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NITRO'S (HIT THE NOS) TUESDAY PLAYS (129-78) +132.75 UNITS!!

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Prospect
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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by Nitro2211:

Cincy/Astros O/8.5 3.3 units to win 3

cincy could cover this one on their own I have bet against happ on the side twice this year and he always blows up around the 4th aka 2nd time through missing Lee is gonna suck and Leake has been good not "hot" like espn says he is but check out his stats over the years dude constantly puts people on with walks so hopefully houston can plate atleast 3 for us tom. with leake's help

 

"over the years"???  2nd year in pro baseball and did not even play much his first year.  Right from college to MLB last year.  I assume you are not looking at his college stats?

 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by hoopsvader:

Nitro, do you cap game using sabermetrics. Thanks for the winners.


I actually use kind of an opposite approach I do strongly believe in looking at how the game will play out each inning at a time if you can kind of guess how the lineup will go. I mean running the sabermetrics stts vs the DISP or defense independant pitching stats you can find an edge but the edge usually equates to what the current line is. What I use is more of a pitcher to individual hitter approach i could care less if back in the day luis gonzalez was hitting 360 against righties his stance shows he is a spray hitter with the way he holds his bat high and back and an open to closed stance. what this means is most people would think u pitch him away on the corner and low but you actually how to go down and in or up high and extremely far inside and hope he swings the fast ball up and away is also a nice choice for fly ball outs but again it depends who is on the mound and what pitches that person has i brek down each pitter hitter matchup like that for each game
 
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Posted: #53
bball plays

Boston +5  3.3 units to win 3
 
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Posted: #54
hmm good start to all the games except the yanks but if your gonna be down 2-0 in the first on any bet thats the one.  2-2 on 1st innings so far kinda sucks but will live with it
 
Legend
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Posted: #55
GL.
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by Nitro2211:

Baltimore/Kansas      O/8.5  3.6 units to win 3

Bal/Kans  score in 1st   2.1 units to win 2

Orioles tt O/4   2.3 units to win 2

Kansas tt O/4     2.5 units to win 2

This game will be getting ugly boys gonna be a 9-6er

 

are you playing yes or no on the 1st in score here? keep up the great work

 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by THESHOOTER:

 

are you playing yes or no on the 1st in score here? keep up the great work



it is a yes i do believe one team will score a run here sorry about that buddy
 
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Posted: #58
 thanks, I figured that it was yes cuz you were so heavy on the over but thought I would make sure
 
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Posted: #59
Giants/Mets O/7.5  3.45 units to win 3  

lol close the books on this one in the 3rd
 
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Posted: #60
another over covers before the 4th put the reds stros in the pocket

now on to the rockies game

Rockies  -130       3.9 units to win 3

Rockies -1.5 +130   3 Units to win 3.9

Rockies 1st 5 inn   -135    2.7 units to win 2

Rockies score 1st -170    1.7 units to win 1

Rockies ARL +1.5   2.6 Units to win 1

Rockies to score first 3 runs -110  3.3 units to win 3


 
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Posted: #61
2nd late game play

Pitt/San Diego O/ 6.5    3.3 units to win 3

Pitt tt O/3        2 units to win 2

Padres tt O/3.5        3.3 units to win 3

Pitt/Padres Total R+H+E O/23.5  3.6 units to win 3
 
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Posted: #62
late game 3

Cubs + 135  2 units to win 2.7

Cubs +1.5   3.3 units to win 2

Cubs ARL2 +2.5   3.3 units to win 1

dempster back to old self just trust me
 
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Posted: #63
late game 4

Cleveland +.5 1st 5 inn              2.7 units to win 2

Cleveland 1st 5  +103         3 units to win 3.15

Cleveland ARL2  +2.5      3.6 Units to win 1

Cleveland 1st to score 3 runs  3.15 units to win 3
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Nitro2211:

bball plays

Boston +5  3.3 units to win 3 

ugg let this be a lesson to myself and everyone never get lazy and just tail a pick blindly this is what i get for not doing an ounce of research on this game tonigjht
 
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Posted: #65
did this one myself

Memphis +6.5   3.3 units to win 3

Memphis +250  3 units to win 7.5

Memphis tt O/95  3.3 units to win 3
 
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Posted: #66
Texas  -125  3.75 units to win 3

Texas -.5 1st 5 inn     1 unit to win 1.1

Texas -130  1st 5   2.6 units to win 2

Texas to score 1st  -155    3.1 units to win 2

Texas ARL +1.5  3.3 Units to win 1

Texas ARL2  -2.5  3 Units to win 6

Texas first to score 3 runs 3.45 units to win 3

Texas tt O/3.5    3.45 to win 3

say hello to the best play tonight boys thank me later 
 
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Posted: #67
Cubs tt O/3 -120  3.6 units to win 3

Cubs 1st 5 inn. +.5  3.45 units to win 3

thats all folks
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by Nitro2211:

Texas  -125  3.75 units to win 3

Texas -.5 1st 5 inn     1 unit to win 1.1

Texas -130  1st 5   2.6 units to win 2

Texas to score 1st  -155    3.1 units to win 2

Texas ARL +1.5  3.3 Units to win 1

Texas ARL2  -2.5  3 Units to win 6

Texas first to score 3 runs 3.45 units to win 3

Texas tt O/3.5    3.45 to win 3

say hello to the best play tonight boys thank me later 

lol i'm honestly with you all the way on this one.  i hate hate hate bedard.  He had a good outing last game I do believe, but the rangers own 'em

bol to US 
 
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Posted: #69

This is the X Games of gambling.

 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

This is the X Games of gambling.



this is glory my friend
 
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Posted: #71
excellent job on bal/kc game
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by THESHOOTER:

excellent job on bal/kc game


ty sir great feeling when it was 5-4 wasnt it lol now just hope the orioles to a win for me for fan sake haha

and sorry guys liriano was the last person tonight i woulda said had a shot to do that but screw him im gonna throw a no no myself on the 10 o clock games
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by Nitro2211:



this is glory my friend

you are the only capper on here that fits my style 

when i see a game i reallllllly like, i attack it hard and from almost every angle.  

this song lyric, by the great big boi, describes us well:
"N***as don't fuck wit a n***a like me, cuz a n***a like me don't fuck around"

(hope nobody reports me to the mods for language use there.....i edited it lol.  and plus, it's a quote.)

BOL.  I'll be sure to stop by in your threads more often.  I'll shoot you a friend request as well
 
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Posted: #74

hey brotha 1st time tailing only played a cple....did well thanks and gl rest of the way....get that loot

 

 
 
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Posted: #75
ya baby give us tht 3 run homer to cover every thing in the cards game!!!!!!!!


wahoo!!!! 
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