26-38-3, -967.16, - ROR -14.9% All that is official and will not be denied!
6/01/2026
F5 - RL - Reds -140 Avila/Burns
If the Reds can not produce a 1 run lead in 5 innings with this matchup I will go find a short rope and a tall tree. The Royals are merely giving their rotation a day off, while Burns is a serious Cy Young contender. Avila is only an opener, and the Royals also don’t have the bullpen to hold off the Reds offense.
Play At Your Own Risk.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
4
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
26-38-3, -967.16, - ROR -14.9% All that is official and will not be denied!
6/01/2026
F5 - RL - Reds -140 Avila/Burns
If the Reds can not produce a 1 run lead in 5 innings with this matchup I will go find a short rope and a tall tree. The Royals are merely giving their rotation a day off, while Burns is a serious Cy Young contender. Avila is only an opener, and the Royals also don’t have the bullpen to hold off the Reds offense.
I have reason to believe in Sandlin although we do not have as much data on him as I normally insist upon. I am well aware Ryan is the other listed pitcher, but will leave that open and maybe they have to replace him for some reason. I know a pick like that takes faith, so all I can say is, trust me, the odds are off, the reality is much closer to even.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
2
Adding
F5 - White Sox +145 Sandlin/Action
I have reason to believe in Sandlin although we do not have as much data on him as I normally insist upon. I am well aware Ryan is the other listed pitcher, but will leave that open and maybe they have to replace him for some reason. I know a pick like that takes faith, so all I can say is, trust me, the odds are off, the reality is much closer to even.
I knew when I posted a comment about Joe Ryan you would show up. I like him myself, and am not underrating him. Basis of the play is the +1.45, with Joe Ryan paying 64.50. A difference of over a buck on the value makes the play worthwhile.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
@undermysac
I knew when I posted a comment about Joe Ryan you would show up. I like him myself, and am not underrating him. Basis of the play is the +1.45, with Joe Ryan paying 64.50. A difference of over a buck on the value makes the play worthwhile.
MLB's committee of selectors is full of idiots. In this weeks rankings they list the Yankees ahead of the Rays. That is pathetic analysis, but of course MLB is so used to kissing the arses of a few big market teams, they can't do anything else. To date the Yankees do not only trail the Rays in their own division, BUT HAVE PLAYED THE WEAKEST SCHEDULE OF ANY MAJOR LEAGUE TEAM. That is fact, not fiction. The Yankees have played only 11 games vs teams over.500, and have LOST 8 OF THOSE GAMES. That is the weakest schedule in all of MLB, and they are lucky to be rated above 12th in the ranking of all 30 teams. They even admit Judge's performance in May was cut to about half of April. Eventually (we hope) the Yankees run into the schedule difficulty many better teams have already faced. When they do, they may be in for a hard fall, possibly good fade material, since they are almost always overvalued and supported largely by a huge fan base.
JMHO
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
MLB's committee of selectors is full of idiots. In this weeks rankings they list the Yankees ahead of the Rays. That is pathetic analysis, but of course MLB is so used to kissing the arses of a few big market teams, they can't do anything else. To date the Yankees do not only trail the Rays in their own division, BUT HAVE PLAYED THE WEAKEST SCHEDULE OF ANY MAJOR LEAGUE TEAM. That is fact, not fiction. The Yankees have played only 11 games vs teams over.500, and have LOST 8 OF THOSE GAMES. That is the weakest schedule in all of MLB, and they are lucky to be rated above 12th in the ranking of all 30 teams. They even admit Judge's performance in May was cut to about half of April. Eventually (we hope) the Yankees run into the schedule difficulty many better teams have already faced. When they do, they may be in for a hard fall, possibly good fade material, since they are almost always overvalued and supported largely by a huge fan base.
@undermysac I knew when I posted a comment about Joe Ryan you would show up. I like him myself, and am not underrating him. Basis of the play is the +1.45, with Joe Ryan paying 64.50. A difference of over a buck on the value makes the play worthwhile.
For sure, it's that home field advantage that matters more to some than others.
The Sox have been hitting better recently, and better vs right handed starters.
I see the value in your bet considering the odds. To me it'd be a no play.
Good luck
0
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
@undermysac I knew when I posted a comment about Joe Ryan you would show up. I like him myself, and am not underrating him. Basis of the play is the +1.45, with Joe Ryan paying 64.50. A difference of over a buck on the value makes the play worthwhile.
For sure, it's that home field advantage that matters more to some than others.
The Sox have been hitting better recently, and better vs right handed starters.
I see the value in your bet considering the odds. To me it'd be a no play.
If I were a betting man, I'd take a flyer on Roup and Jeg's Giants.
The Brew Crew are turning to a phenomenal bullpen arm in Shane Drohan to start. It doesn't say that he's opening anywhere, so I'd expect maybe 3 innings out of him if things go well.
The Brewers bullpen is otherwise very good. Misiorowski saved them any extended innings yesterday as well.
But, you know how I feel when a pitcher's routine is disturbed. Drohan actually started in his first appearance this year, giving up 3 runs over 2.2 innings, 4 walks, 2 k's.
And hell, the Giants plated 19 runs yesterday after a mini 5 game losing streak. They have to be feeling good right now.
Although they lost 5 in a row prior to yesterday, they've been hitting .309/.916 over the last 7 days.
The Brew Crew over the same span .207/.609
Roup has been solid in his last 2 starts.
I can buy the Giants for +130 you say?
1
If I were a betting man, I'd take a flyer on Roup and Jeg's Giants.
The Brew Crew are turning to a phenomenal bullpen arm in Shane Drohan to start. It doesn't say that he's opening anywhere, so I'd expect maybe 3 innings out of him if things go well.
The Brewers bullpen is otherwise very good. Misiorowski saved them any extended innings yesterday as well.
But, you know how I feel when a pitcher's routine is disturbed. Drohan actually started in his first appearance this year, giving up 3 runs over 2.2 innings, 4 walks, 2 k's.
And hell, the Giants plated 19 runs yesterday after a mini 5 game losing streak. They have to be feeling good right now.
Although they lost 5 in a row prior to yesterday, they've been hitting .309/.916 over the last 7 days.
Not excited. The game yesterday was an explosion, the other 5, all losses, they averaged 3.6 runs per game vs D-bax at home and Rockies away, and Rockies are the worst team in MLB. I have a 1% lean toward the Giants, but the Brewers are the class of this game.
<--- If you play.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
1
@undermysac
Not excited. The game yesterday was an explosion, the other 5, all losses, they averaged 3.6 runs per game vs D-bax at home and Rockies away, and Rockies are the worst team in MLB. I have a 1% lean toward the Giants, but the Brewers are the class of this game.
72% of public are on Reds, 40 points move against the Reds. which is the largest line movement today for any of teams today. This is what trap of the day, game #1 in series look like. good luck
There was a pitching change.
Keys original bet is voided.
0
Quote Originally Posted by ownel2:
72% of public are on Reds, 40 points move against the Reds. which is the largest line movement today for any of teams today. This is what trap of the day, game #1 in series look like. good luck
MLB's committee of selectors is full of idiots. In this weeks rankings they list the Yankees ahead of the Rays. That is pathetic analysis, but of course MLB is so used to kissing the arses of a few big market teams, they can't do anything else. To date the Yankees do not only trail the Rays in their own division, BUT HAVE PLAYED THE WEAKEST SCHEDULE OF ANY MAJOR LEAGUE TEAM. That is fact, not fiction. The Yankees have played only 11 games vs teams over.500, and have LOST 8 OF THOSE GAMES. That is the weakest schedule in all of MLB, and they are lucky to be rated above 12th in the ranking of all 30 teams. They even admit Judge's performance in May was cut to about half of April. Eventually (we hope) the Yankees run into the schedule difficulty many better teams have already faced. When they do, they may be in for a hard fall, possibly good fade material, since they are almost always overvalued and supported largely by a huge fan base. JMHO
Rays @ +1800 and Braves @ +1000 are basically double what they should be because people thinks the Dodgers & Yankees are gonna meet up.....so I quietly bet both here and there and mix futures into parlays.....
Sir
0
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
MLB's committee of selectors is full of idiots. In this weeks rankings they list the Yankees ahead of the Rays. That is pathetic analysis, but of course MLB is so used to kissing the arses of a few big market teams, they can't do anything else. To date the Yankees do not only trail the Rays in their own division, BUT HAVE PLAYED THE WEAKEST SCHEDULE OF ANY MAJOR LEAGUE TEAM. That is fact, not fiction. The Yankees have played only 11 games vs teams over.500, and have LOST 8 OF THOSE GAMES. That is the weakest schedule in all of MLB, and they are lucky to be rated above 12th in the ranking of all 30 teams. They even admit Judge's performance in May was cut to about half of April. Eventually (we hope) the Yankees run into the schedule difficulty many better teams have already faced. When they do, they may be in for a hard fall, possibly good fade material, since they are almost always overvalued and supported largely by a huge fan base. JMHO
Rays @ +1800 and Braves @ +1000 are basically double what they should be because people thinks the Dodgers & Yankees are gonna meet up.....so I quietly bet both here and there and mix futures into parlays.....
Well, the "trap" is off, except for those not wise enough to specify pitchers. You won't catch me doing that, and before the scratch 70% of the bettors had it right. The line was going up, not down, there was that much dominance involved.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
@ownel2
Well, the "trap" is off, except for those not wise enough to specify pitchers. You won't catch me doing that, and before the scratch 70% of the bettors had it right. The line was going up, not down, there was that much dominance involved.
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