Play: Astros ML –110 Risk: 3.5 Units YTD Record: 0–0 (+0.00u)
NOTE: All plays are based on a 100-unit bankroll system. Stake accordingly based on your own risk tolerance. As a general rule: 1 Unit = ~1% of your bankroll.
2
@Quiet_Whale
Play: Astros ML –110 Risk: 3.5 Units YTD Record: 0–0 (+0.00u)
NOTE: All plays are based on a 100-unit bankroll system. Stake accordingly based on your own risk tolerance. As a general rule: 1 Unit = ~1% of your bankroll.
Play: Marlins ML –120 Risk: 5 Units YTD Record: 0–1 (–3.50u)
Pérez (2.70 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) > Carrasco (5.68 ERA, 1.53 WHIP) Braves missing Acuña + Riley ATL pen is taxed — MIA’s is rested Line moved –116 to –122 behind sharp flow
Played –120 early. Fine to –125. Above –125, value’s gone in my view. No chase. This isn’t a pick. It’s a position.
NOTE: All plays are based on a 100-unit bankroll system. Stake accordingly based on your own risk tolerance. As a general rule: 1 Unit = ~1% of your bankroll.
1
@Quiet_Whale
Play: Marlins ML –120 Risk: 5 Units YTD Record: 0–1 (–3.50u)
Pérez (2.70 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) > Carrasco (5.68 ERA, 1.53 WHIP) Braves missing Acuña + Riley ATL pen is taxed — MIA’s is rested Line moved –116 to –122 behind sharp flow
Played –120 early. Fine to –125. Above –125, value’s gone in my view. No chase. This isn’t a pick. It’s a position.
NOTE: All plays are based on a 100-unit bankroll system. Stake accordingly based on your own risk tolerance. As a general rule: 1 Unit = ~1% of your bankroll.
@Quiet_Whale Result: Marlins ML –120 (Loss)Final: Marlins 6, Braves 8YTD Record: 0–2 (–8.50u) Beat the closing number (–116 to –132). Position built on edge: pitching, bullpen rest, sharp steam. Got the lead. Didn’t get the win. No chase, no adjustment to process. Next one comes sharper. Focus on long-term edge that wins over time, even when short-term variance cuts you. Bank roll discipline is key.
" sharp steam " not so much.I like your style going forward.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Quiet_Whale:
@Quiet_Whale Result: Marlins ML –120 (Loss)Final: Marlins 6, Braves 8YTD Record: 0–2 (–8.50u) Beat the closing number (–116 to –132). Position built on edge: pitching, bullpen rest, sharp steam. Got the lead. Didn’t get the win. No chase, no adjustment to process. Next one comes sharper. Focus on long-term edge that wins over time, even when short-term variance cuts you. Bank roll discipline is key.
" sharp steam " not so much.I like your style going forward.
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