Posted:
#1
morning game write-up
miami vs philly
this is the first game on the board tomorrow and i have been trying to figure this one out all day since the number came and steadied at -147 .... There is going to be a lot of Philly money on this game as this could be the gimmie of the early season thus far.... Cole has faced these marlins here at home with numbers of -200/-182/-247/-210 and -185 the last 2 years going 4-1 with a 1.94 ERA ... Cole also sports a 9-5 3.08 ERA in day games and his opponent today (besides pitchers) have hit only .202 against him the last 2 years.... not to mention that his ERA as a whole has dropped .50 in each of his last 2 seasons......
So why in the heck is their so much value in todays game..... everyone knows that Sanchez has a 1-3 record in philly with a 4.75 ERA over his last 3 years and is 3-8 lifetime against these phillies with a career 5.08 ERA.... i mean this is the same pitcher that faced kyle kendrick in that 9/15 game last year.... not too long ago ~ but the odds for that game with sanchez on the hill was philly -137..... so are they really saying that with Cole on the mound @ -147 they are only a .10 better than kyle kendrick.... or are they saying Reyes is the reason for big drop ..... this Cole line should be at least -180 for Mondays opening pitch..... the marlins scored 5 on bronson, 8 on latos ... they cant say they are going to hit Cole Hamels like that are they??? especially when the Mighty Marlins could only muster 3 lousy hits on on Johnny Cueto taking 8 strike outs to a B+ pitcher at best ??? Something is not right with this game fellas and id be extremely careful with your wagers... I may be missing out on the easiest play of the year and hoodwinked by all this nonsense, but despite all that value i have to believe what im smelling is not good and will ride the other side.... therefore based on my assumption and my baseball senses ~~ im leaning to a runline with miami and this game to play underthe posted total of 7... I might add more in the morning once i get the umpire report but im starting to like this one even more once i found out that lifetime Phillies hitters are only batting .242 against Anibel Sanchez.
3*** Marlins runline +1.5 (-170)
3*** Mia/Phi Under 7 Runs (-105)
1* Marlins +139
miami vs philly
this is the first game on the board tomorrow and i have been trying to figure this one out all day since the number came and steadied at -147 .... There is going to be a lot of Philly money on this game as this could be the gimmie of the early season thus far.... Cole has faced these marlins here at home with numbers of -200/-182/-247/-210 and -185 the last 2 years going 4-1 with a 1.94 ERA ... Cole also sports a 9-5 3.08 ERA in day games and his opponent today (besides pitchers) have hit only .202 against him the last 2 years.... not to mention that his ERA as a whole has dropped .50 in each of his last 2 seasons......
So why in the heck is their so much value in todays game..... everyone knows that Sanchez has a 1-3 record in philly with a 4.75 ERA over his last 3 years and is 3-8 lifetime against these phillies with a career 5.08 ERA.... i mean this is the same pitcher that faced kyle kendrick in that 9/15 game last year.... not too long ago ~ but the odds for that game with sanchez on the hill was philly -137..... so are they really saying that with Cole on the mound @ -147 they are only a .10 better than kyle kendrick.... or are they saying Reyes is the reason for big drop ..... this Cole line should be at least -180 for Mondays opening pitch..... the marlins scored 5 on bronson, 8 on latos ... they cant say they are going to hit Cole Hamels like that are they??? especially when the Mighty Marlins could only muster 3 lousy hits on on Johnny Cueto taking 8 strike outs to a B+ pitcher at best ??? Something is not right with this game fellas and id be extremely careful with your wagers... I may be missing out on the easiest play of the year and hoodwinked by all this nonsense, but despite all that value i have to believe what im smelling is not good and will ride the other side.... therefore based on my assumption and my baseball senses ~~ im leaning to a runline with miami and this game to play underthe posted total of 7... I might add more in the morning once i get the umpire report but im starting to like this one even more once i found out that lifetime Phillies hitters are only batting .242 against Anibel Sanchez.
3*** Marlins runline +1.5 (-170)
3*** Mia/Phi Under 7 Runs (-105)
1* Marlins +139
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