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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    September Dogs - Starting with $4k

    «First Previous 484950 ... 646566 Next Last»
    CrazyBettor1289
    therealdutch
    The_Extremist
    herbshack
    YuBuuBuu
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 768918
    Posts: 1630
    «First Previous 484950 ... 646566 Next Last»
     
    CrazyBettor1289
    CrazyBettor1289
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2017 - 3:12 PM ET #1176

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    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2017 - 4:07 PM ET #1177

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Aug 18 7:10 pmDodgers - R. Hill -L vs Tigers - J. Zimmermann -R 
    Take: Tigers - J. Zimmermann -R +186
    $129 to win $239.94

    SYSTEM A: Plus .500 Teams off of a walk off win are 433-356 SU -103.72 units (+54.12 units to fade) against sub .500 teams.

    SYSTEM B: In the last game of a series, 120+ favorites off of 3+ straight wins are 180-155 -64.87 units SU (+13.2% roi to fade).

    GO TIGERS! 



    curious how this fits 'system B' as the "last game of a series"  thanks in advance. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Aug 18 7:10 pmDodgers - R. Hill -L vs Tigers - J. Zimmermann -R 
    Take: Tigers - J. Zimmermann -R +186
    $129 to win $239.94

    SYSTEM A: Plus .500 Teams off of a walk off win are 433-356 SU -103.72 units (+54.12 units to fade) against sub .500 teams.

    SYSTEM B: In the last game of a series, 120+ favorites off of 3+ straight wins are 180-155 -64.87 units SU (+13.2% roi to fade).

    GO TIGERS! 



    curious how this fits 'system B' as the "last game of a series"  thanks in advance. 
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2017 - 5:47 PM ET #1178

    Hey Herb, as you know I know SDQL really well . My question to you is.... how do you know the trend is a winner today . Obviously its 180-155 record for example. What makes it a play today and not the last time or the time before. Just curious. there are loses so it's not a 100% tend. what are you basing it on as a play for today. Thanks
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    Hey Herb, as you know I know SDQL really well . My question to you is.... how do you know the trend is a winner today . Obviously its 180-155 record for example. What makes it a play today and not the last time or the time before. Just curious. there are loses so it's not a 100% tend. what are you basing it on as a play for today. Thanks
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 9:06 AM ET #1179

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

    Hey Herb, as you know I know SDQL really well . My question to you is.... how do you know the trend is a winner today . Obviously its 180-155 record for example. What makes it a play today and not the last time or the time before. Just curious. there are loses so it's not a 100% tend. what are you basing it on as a play for today. Thanks

    The main factor way above the trend are my Raw Numbers I've talked about before.
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

    Hey Herb, as you know I know SDQL really well . My question to you is.... how do you know the trend is a winner today . Obviously its 180-155 record for example. What makes it a play today and not the last time or the time before. Just curious. there are loses so it's not a 100% tend. what are you basing it on as a play for today. Thanks

    The main factor way above the trend are my Raw Numbers I've talked about before.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 12:10 PM ET #1180

    For today a two team parlay:

    Boston Red Sox -1RL(Vs. Yankees) 
    +
    Colorado Rockies -1RL (Vs. Brewers)
    ------
    $207 to win $422.28

    ---------

    *SYSTEM OF THE DAY:
    Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. - Fade the Yanks, Brewers, Blue Jays and A's today!

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    For today a two team parlay:

    Boston Red Sox -1RL(Vs. Yankees) 
    +
    Colorado Rockies -1RL (Vs. Brewers)
    ------
    $207 to win $422.28

    ---------

    *SYSTEM OF THE DAY:
    Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. - Fade the Yanks, Brewers, Blue Jays and A's today!

     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 12:15 PM ET #1181

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:



    curious how this fits 'system B' as the "last game of a series"  thanks in advance. 

    Hey thanks for pointing out that error!

    The plain English description I stored is incorrect. Here's the actual sdql I'll share:

    p:LGS and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and line<-120 and op:L and opp:L

    That actually means, the last game the team off of 3+ straight wins played was the last game of THAT series....I don't know why I didn't just write, "in series game 1" lol

    Thanks man, I'll fix that in my database. Rest assured. A mistake wasn't made. I had a good system there that was indeed active...
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    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:



    curious how this fits 'system B' as the "last game of a series"  thanks in advance. 

    Hey thanks for pointing out that error!

    The plain English description I stored is incorrect. Here's the actual sdql I'll share:

    p:LGS and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and line<-120 and op:L and opp:L

    That actually means, the last game the team off of 3+ straight wins played was the last game of THAT series....I don't know why I didn't just write, "in series game 1" lol

    Thanks man, I'll fix that in my database. Rest assured. A mistake wasn't made. I had a good system there that was indeed active...
     
    YuBuuBuu
    YuBuuBuu
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 12:15 PM ET #1182

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For today a two team parlay:

    Boston Red Sox -1RL(Vs. Yankees) 
    +
    Colorado Rockies -1RL (Vs. Brewers)
    ------
    $207 to win $422.28

    ---------

    *SYSTEM OF THE DAY:
    Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. - Fade the Yanks, Brewers, Blue Jays and A's today!


    Disagree with fading the blue jays. Their numbers are very good vs Q
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    For today a two team parlay:

    Boston Red Sox -1RL(Vs. Yankees) 
    +
    Colorado Rockies -1RL (Vs. Brewers)
    ------
    $207 to win $422.28

    ---------

    *SYSTEM OF THE DAY:
    Since 2004, road dogs between +270 and +140 are just 726-1550 -336.17 units (+211.21 units to fade) SU with a few extra minor filters. - Fade the Yanks, Brewers, Blue Jays and A's today!


    Disagree with fading the blue jays. Their numbers are very good vs Q
     
    LuckysDad713
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 12:43 PM ET #1183

    Man, I don't get a -1RL...
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    Man, I don't get a -1RL...
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 1:11 PM ET #1184

    Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713:

    Man, I don't get a -1RL...

    Parlaying the moneylines here is also acceptable (same risk amount or slightly less). Most books offer the -1 now and you can parlay it. PM me and I'll recommend about 5-10 to you for that if interested.

    I also have an Excel -1RL calculator I created and share with anyone interested which shows you how much to wager on the -1.5 runline at any book you find the best odds at and likewise with the ML (two wagers that CREATE the same effect as the offered -1 for better odds almost 100% of the time). Pm for that as well if interested...

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    Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713:

    Man, I don't get a -1RL...

    Parlaying the moneylines here is also acceptable (same risk amount or slightly less). Most books offer the -1 now and you can parlay it. PM me and I'll recommend about 5-10 to you for that if interested.

    I also have an Excel -1RL calculator I created and share with anyone interested which shows you how much to wager on the -1.5 runline at any book you find the best odds at and likewise with the ML (two wagers that CREATE the same effect as the offered -1 for better odds almost 100% of the time). Pm for that as well if interested...

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 1:13 PM ET #1185

    Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu:


    Disagree with fading the blue jays. Their numbers are very good vs Q

    I agree. I like the BJays there too overall. Was just stating a fact (the system is ALSO active to fade them). It is just one factor of MANY I shared. Every wager will always have something wrong with it.
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    Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu:


    Disagree with fading the blue jays. Their numbers are very good vs Q

    I agree. I like the BJays there too overall. Was just stating a fact (the system is ALSO active to fade them). It is just one factor of MANY I shared. Every wager will always have something wrong with it.
     
    cisco
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 1:20 PM ET #1186

    If you can't get RL-1 here is the way to do it.
    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144213

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    If you can't get RL-1 here is the way to do it.
    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102144213

     
    LuckysDad713
    LuckysDad713
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2017 - 1:29 PM ET #1187

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Parlaying the moneylines here is also acceptable (same risk amount or slightly less). Most books offer the -1 now and you can parlay it. PM me and I'll recommend about 5-10 to you for that if interested.

    I also have an Excel -1RL calculator I created and share with anyone interested which shows you how much to wager on the -1.5 runline at any book you find the best odds at and likewise with the ML (two wagers that CREATE the same effect as the offered -1 for better odds almost 100% of the time). Pm for that as well if interested...

    Just sent a friend request to I can PM you.  Thanks man
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Parlaying the moneylines here is also acceptable (same risk amount or slightly less). Most books offer the -1 now and you can parlay it. PM me and I'll recommend about 5-10 to you for that if interested.

    I also have an Excel -1RL calculator I created and share with anyone interested which shows you how much to wager on the -1.5 runline at any book you find the best odds at and likewise with the ML (two wagers that CREATE the same effect as the offered -1 for better odds almost 100% of the time). Pm for that as well if interested...

    Just sent a friend request to I can PM you.  Thanks man
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 2:02 PM ET #1188

    Going off very soon!

    OAKLAND A's +206 
    $310 to win $638.6


    In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era.
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    Going off very soon!

    OAKLAND A's +206 
    $310 to win $638.6


    In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 2:04 PM ET #1189

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Going off very soon!

    OAKLAND A's +206 
    $310 to win $638.6


    In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era.

    Sorry. The odds are +218 now. (to win $678.28)
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Going off very soon!

    OAKLAND A's +206 
    $310 to win $638.6


    In the second half, Road AL pitchers with WHIPs of 1.4 to 1.5 have gone 209-175 (54.4%) SU +85.9 units post steroid era.

    Sorry. The odds are +218 now. (to win $678.28)
     
    monkeebooger
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 2:20 PM ET #1190

    Ugh was getting ready and missed it 
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    Ugh was getting ready and missed it 
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 4:09 PM ET #1191

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Ugh was getting ready and missed it 

    I'm sorry. I got this one so close to gametime.
    Been having a crazy weekend. 
    Some problems with the wife lately.

    If you guys want me to void it, I can. Let me know.

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    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Ugh was getting ready and missed it 

    I'm sorry. I got this one so close to gametime.
    Been having a crazy weekend. 
    Some problems with the wife lately.

    If you guys want me to void it, I can. Let me know.

     
    dbasports
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 4:10 PM ET #1192

    Don't void it bro who cares will get the next one 
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    Don't void it bro who cares will get the next one 
     
    dbasports
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 4:11 PM ET #1193

    Take care of your garbage come back September 1st and let's throw!!!
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    Take care of your garbage come back September 1st and let's throw!!!
     
    Theboundbook
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 5:35 PM ET #1194

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    monkeebooger
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 5:43 PM ET #1195

    We appreciate you sharing brother.

    I'm upset at myself, not you, for logging in late.

    That's a huge underdog hit for ya. Congrats bud 
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    We appreciate you sharing brother.

    I'm upset at myself, not you, for logging in late.

    That's a huge underdog hit for ya. Congrats bud 
     
    LuckysDad713
    LuckysDad713
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2017
    Posts: 77
    Posted: Aug. 20, 2017 - 6:00 PM ET #1196

    Shake it off!
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    Shake it off!
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 913
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2017 - 1:50 AM ET #1197

    Current Bankroll: $12,800.67
    from $4000 (+220.02 units)
    ty A's!
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    Current Bankroll: $12,800.67
    from $4000 (+220.02 units)
    ty A's!
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 4050
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2017 - 1:56 AM ET #1198

    best run ive seen on covers picking dogs only WOW! 
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    best run ive seen on covers picking dogs only WOW! 
     
    CrazyBettor1289
    CrazyBettor1289
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2017
    Posts: 99
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2017 - 10:58 AM ET #1199

     I did not see this
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     I did not see this
     
     
    bojangles804
    bojangles804
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2017
    Posts: 23
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2017 - 1:55 PM ET #1200

    I missed it too, but nice call!
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    I missed it too, but nice call!
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