug 21 8:10 pm -- 
Twins - T. Melville -R vs White Sox - C. Rodon -L
Twins - T. Melville -R +131
$77 to win $100.87

It qualifies, but I don't like betting double headers a whole lot so keep it small or pass!
Trying to PM you for that info, won't let me...
 
Rookie
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Posted: #1205
Aug 22 8:15 pmRockies - J. Gray -R vs Royals - D. Duffy -L
Royals - D. Duffy -L -0.75 RL +107 
$140 to win $149.8

The ML, -0/75 RL and the -1 RL are all good here.

I'll respond soon to pms. Sorry been really busy.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1206
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Aug 22 8:15 pmRockies - J. Gray -R vs Royals - D. Duffy -L
Royals - D. Duffy -L -0.75 RL +107 
$140 to win $149.8

The ML, -0/75 RL and the -1 RL are all good here.

I'll respond soon to pms. Sorry been really busy.
No worries, thanks.  Can't get -.75 either :(
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1207
What is a -.75 RL? Isn't that essentially the ML?
 
Captain
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Posts: 9980
Posted: #1208
Quote Originally Posted by SBT:

What is a -.75 RL? Isn't that essentially the ML?
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102499747
The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
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Posted: #1209
Thanks herb 
 
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Posted: #1210
Won half on that last one -0.75 (win by 1 run):

Current Bankroll: $12,798.57
from $4000 (+219.96 units)
 
Rookie
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Posted: #1211
Combo Parlay 2 teamer:
New York Yankees - ML
Minnesota Twins - ML
$127 to win $186.69


 
Prospect
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Posted: #1212
what happened to "DOGS"?  just curious.  been following a while.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #1213
if you think about it, parlay is a dog bet.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1214
White Sox were big ruiners.  Thanks for sharing Herb.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #1215
Quote Originally Posted by bryanoens:

if you think about it, parlay is a dog bet.

Its hard to have complete foresight when you title a thread. The bottom line has always been dog odds for the bet itself (favorite runlines or parlays included then). 

I think, to answer your question 'therealdutchman' : I have a bias towards dog odds (so fav runlines or underdogs, etc): I started the thread for September where I had observed Dogs were money nearly on the blind....then observed the same thing in Aprils (start and end of seasons)...then it seemed people were asking me to continue. I've taken breaks in between. I wouldn't be posting non-pure-underdogs though, if it didn't seem that the public truly appreciated the other stuff I posted.

Cheers!
 
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Posted: #1216
In the future, with picks involving things other than underdogs, that are plus odds, I'll make a particular effort to explain what I like about the wager.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1217
All your insight is much appreciated!
 
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Posted: #1218
Dog Friday 
 
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Posted: #1219
Had a few favorites I kept to myself. Here's a qualifying underdog play as we go into September: the final month of regular MLB season!

Aug 26 7:15 pmRoyals vs Indians
Royals +143
J. Hammel -R 
$158 to win $225.94

*KEY SYSTEM OF THE DAY: A team in danger of falling back onto .500 off of a loss playing at the same site as the loss goes 524-437 +73.98 units.

The only thing worth taking here, in my opinion, is the moneyline. Its either win or lose by a lot for road dogs. The runline, historically, is a waste of time on this one (190-121 -2.3 units) fyi. 

Go Royals!
 
Captain
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Posted: #1220
Arizona yesterday. Can't believe the RL got moosed by an error.

I hope you still post favorites bud. Your knowledge is very insightful for all selections 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1221
Post whatever qualifies for plays. No need to filter out favorites just because a few posters think that goes against the thread title.
 
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Posts: 1959
Posted: #1222
Quote Originally Posted by shrimpy367:

Post whatever qualifies for plays. No need to filter out favorites just because a few posters think that goes against the thread title.

agreed
 
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Posts: 907
Posted: #1223
Great work in this thread, Herb. I'd third the idea of seeing your favourites.
 
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Posted: #1224
Or I guess I'm the fourth at this point haha
 
 
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Posted: #1225
Quote Originally Posted by shrimpy367:

Post whatever qualifies for plays. No need to filter out favorites just because a few posters think that goes against the thread title.

The dude abides 

Today's only qualifier for me happens to be a favorite:

Aug 27 1:05 pmMariners - A. Albers -L vs 
Yankees - M. Tanaka -R 
-1.25 RL +107
$327 to win $349.89

*KEY SYSTEM OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28tA%28hits/at%20bats%29%20%3C%3D%20.26%20and%20F%20and%20-250%20%3C%20line%20%3C%3D%20-155%20and%20o%3ASTDSERA%20%3C%3D%204.5%20and%2010%20%3E%20month%20%3E%205%29%20as%20%22In%20database%20history%2C%20favorites%20between%20-150%20and%20-250%20with%20a%20team%200.26%20batting%20average%20or%20lower%20are%201218-577%20%2B202.58%20units%20SU%20against%20a%20starter%20with%20an%20ERA%20less%20than%20or%20equal%20to%204.5%20%28regular%20season%2C%20excluding%20the%20first%20month%20when%20stats%20like%20this%20don%27t%20mean%20much%29.%22 against a starter with an ERA less than or equal to 4.5 (regular season, excluding the first month when stats like this don't mean much).
ACTIVE on the D-Backs, Dodgers and Yankees today.

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