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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    New MLB 2025 thread after completing the first Doubling the Bankroll Cycle

    «First Previous 192021 ... 222324 Next Last»
    ChatBIN
    raceman06
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    «First Previous 192021 ... 222324 Next Last»
     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 10:51 AM ET #451

    Quote Originally Posted by ALEXSON:

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: May 22 — Picks (risk ˜ 9.0 U) Game Pick & line* Units Edge snapshot Rangers @ Yankees 12:35 ET Over 8.5 (-110) 1 19 mph out to RF; Rodón HR/FB 15 % vs 118 OPS+ TEX; NYY pen fresh but Rangers pen gassed.  Padres @ Blue Jays 1:07 ET Padres ML (-118) 3 Kolek 2.33 ERA, 55 % GB; Francis 5.63 ERA, Jays Tier-2 pen taxed; roof closed limits Toronto HR edge.  Diamondbacks @ Dodgers 10:10 ET Under 8 (-105) 3 Pfaadt v Stone; Stone 30.1 CSW last two; 7 mph in from LF; D-backs pen 1 IP Wed keeps Tier-3 rested.  Rays @ Red Sox 7:10 ET Red Sox ML (+102) 1 Boston 117 OPS+ at home; Littell vs Crawford (0.92 WHIP May); Nor’easter leaves damp air + swirling L-to-R wind—favors Sox spray hitters.  Brewers @ Orioles 6:35 ET Under 8.5 (-110) 1 American Family roof likely closed; Sugano 53 % GB vs Kremer (return); O’s bats still ice-cold (.289 wOBA last 10).That was off course an error on part of the machine Machines don't make mistakes.  It's human error.  So full of it ... constant mistakes on a daily bases.  Got a lot of time to talk about unstructured data AI bs but can't use a spreadsheet to keep your records straight.  A 1u bet on -110 but type it in as a $100 risk and said "oh I like to risk less" LMAO.  It was only a few days ago your were up a little and bragging about the "system" is working with calculated weekly ROI.  My goodness.... and what happened to your fancy series betting system of betting a team to win 1st game and betting the same team lose the 3 game series?  What kind of crazy hedging logic is that?  You are all over the place in a public arena and deserve to be called out.

    I'm sorry  your life must be full of disappointments and mean events. I truly am. It is very important to first of all take care of your mental health as your state of hate for nothing can be very harmful for your immediate surroundings if there is still anyone left.

    If your sole purpose is coming into this thread and instead of making some positive contribution -trying only to discriminate whatever I and other normal members of this community trying to do - you better avoid coming in here and getting yourself aggravated for nothing. We are not your enemies. You are your own enemy as we all are to ourselves. So, please, be kind to yourself and try to drink lots of water and take whatever it is you are taking to calm downpeace_5peacecool 

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    Quote Originally Posted by ALEXSON:

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: May 22 — Picks (risk ˜ 9.0 U) Game Pick & line* Units Edge snapshot Rangers @ Yankees 12:35 ET Over 8.5 (-110) 1 19 mph out to RF; Rodón HR/FB 15 % vs 118 OPS+ TEX; NYY pen fresh but Rangers pen gassed.  Padres @ Blue Jays 1:07 ET Padres ML (-118) 3 Kolek 2.33 ERA, 55 % GB; Francis 5.63 ERA, Jays Tier-2 pen taxed; roof closed limits Toronto HR edge.  Diamondbacks @ Dodgers 10:10 ET Under 8 (-105) 3 Pfaadt v Stone; Stone 30.1 CSW last two; 7 mph in from LF; D-backs pen 1 IP Wed keeps Tier-3 rested.  Rays @ Red Sox 7:10 ET Red Sox ML (+102) 1 Boston 117 OPS+ at home; Littell vs Crawford (0.92 WHIP May); Nor’easter leaves damp air + swirling L-to-R wind—favors Sox spray hitters.  Brewers @ Orioles 6:35 ET Under 8.5 (-110) 1 American Family roof likely closed; Sugano 53 % GB vs Kremer (return); O’s bats still ice-cold (.289 wOBA last 10).That was off course an error on part of the machine Machines don't make mistakes.  It's human error.  So full of it ... constant mistakes on a daily bases.  Got a lot of time to talk about unstructured data AI bs but can't use a spreadsheet to keep your records straight.  A 1u bet on -110 but type it in as a $100 risk and said "oh I like to risk less" LMAO.  It was only a few days ago your were up a little and bragging about the "system" is working with calculated weekly ROI.  My goodness.... and what happened to your fancy series betting system of betting a team to win 1st game and betting the same team lose the 3 game series?  What kind of crazy hedging logic is that?  You are all over the place in a public arena and deserve to be called out.

    I'm sorry  your life must be full of disappointments and mean events. I truly am. It is very important to first of all take care of your mental health as your state of hate for nothing can be very harmful for your immediate surroundings if there is still anyone left.

    If your sole purpose is coming into this thread and instead of making some positive contribution -trying only to discriminate whatever I and other normal members of this community trying to do - you better avoid coming in here and getting yourself aggravated for nothing. We are not your enemies. You are your own enemy as we all are to ourselves. So, please, be kind to yourself and try to drink lots of water and take whatever it is you are taking to calm downpeace_5peacecool 

     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 10:58 AM ET #452

    Quote Originally Posted by R1729amanujan:

    Thanks for your response. I love the tools you are losing. I didn’t express myself too well. What I meant to say was, when considering the bets you make and the amounts, I wonder how we can discover which is the better of the two? Put another way, if you picked the same sides each time but had a different wagering strategy would you win more or less?

    I understood perfectly what you meant. For an example - today we will get back to our old systems that helped us double our bankroll but with better filtering instruments. There are few matchups today, few series beginning that the sweep is out of question for any of the sides involved. Now, taking that and using Markov model with enhanced martingale as well filtering the teams with Monte Carlo simulating system for the rest of the season creates a build up and more we advance throughout the season we are left with less possibilities making easier to choose the winners or at least those who won't lose like SD did now and some other teams from the elite group of 8 are doing periodically. I will soon post the plays and you will understand better. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by R1729amanujan:

    Thanks for your response. I love the tools you are losing. I didn’t express myself too well. What I meant to say was, when considering the bets you make and the amounts, I wonder how we can discover which is the better of the two? Put another way, if you picked the same sides each time but had a different wagering strategy would you win more or less?

    I understood perfectly what you meant. For an example - today we will get back to our old systems that helped us double our bankroll but with better filtering instruments. There are few matchups today, few series beginning that the sweep is out of question for any of the sides involved. Now, taking that and using Markov model with enhanced martingale as well filtering the teams with Monte Carlo simulating system for the rest of the season creates a build up and more we advance throughout the season we are left with less possibilities making easier to choose the winners or at least those who won't lose like SD did now and some other teams from the elite group of 8 are doing periodically. I will soon post the plays and you will understand better. 

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:11 AM ET #453

    As I mentioned before - only two games were yesterday ones I betted actually as the machine suggestions were from the day before slate and it was my mistake misinterpreting them. Now, since I did bet San Diego and the Yankees games which were first - I went 0-2 with the loss of 3 units with $354 on SD bet and the loss of $110 on the NY Yankees over. Altogether - $464

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    As I mentioned before - only two games were yesterday ones I betted actually as the machine suggestions were from the day before slate and it was my mistake misinterpreting them. Now, since I did bet San Diego and the Yankees games which were first - I went 0-2 with the loss of 3 units with $354 on SD bet and the loss of $110 on the NY Yankees over. Altogether - $464

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:13 AM ET #454

    G1 Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML   1 BOS ML 1 1.74 -135  $135

     

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    G1 Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML   1 BOS ML 1 1.74 -135  $135

     

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:16 AM ET #455

    Giants (SF) @ Nationals (WSH) ML  1 SF ML 1 1.91 -110  $110

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    Giants (SF) @ Nationals (WSH) ML  1 SF ML 1 1.91 -110  $110

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:18 AM ET #456

    Dodgers (LAD) @ Mets (NYM) ML   1 NYM ML 1 2.00 +100  $100

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    Dodgers (LAD) @ Mets (NYM) ML   1 NYM ML 1 2.00 +100  $100

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:20 AM ET #457

    Guardians (CLE) @ Tigers (DET) ML   1 DET ML 1 1.74 -135

    $135

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    Guardians (CLE) @ Tigers (DET) ML   1 DET ML 1 1.74 -135

    $135

     
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:21 AM ET #458

    Padres (SD) @ Braves (ATL) ML   3 SD ML 1 2.25 +125

    $300

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    Padres (SD) @ Braves (ATL) ML   3 SD ML 1 2.25 +125

    $300

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:22 AM ET #459

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) ATS   1 TEX -1.5 1 1.91 -110

     $110

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    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) ATS   1 TEX -1.5 1 1.91 -110

     $110

     
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:23 AM ET #460

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) Totals   1 Over 8.5 1 2.00 +100

     $100

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    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) Totals   1 Over 8.5 1 2.00 +100

     $100

     
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:23 AM ET #461

    Mariners (SEA) @ Astros (HOU) ML   1 HOU ML 1 1.80 -125

    $125

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    Mariners (SEA) @ Astros (HOU) ML   1 HOU ML 1 1.80 -125

    $125

     
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:24 AM ET #462

    Marlins (MIA) @ Angels (LAA) ATS   1 MIA +1.5 1 1.61 -165

    $165

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    Marlins (MIA) @ Angels (LAA) ATS   1 MIA +1.5 1 1.61 -165

    $165

     
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:24 AM ET #463

    Phillies (PHI) @ Athletics (OAK) ATS   1 OAK +1.5 1 1.95 -105  

    $105

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    Phillies (PHI) @ Athletics (OAK) ATS   1 OAK +1.5 1 1.95 -105  

    $105

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:25 AM ET #464

    G2

    $390

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    G2

    $390

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:27 AM ET #465

    Total exposure $1,785

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    Total exposure $1,785

     
    raceman06
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 11:40 AM ET #466

    Good luck today Chat. 

    When I go back and read through all your posts I can’t help but notice on your first journey to double up you played less games. Did you change things from first cycle to second? 

    It just looks like you’re spread across so many games now compared to being more selective before. I’m curious to hear what you have to say and I’m looking forward to seeing your success.

     

     

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    Good luck today Chat. 

    When I go back and read through all your posts I can’t help but notice on your first journey to double up you played less games. Did you change things from first cycle to second? 

    It just looks like you’re spread across so many games now compared to being more selective before. I’m curious to hear what you have to say and I’m looking forward to seeing your success.

     

     

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 2:30 PM ET #467

    Quote Originally Posted by raceman06:

    Good luck today Chat.  When I go back and read through all your posts I can’t help but notice on your first journey to double up you played less games. Did you change things from first cycle to second?  It just looks like you’re spread across so many games now compared to being more selective before. I’m curious to hear what you have to say and I’m looking forward to seeing your success.

     

    You're absolutely right raceman. And we are looking into this and trying to regain the same momentum basing our bets on basic anomalies created by the tickets and the money and historical data structured and unstructured. I don't have a straight answer as of yet and I am not going to disrespect anyone here by giving half baked explanations, but, be rest assured that our goal is well aligned with our common goal - to get back on track as we did in the first cycle and we will get it done when we figure out if the quantitive betting is the core of the problem. Honestly - I don't think so. I think that along the way we grew exponentially and like you mentioned - spread around way too much. But, all the bets we have for example today are the result of the previous bets and historically induced data surge if I may call that in that name.

    Thanks for your ever positive contribution. You will be first to read once we have a conclusive answers to what you just asked.peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by raceman06:

    Good luck today Chat.  When I go back and read through all your posts I can’t help but notice on your first journey to double up you played less games. Did you change things from first cycle to second?  It just looks like you’re spread across so many games now compared to being more selective before. I’m curious to hear what you have to say and I’m looking forward to seeing your success.

     

    You're absolutely right raceman. And we are looking into this and trying to regain the same momentum basing our bets on basic anomalies created by the tickets and the money and historical data structured and unstructured. I don't have a straight answer as of yet and I am not going to disrespect anyone here by giving half baked explanations, but, be rest assured that our goal is well aligned with our common goal - to get back on track as we did in the first cycle and we will get it done when we figure out if the quantitive betting is the core of the problem. Honestly - I don't think so. I think that along the way we grew exponentially and like you mentioned - spread around way too much. But, all the bets we have for example today are the result of the previous bets and historically induced data surge if I may call that in that name.

    Thanks for your ever positive contribution. You will be first to read once we have a conclusive answers to what you just asked.peace_5

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 23, 2025 - 4:24 PM ET #468

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    G2 $390

     

    Game 2 is off course the Red Sox against the Orioles. The Covers modes - this becomes very annoying that the half of the text is posted and another not.

    Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML  2  BOS ML 3  1.77  -130  $390

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    G2 $390

     

    Game 2 is off course the Red Sox against the Orioles. The Covers modes - this becomes very annoying that the half of the text is posted and another not.

    Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML  2  BOS ML 3  1.77  -130  $390

     

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 7:24 AM ET #469

    G1 Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML   1 BOS ML 1 1.74 -135  $135   +$100

    Dodgers (LAD) @ Mets (NYM) ML   1 NYM ML 1 2.00 +100  $100 -$100

    Giants (SF) @ Nationals (WSH) ML  1 SF ML 1 1.91 -110  $110   +$100

    Guardians (CLE) @ Tigers (DET) ML   1 DET ML 1 1.74 -135  $135  -$135

    Padres (SD) @ Braves (ATL) ML   3 SD ML 1 2.25 +125 $300   +$375

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) ATS   1 TEX -1.5 1 1.91 -110  $110 -$110

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) Totals   1 Over 8.5 1 2.00 +100 $100 -$100

    Mariners (SEA) @ Astros (HOU) ML   1 HOU ML 1 1.80 -125  $125 -$125

    Marlins (MIA) @ Angels (LAA) ATS   1 MIA +1.5 1 1.61 -165  $165  -$165

    Phillies (PHI) @ Athletics (OAK) ATS   1 OAK +1.5 1 1.95 -105  $105   +$100

    Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML  2  BOS ML 3  1.77  -130  $390 Void

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    G1 Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML   1 BOS ML 1 1.74 -135  $135   +$100

    Dodgers (LAD) @ Mets (NYM) ML   1 NYM ML 1 2.00 +100  $100 -$100

    Giants (SF) @ Nationals (WSH) ML  1 SF ML 1 1.91 -110  $110   +$100

    Guardians (CLE) @ Tigers (DET) ML   1 DET ML 1 1.74 -135  $135  -$135

    Padres (SD) @ Braves (ATL) ML   3 SD ML 1 2.25 +125 $300   +$375

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) ATS   1 TEX -1.5 1 1.91 -110  $110 -$110

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) Totals   1 Over 8.5 1 2.00 +100 $100 -$100

    Mariners (SEA) @ Astros (HOU) ML   1 HOU ML 1 1.80 -125  $125 -$125

    Marlins (MIA) @ Angels (LAA) ATS   1 MIA +1.5 1 1.61 -165  $165  -$165

    Phillies (PHI) @ Athletics (OAK) ATS   1 OAK +1.5 1 1.95 -105  $105   +$100

    Orioles (BAL) @ Red Sox (BOS) ML  2  BOS ML 3  1.77  -130  $390 Void

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 7:31 AM ET #470

    4-6  -$60

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    4-6  -$60

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 7:33 AM ET #471

    129-157

    Bankroll: $3,070-$60=$3,010

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    129-157

    Bankroll: $3,070-$60=$3,010

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 8:07 AM ET #472

    Guardians (CLE) @ Tigers (DET) ML   2 DET ML 3 1.69 -145

    $435

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    Guardians (CLE) @ Tigers (DET) ML   2 DET ML 3 1.69 -145

    $435

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 8:08 AM ET #473

    Dodgers (LAD) @ Mets (NYM) ML   2 NYM ML 3 1.91 -110

    $330

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    Dodgers (LAD) @ Mets (NYM) ML   2 NYM ML 3 1.91 -110

    $330

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 8:10 AM ET #474

    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) ML   2 TEX ML 3 1.57 -175  

    $525

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    Rangers (TEX) @ White Sox (CHW) ML   2 TEX ML 3 1.57 -175  

    $525

     
     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 24, 2025 - 8:10 AM ET #475

    Mariners (SEA) @ Astros (HOU) ML ?? ?? 2 HOU ML 3 1.83 -120  

    $360

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    Mariners (SEA) @ Astros (HOU) ML ?? ?? 2 HOU ML 3 1.83 -120  

    $360

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