🐳 Quiet Whale | MLB Syndicate Tracker | Premium Plays

Quiet_Whale | Market Position Update
YTD: 0–2 (–8.5u)

We opened cold. That’s reality in this business, no hiding from it, no excuses. The same way you log a win, you log a loss, that’s what an open record means.

This thread exists to show the process in real time, not to chase streaks, dump volume, or sell picks. The market dictates when we step in, not emotion or pressure.

Our approach doesn’t change:

• Price first — if the number isn’t there, we pass.

• Matchup edge second — only spots with a measurable advantage make the board.

• Market confirmation third — sharp movement, not public steam, validates the position.

If all three align, we fire. If not, we stay on the sidelines. That’s how you survive cold stretches and build over the long run.

Tonight’s position will post only if the number is right. Quiet hands. Long game.

@Quiet_Whale

@Quiet_Whale

 B-2 Stealth Mode....let's STRIKE !!!!!!!!!

Quiet Whale – Aug 8
YTD: 0–2 (–8.5u)

Play: Cleveland Guardians ML -135 (2.5u)
Cutoff: Play only at -145 or better.

Rationale:
Cleveland sends Tanner Bibee to the mound against Aaron Civale in a matchup that favors the Guardians in both starting pitching and bullpen depth. Bibee’s swing-and-miss stuff plays well against a White Sox lineup that struggles to generate quality contact versus right-handed pitching.

The Guardians’ bullpen is fully rested, while Chicago’s relief arms have carried heavier recent workloads. Warm conditions (91°) with wind out to right should help Cleveland’s more disciplined offense produce run support.

Market handle is outpacing bet count (+6% diff), suggesting sharper money backing Cleveland despite minor line movement during the day.

I’ll continue to monitor the late slate and will post if another position meets our criteria.

Quiet Whale – Aug 8 (Late Slate)
YTD: 0–2 (–8.5u)

Play: Seattle Mariners ML -115 (2u)
Cutoff: Play only at -120 or better.

Rationale:
Luis Castillo takes the ball for Seattle against Drew Rasmussen, with a clear edge in expected strikeout rate and command profile. Castillo matches up well against Tampa’s swing-heavy approach, especially at T-Mobile Park.

Seattle’s bullpen has been worked but faces a Rays pen in similar condition, and the Mariners confirmed lineup is intact with all key bats active.

Market price is holding at -115 across major books, with sharper shops leaning higher giving us playable value in a strong pitching spot at home.

@Quiet_Whale

Result: Guardians ML –135 (Win)
Final: Guardians 9, White Sox 5

Result: Mariners ML –115 (Win)
Final: Rays 2, Mariners 3
YTD Record: 2–2 (–4.0u)

Both positions fit my criteria from the outset number, matchup, and market support.

Executed as planned from entry to close. Outcomes followed the expected game flow.

Stay consistent, stay selective, and keep building edges that stand up over time.

Eyes on the next opportunity.

@Quiet_Whale 

 SEA

CLE

Q

2-2 -4u Is unimpressive only because you are burning chalk.  Give us a few 1 or 2 unit Live Dogs or if another chalk make it a Max 5 unit play.  Bankroll demands some immediate results.  

@TheGoldenGoose

Appreciate the feedback. We don’t build positions to chase optics, we build them to win over time.

Chalk, dog, total… the label doesn’t matter. What matters is the number, the matchup, and whether the market confirms the edge. Sometimes that’s a +180, sometimes it’s -120. The sizing follows the strength of the position, not the narrative.

Long-term bankroll growth comes from discipline, not swinging big for show. That’s how you survive cold stretches and still be around to cash the big spots when they come. The rest is noise.

Quiet Whale – Aug 9
YTD: 2–2 (–4.0u)

Play: Washington Nationals F5 ML +114 (3u)
Cutoff: Play only at +110 or better.

Rationale:
Brad Lord gets the ball for Washington against Carson Whisenhunt. This matchup tilts to the Nationals early: Lord has been the steadier arm with better length expectations, while Whisenhunt is still in the shallow end of his MLB sample and more prone to short outings.

By isolating the first five innings, we lean into the starter edge and sidestep a late-inning bullpen gap (Giants relief group is the fresher side today).

Market remains heavy on San Francisco, yet sharper books haven’t inflated the dog as much as the public would suggest, a sign of underlying respect for Washington. Locking +114 captures a playable number before potential compression.

I’ll continue to monitor the day and will post if another position meets our criteria.

Back on track, Good Luck

@Quiet_Whale

Quiet Whale – Aug 9 (Afternoon Sprinkle)
YTD: 2–2 (–4.0u)

Play: Colorado Rockies ML +188 (0.5u)
Cutoff: Play only at +185 or better.

Rationale:
This is a smaller position purely on market inflation. Colorado opened shorter this morning and has drifted up into the high +180s despite no lineup or pitching changes. Public money is heavy on Arizona, but sharper books like Circa are holding a shorter price, a sign of quiet respect for the Rockies’ side.

High-variance spot, so exposure stays small, but the number now offers better value than earlier.

I’ll continue to monitor the late slate and will post if another position meets our criteria.

he has 4 plays. “Relax guy”

I see where this thread is going…

Q, keep up the good work TY

@Quiet_Whale

yea to a bigger bankroll. 

wingit, positive  thinking sweet to c. Q's the real deal

@Wingit

  Keep your blinders on junior..

Youll learn the hard way. 

Bigger bankroll?? Through 5 plays it’s negative.  But keep following this guy Bol.

@Talon5

 Learn the hard way?? Def not taking advice from you a guy who goes into everyone’s thread to bash on the losing plays… sucks to be a loser.

@finsterbaby

So funny you were trolling him when he was  0-2 and now you’re blowing him kisses…

weirdo…