Went 1-0 yesterday winning 1 unit making it 10-1 the last 5 days.
2013 YTD Bases posted on Covers: 10-1, +9.42 units
Here's what I like today ...
Texas -1.5 runs Houston 145-100
Texas TT over 5 108-100
A combo of banking on Darvish and fading Bedard. Darvish can be nasty having 8 or more SOs per game in 6 of his 7 starts this year; 14 SOs when he faced and blanked the Astros earlier this year. 0.92 WHIP and a 2.56 ERA for the season. Interestingly enough, the Rangers provide a ton of run support for him as well as they have scored at least 7 ERs in 5 of his 7 starts which leaned me towards the Texas TT over 5.
Bedard on the other hand has been awful this season with a season WHIP of 1.82 and an ERA of 7.36. In his last 3 games a WHIP of 2.36 and an ERA of 9.00. He has yet to get past the 4th inning in 5 starts this season. His bullpen won't give much relief as they are pretty bad themselves. He has given up at least 4 ERs in 3 of his 5 starts and that's only in 4 innings or less. This is the main reason for the Texas TT over 5.
With Darvish solid, and Bedard + Pen sucking, Texas is the right play here but couldn't see myself lay the juice but -1.5 is a better price and data shows Texas winning more by two runs.
Miami 100-185 LA Dodgers
Not much to write here other than how can a 13-21 team (losers of 9 of their last 10) be a -191 favorite to anyone? Ryu is good but he can be beat if he doesn't get the run support. Slowey has been one of the few bright spots on Miami's miserable season giving up only 3 ERs or less in his 7 starts this year. He doesn't give up many walks as indicated in his 0.94 season WHIP and solid 1.81 ERA. I just see too much value here to not take a stab. I'll bite.
GL everyone with their plays today!
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