RL versus ML - schools of thought

Question

I am curious as to what the different opinions are on playing the run line rather than the money line, if anyone has any statistics that can support their strategy or opinion. I understand the differences in the type of bet and the amount of juice, just wondering for those who often bet the run line, what guidelines do follow as far as % of your side bets are RL and why. Any feedback is appreciated.

IAMKING · Answer

I am curious as to what the different opinions are on playing the run line rather than the money line, if anyone has any statistics that can support their strategy or opinion. I understand the differences in the type of bet and the amount of juice, just wondering for those who often bet the run line, what guidelines do follow as far as % of your side bets are RL and why. Any feedback is appreciated.

VegasMaxx · Answer

I look for &#x2B;140 or higher on AL teams with high totals.  9.5 and up.

King_Victorious · Answer

i have no clue if these numbers are correct just spit balling here..33% of the games finish by 1 run 66% finish by 2 or more so u got to be on the right side if the game finishes more then 1 run.. so 66% chance of 1 or more runs then u got a 50/50 shot of picking the winner so 33% plus u have to have a record over 45%

VegasMaxx · Answer

Probability of MOV of 1&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;6.5&#xD;&#xA;27.27%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;7.0&#xD;&#xA;31.66%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;7.5&#xD;&#xA;33.25%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;8.0&#xD;&#xA;27.18%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;8.5&#xD;&#xA;28.23%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;9.0&#xD;&#xA;27.47%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;9.5&#xD;&#xA;26.56%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;10.0&#xD;&#xA;26.46%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;10.5&#xD;&#xA;26.18%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;11.0&#xD;&#xA;25.78%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;11.5&#xD;&#xA;23.17%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;12.0&#xD;&#xA;17.48%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;12.5&#xD;&#xA;25.00%&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;Total&#xD;&#xA;27.57%

VegasMaxx · Answer

Play the 12 spot

khoiquach · Answer

I don&#x27;t know the answer, man.ML is a lot safer than RL, I don&#x27;t remember how many time they won by 1 run and I just kicking my head.But the odd is really good, &#x2B;230 or more, so I couldn&#x27;t resist.If you think they can win, just take the risk.Got Astro ML and RL and CWS RL won tonight. Thought Astro won by 1 and CWS not even gonna make it! But homers late in the game won BIG!YEEEEAAAAAA!Let&#x27;s complete the sweep with LAD and SEA! All RL, too!GL to us!

Johnnypicks · Answer

chi sox explode for 4 in the b8...good hit...but took till the b8

IAMKING · Answer

VegasMaxx&#xD;&#xA;Thanks for the feedback -very concise and to the point, and makes logical sense.

VegasMaxx · Answer

No problem.  Twins at home last year were runline world beaters.  Too busy playing poker this year to do the research but you could probably find a list of the best runline teams this year pretty easy

Probability of MOV of 1

6.5	27.27%
7.0	31.66%
7.5	33.25%
8.0	27.18%
8.5	28.23%
9.0	27.47%
9.5	26.56%
10.0	26.46%
10.5	26.18%
11.0	25.78%
11.5	23.17%
12.0	17.48%
12.5	25.00%
Total	27.57%

RL versus ML - schools of thought

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