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September Dogs - Starting with $4k

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Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 913
Posted: #576
$232 to win $255.2
Baltimore Orioles +110
vs Houston Astros

The Orioles are 188-147 +79.71 units since Aug 22, 2011 after a game as a dog - Team trend up at +86.57 units now since sent out last year. The key factor is Buck Showalter with that I believe.



 
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Posted: #577
Good luck herb!  
 
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Posted: #578
$348 to win $403.68
Baltimore Orioles +116
vs Cleveland Indians

Going with the Orioles again. A friend of mine was saying that he is real bullish right now on the Astros. Smart guy; Baltimore was indeed the bet yesterday, but its hard to snuff out point where a team like the Astros will heat up. Didn't have numbers on that as is so very often the case...

 
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Posted: #579
Current Bankroll: $8,433.13
from $4000 (+110.83 units)

Nice Win from the O's!
 
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Posted: #580
$117 to win $140.40
LA Angels +120
vs Astros
 
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Posted: #581
$234 to win $292.5 
Miami Marlins +125 
vs Atlanta Braves
The Marlins are 25-24 SU current record: That's one game above .500 and they're on a losing streak. This triggers a pretty decent system of ours to bet for the team to not fall ONTO .500 here especially vs. a struggling opponent. 
 
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Posted: #582
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

$234 to win $292.5 
Miami Marlins +125 WINNER
vs Atlanta Braves
The Marlins are 25-24 SU current record: That's one game above .500 and they're on a losing streak. This triggers a pretty decent system of ours to bet for the team to not fall ONTO .500 here especially vs. a struggling opponent. 

Current Bankroll: $8,608.63
from $4000 (+115.21 units)

Reaching all time highs....over and over.

 
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Posted: #583
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Reaching all time highs....over and over.

Great work Herb!
 
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Posts: 3428
Posted: #584

Good job.

 
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Posted: #585
So, I still had this tab open in my browser. I did a whole write up and post for the Royals yesterday (I swear....and they cashed). I hit submit and I guess I wasn't logged in so damn...

I have the Royals again today. Riding the hot trains in June is my general strategy.....

$119 to win $174.93
Kansas City Royals +147 
vs Cleveland Indians
Since 2004, weekday divisional road dogs off of a win have gone 1078-1282 +185.57 units +8.1% roi. I have a newsletter I do for friends where I just send out free systems and trends. This one is now up at +199.64 units since inception! Super simple...


 
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Posted: #586
$238 to win $323.68
Oakland Athletics +136 
vs Houston Astros
 
Rookie
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Posted: #587
$357 to win $399.84 
St. Louis Cardinals +112 
vs San Francisco Giants

I'll share a system I have supporting this one....the main premise at least. I really like this one because the logic seems clear and the stealthiness is there I believe:


(SDQL): wins - losses = 1 and p:L and site = p:site and month < 10


REDS COME CLOSE!
 
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Posts: 4606
Posted: #588
GL herb
 
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Posted: #589
Another all time high...

Current Bankroll: $8,651.47
from $4000 (+116.29 units)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 1
Posted: #590
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Current Bankroll: $4000.00

 
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Posts: 3983
Posted: #591
Zona. run line
 
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Posted: #592
^make your own thread to post your picks in..no ones coming here to see what you like. 
Excellent work heb
 
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Posted: #593
Quote Originally Posted by monstergrit:

^make your own thread to post your picks in..no ones coming here to see what you like. 
Excellent work heb

Thanks. It is alright though as long as you put in some kind of writeup. Or better yet, if you have something interesting to share about a pick I made (pre-game). 

Anyways, should have something out later today...

 
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Posts: 913
Posted: #594
Kansas City Royals +106
$120 to win $127.2
Hot Manager Trend Under Ned Yost, the Royals have been profitable against tough plus .500 opponents at 214-225 +36.49 units. - Up to +45.7 units now!
 
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Posted: #595
$240 to win $280.80
Detroit Tigers +117
vs Toronto Blue Jays

 
Rookie
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Posts: 913
Posted: #596
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

$240 to win $280.80
Detroit Tigers +117 WINNER!
vs Toronto Blue Jays

Another all time high!

Current Bankroll: $8,812.27
from $4000 (+120.306 units)

Clearly doubled the starting roll. Moving forward to try and triple it (that would be getting to $12k)

 
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Posts: 913
Posted: #597
$122 to win $135.42
Boston Red Sox +111 
vs San Francisco Giants

I am looking to play on an AL dog vs. the NL on 1 day rest or B2B. This is 592-711 +47.97 units since 2004.
 
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Posted: #598
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

Clearly doubled the starting roll. Moving forward to try and triple it (that would be getting to $12k)

Get it Herb!
 
Rookie
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Posts: 913
Posted: #599
Quote Originally Posted by MrECapps:


Get it Herb!

Tryin! :)

For today:
Cincinnati Reds +157
$244 to win $383.08

From today's newsletter:
  • TOP PLAY REDS WRITEUP
    Always something you can find wrong with a wager you make. In this case, the thing to be wary of is the fact that Adam Wainwright is 140-80 (63.6%, +27.6 units) SU as a road dog or a favorite. Is he worth the chalk you'd have to lay out here; especially considering he is on the road? Let's break it down further:
    Career, Adam Wainwright is 50-30 +8.91 units SU as a road favorite. The weakest subset within the trend. For -150 odds or greater, the roi drops and it is getting close to break even at 16-8 +2.6 units for him. It is 5-3 +0.35 units in his last three seasons. 
  • Conclusion: while this trend IS indeed an intimidating one, let's observe that the Cardinals are THE #1 most bet on team on today's slate with over 80% of the bets. Everybody is aware of this bold trend and if you consider that the average line for Wainwright as a road favorite while the trend was young and stealthy (first two seasons) was only -124.5, it seems fair to say that the linesmakers have built public bias into the line here with the Cards at a whopping -170 or so odds!

  • TOP PLAY REDS BEST SYSTEM:
    After the beginning of regular season and filtering out the last month as well, dogs or very small favorites off of 3+ straight games where they score over 6 runs are 103-96 +31.9 units
    Hot one here up at 112-103 +35.69 units now.

 
 
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Posted: #600
Sooo close on the Reds. No pain no gain though...

FOR TODAY:
$366 to win $442.86 Baltimore Orioles +121 vs Toronto Blue Jays
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28playoffs%3D0%20and%20AD%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision%20and%207.5%3C%3Dtotal%3C%3D10.5%20and%20day%20not%20in%20%5BSaturday%2CSunday%5D%29%20as%20%22Since%202004%2C%20weekday%20divisional%20road%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20have%20gone%201078-1282%20%2B185.57%20units%20%2B8.1%25%20roi.%22


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