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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    New MLB 2025 thread after completing the first Doubling the Bankroll Cycle

    «First Previous 151617 ... 222324 Next Last»
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    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 12:29 PM ET #351

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ATS 1 PHI -1.5 1 1.87 -115   $115

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ML 2 PHI ML 3 1.44 -225  $675

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.91 -110  $110

    White Sox (CHW) @ Cubs (CHC) Totals 1 Under 11.5 1 1.87 -115  $115

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Guardians (CLE) @ Reds (CIN) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ML 2 HOU ML 3 2.55 +155 $300

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 7.5 3 1.83 -120  $360

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ATS 1 HOU +1.5 1 1.74 -135 $135

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 3 MIL ML 9 1.95 -105 $945

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    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ATS 1 PHI -1.5 1 1.87 -115   $115

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ML 2 PHI ML 3 1.44 -225  $675

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.91 -110  $110

    White Sox (CHW) @ Cubs (CHC) Totals 1 Under 11.5 1 1.87 -115  $115

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Guardians (CLE) @ Reds (CIN) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ML 2 HOU ML 3 2.55 +155 $300

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 7.5 3 1.83 -120  $360

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ATS 1 HOU +1.5 1 1.74 -135 $135

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 3 MIL ML 9 1.95 -105 $945

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 12:42 PM ET #352

    Let me walk thru the process of posting so you will have a better understanding of each and every step. 

     

    The picks are an output from the machine. The machine is operating under UTC as a time zone so it can be synced with all possible data sources.

    That is why some picks are listed 17 and the others 16 of May. I corrected it manually for your better understanding. The machine doesn't waste unnecessary bits so where there is a team picked to win - unless it is ATS - the machine doesn't add ML. I added it manually. 

    The machine also doesn't place bets itself. It can. But that is a future when the books will let people like ourselves to use their API. As far as now for more than one reason - the bets are placed manually and depending on our human judgement. Although that is reduced to possible minimum.

    I will tell you more than that - if I did let the machine dictate all the bets and execute them - we would be after a second cycle of doubling our bankroll. And that is a fact.

    So, this way of posting is increasing the role of machine and reducing mine putting it all out and me having no escape from a possible and mostly justified criticism for my interference. Those who are life time betters know what I am saying because before building the project POC (proof of concept) Gant (plan) - we have interviewed more than a dozen seasoned betting professionals  - some in and from Vegas and others from New York and Connecticut with different racial and social backgrounds. And one thing in common was fighting or submitting to one's own gut feeling about the bet to be taken.

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    Let me walk thru the process of posting so you will have a better understanding of each and every step. 

     

    The picks are an output from the machine. The machine is operating under UTC as a time zone so it can be synced with all possible data sources.

    That is why some picks are listed 17 and the others 16 of May. I corrected it manually for your better understanding. The machine doesn't waste unnecessary bits so where there is a team picked to win - unless it is ATS - the machine doesn't add ML. I added it manually. 

    The machine also doesn't place bets itself. It can. But that is a future when the books will let people like ourselves to use their API. As far as now for more than one reason - the bets are placed manually and depending on our human judgement. Although that is reduced to possible minimum.

    I will tell you more than that - if I did let the machine dictate all the bets and execute them - we would be after a second cycle of doubling our bankroll. And that is a fact.

    So, this way of posting is increasing the role of machine and reducing mine putting it all out and me having no escape from a possible and mostly justified criticism for my interference. Those who are life time betters know what I am saying because before building the project POC (proof of concept) Gant (plan) - we have interviewed more than a dozen seasoned betting professionals  - some in and from Vegas and others from New York and Connecticut with different racial and social backgrounds. And one thing in common was fighting or submitting to one's own gut feeling about the bet to be taken.

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 12:46 PM ET #353

    Total exposure tonight is very high and somewhat disturbing summing up to $3,015. I have no problem with that personally as I am ready to top up if needed. But, if you think that more than 60% exposure is something you can't stomach either emotionally or financially - please make your own adjustment in reducing the stakes. My only tip is to do it proportionallyan_light

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    Total exposure tonight is very high and somewhat disturbing summing up to $3,015. I have no problem with that personally as I am ready to top up if needed. But, if you think that more than 60% exposure is something you can't stomach either emotionally or financially - please make your own adjustment in reducing the stakes. My only tip is to do it proportionallyan_light

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 1:43 PM ET #354

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ML 2 BAL ML 3 1.80 -125  $375

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    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ML 2 BAL ML 3 1.80 -125  $375

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:15 PM ET #355

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) ML 1 NYM ML 1 2.25 +125  $125

     

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    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) ML 1 NYM ML 1 2.25 +125  $125

     

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:18 PM ET #356

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ATS 1 PHI -1.5 1 1.87 -115   $115

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ML 2 PHI ML 3 1.44 -225  $675

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.91 -110  $110

    White Sox (CHW) @ Cubs (CHC) Totals 1 Under 11.5 1 1.87 -115  $115

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Guardians (CLE) @ Reds (CIN) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ML 2 HOU ML 3 2.55 +155 $300

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 7.5 3 1.83 -120  $360

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ATS 1 HOU +1.5 1 1.74 -135 $135

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 3 MIL ML 9 1.95 -105 $945

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ML 2 BAL ML 3 1.80 -125  $375

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) ML 1 NYM ML 1 2.25 +125  $125

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    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ATS 1 PHI -1.5 1 1.87 -115   $115

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ML 2 PHI ML 3 1.44 -225  $675

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.91 -110  $110

    White Sox (CHW) @ Cubs (CHC) Totals 1 Under 11.5 1 1.87 -115  $115

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Guardians (CLE) @ Reds (CIN) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ML 2 HOU ML 3 2.55 +155 $300

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 7.5 3 1.83 -120  $360

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ATS 1 HOU +1.5 1 1.74 -135 $135

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 3 MIL ML 9 1.95 -105 $945

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ML 2 BAL ML 3 1.80 -125  $375

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) ML 1 NYM ML 1 2.25 +125  $125

     
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:19 PM ET #357

    Total exposure $3,515

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    Total exposure $3,515

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:35 PM ET #358

    ESPN Power Rankings Week 7 review

    In a single scroll, ESPN’s Week 7 MLB Power Rankings manages to blend entertainment, information and subtle salesmanship. By framing “red-hot” streaks, star comebacks and hyped rivalry games next to on-page betting links and an “Odds” nav item, the piece nudges readers to act on the very emotions it stirs—recency excitement, FOMO, hero worship and band-wagon confidence—all of which behavioral-science research shows can prime riskier wagering. Below is a structured look at the techniques at play and how a savvy bettor (or bookmaker) can neutralize them.

    • An “Odds” tab and a bright “ESPN BET” button sit in the global nav just pixels above the article header, keeping real-money wagering top-of-mind while readers consume the rankings.

    • ESPN’s 10-year, $2 billion licensing deal with Penn Entertainment explicitly ties editorial reach to sportsbook revenue, creating an incentive to funnel engaged readers toward bets.

    The rankings sidebar advertises Sunday-night baseball (“Mets-Yankees, 7 p.m. ET”)—a marquee matchup bookmakers know will draw handle—thereby linking narrative hype to a specific wagering window.

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    ESPN Power Rankings Week 7 review

    In a single scroll, ESPN’s Week 7 MLB Power Rankings manages to blend entertainment, information and subtle salesmanship. By framing “red-hot” streaks, star comebacks and hyped rivalry games next to on-page betting links and an “Odds” nav item, the piece nudges readers to act on the very emotions it stirs—recency excitement, FOMO, hero worship and band-wagon confidence—all of which behavioral-science research shows can prime riskier wagering. Below is a structured look at the techniques at play and how a savvy bettor (or bookmaker) can neutralize them.

    • An “Odds” tab and a bright “ESPN BET” button sit in the global nav just pixels above the article header, keeping real-money wagering top-of-mind while readers consume the rankings.

    • ESPN’s 10-year, $2 billion licensing deal with Penn Entertainment explicitly ties editorial reach to sportsbook revenue, creating an incentive to funnel engaged readers toward bets.

    The rankings sidebar advertises Sunday-night baseball (“Mets-Yankees, 7 p.m. ET”)—a marquee matchup bookmakers know will draw handle—thereby linking narrative hype to a specific wagering window.

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:35 PM ET #359

    2. Psychological levers embedded in the prose

    Lever

    How the article deploys it

    Why it influences betting

    Recency / Availability heuristic

    Focus on “Week 7,” “last week,” “moving up” and fresh injury news

    Recent events feel more predictive than they are, skewing probability judgments

    Hot-hand & momentum bias

    Labels Tigers “red-hot” and highlights walk-off homers, winning streaks, “roar” language

    Bettors over-extrapolate streaks despite evidence they’re illusory

    Hero narrative / Halo effect

    Emotional stories of Baez’s “unlikely journey” or Tatis’ 430-ft walk-off dramatize individual impact

    Star-centric framing inflates perceived team edges (halo bias)

    Band-wagon social proof

    Numerical rankings, arrows up/down, and phrases like “NL still dominates” present consensus authority

    People conform to majority opinion, assuming the crowd is informed

    FOMO & immediacy

    Teases Subway Series “this weekend” and Kershaw’s Saturday return, pressing a narrow decision window

    Urgency reduces deliberation and boosts impulsive bets

    Selective stat framing (confirmation bias)

    Highlights OPS, home runs, ERA drops—little space for negative outliers or regression notes

    Bettors overweight flattering stats that fit the momentum story

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    2. Psychological levers embedded in the prose

    Lever

    How the article deploys it

    Why it influences betting

    Recency / Availability heuristic

    Focus on “Week 7,” “last week,” “moving up” and fresh injury news

    Recent events feel more predictive than they are, skewing probability judgments

    Hot-hand & momentum bias

    Labels Tigers “red-hot” and highlights walk-off homers, winning streaks, “roar” language

    Bettors over-extrapolate streaks despite evidence they’re illusory

    Hero narrative / Halo effect

    Emotional stories of Baez’s “unlikely journey” or Tatis’ 430-ft walk-off dramatize individual impact

    Star-centric framing inflates perceived team edges (halo bias)

    Band-wagon social proof

    Numerical rankings, arrows up/down, and phrases like “NL still dominates” present consensus authority

    People conform to majority opinion, assuming the crowd is informed

    FOMO & immediacy

    Teases Subway Series “this weekend” and Kershaw’s Saturday return, pressing a narrow decision window

    Urgency reduces deliberation and boosts impulsive bets

    Selective stat framing (confirmation bias)

    Highlights OPS, home runs, ERA drops—little space for negative outliers or regression notes

    Bettors overweight flattering stats that fit the momentum story

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:37 PM ET #360

    Structured data vs Unstructured data.

    What do you think???

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    Structured data vs Unstructured data.

    What do you think???

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:39 PM ET #361

    """Bettors over-extrapolate streaks despite evidence they’re illusory"""

    Precisely. Our strategy is built on fading streaking patterns

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    """Bettors over-extrapolate streaks despite evidence they’re illusory"""

    Precisely. Our strategy is built on fading streaking patterns

     
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 2:49 PM ET #362

    3. Structural framing 

    • Regular cadence – Weekly lists create a ritual, mirroring sportsbook odds updates and keeping bettors in an “always on” cycle.

    • Embedded multimedia – Video segments (“Why the Cardinals and A’s are intriguing”) keep arousal high; higher arousal correlates with riskier betting choices.

    • Headline diction – Verbs like “roar,” “crash,” “dominate” add visceral punch, a classic marketing tactic shown to intensify engagement and wager size.

    1. Anchor on closing-line value, not weekly rank. Rank moves are mostly noise over 162 games.

    2. Cross-check any “streak” with underlying run-differential or xERA to avoid hot-hand bias.

    3. Delay wager decisions 24 hours to let initial hype dissipate.

    4. Use independent data (FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference) before acting on narrative stats.

    5. Set stake limits before opening articles linked to sportsbooks; dark-pattern research shows in-page prompts erode self-control.

    ESPN’s power-ranking article isn’t overtly telling anyone to bet—but its language, framing and on-page sportsbook hooks systematically activate cognitive shortcuts that make wagering feel both obvious and urgent. Recognizing those cues lets professionals price around the public, and lets recreational bettors keep narrative excitement from emptying their bankrolls.

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    3. Structural framing 

    • Regular cadence – Weekly lists create a ritual, mirroring sportsbook odds updates and keeping bettors in an “always on” cycle.

    • Embedded multimedia – Video segments (“Why the Cardinals and A’s are intriguing”) keep arousal high; higher arousal correlates with riskier betting choices.

    • Headline diction – Verbs like “roar,” “crash,” “dominate” add visceral punch, a classic marketing tactic shown to intensify engagement and wager size.

    1. Anchor on closing-line value, not weekly rank. Rank moves are mostly noise over 162 games.

    2. Cross-check any “streak” with underlying run-differential or xERA to avoid hot-hand bias.

    3. Delay wager decisions 24 hours to let initial hype dissipate.

    4. Use independent data (FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference) before acting on narrative stats.

    5. Set stake limits before opening articles linked to sportsbooks; dark-pattern research shows in-page prompts erode self-control.

    ESPN’s power-ranking article isn’t overtly telling anyone to bet—but its language, framing and on-page sportsbook hooks systematically activate cognitive shortcuts that make wagering feel both obvious and urgent. Recognizing those cues lets professionals price around the public, and lets recreational bettors keep narrative excitement from emptying their bankrolls.

     
    tvigilante2020
    tvigilante2020
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 3:29 PM ET #363

    @ChatBIN

    Interesting write up. Thanks for the read. Let's see how it goes this weekend.

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    @ChatBIN

    Interesting write up. Thanks for the read. Let's see how it goes this weekend.

     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 16, 2025 - 4:47 PM ET #364

    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @ChatBIN Interesting write up. Thanks for the read. Let's see how it goes this weekend.
    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:

    @ChatBIN Interesting write up. Thanks for the read. Let's see how it goes this weekend.
    peace_5

     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 4:30 AM ET #365

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ATS 1 PHI -1.5 1 1.87 -115   $115 moneybag

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ML 2 PHI ML 3 1.44 -225  $675 moneybag

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.91 -110  $110 moneybag

    White Sox (CHW) @ Cubs (CHC) Totals 1 Under 11.5 1 1.87 -115  $115 an_burningbag

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130 an_burningbag

    Guardians (CLE) @ Reds (CIN) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130 moneybag

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ML 2 HOU ML 3 2.55 +155 $300 moneybag

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 7.5 3 1.83 -120  $360  an_burningbag

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ATS 1 HOU +1.5 1 1.74 -135 $135 moneybag

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 3 MIL ML 9 1.95 -105 $945 an_burningbag

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ML 2 BAL ML 3 1.80 -125  $375 an_burningbag

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) ML 1 NYM ML 1 2.25 +125  $125 an_burningbag

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    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ATS 1 PHI -1.5 1 1.87 -115   $115 moneybag

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) ML 2 PHI ML 3 1.44 -225  $675 moneybag

    Pirates (PIT) @ Phillies (PHI) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.91 -110  $110 moneybag

    White Sox (CHW) @ Cubs (CHC) Totals 1 Under 11.5 1 1.87 -115  $115 an_burningbag

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130 an_burningbag

    Guardians (CLE) @ Reds (CIN) Totals 1 Over 8.5 1 1.77 -130  $130 moneybag

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ML 2 HOU ML 3 2.55 +155 $300 moneybag

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 7.5 3 1.83 -120  $360  an_burningbag

    Astros (HOU) @ Rangers (TEX) ATS 1 HOU +1.5 1 1.74 -135 $135 moneybag

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 3 MIL ML 9 1.95 -105 $945 an_burningbag

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ML 2 BAL ML 3 1.80 -125  $375 an_burningbag

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) ML 1 NYM ML 1 2.25 +125  $125 an_burningbag

     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 4:35 AM ET #366

    6-6  -$885

    114-134

    Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511

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    6-6  -$885

    114-134

    Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511

     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 5:43 AM ET #367

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ATS 2 BAL -1.5 3 2.25 +125

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 8.5 3 1.83

    -12

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 4 MIL ML 27 1.95 -105
    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 9.5 1 1.91 -110
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    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ATS 2 BAL -1.5 3 2.25 +125

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals 2 Under 8.5 3 1.83

    -12

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML 4 MIL ML 27 1.95 -105
    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals 1 Over 9.5 1 1.91 -110
     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 5:55 AM ET #368

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ATS 2 BAL -1.5 3 2.25 +125  $300

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals   2   Under 8.5  3 1.83  -120  $360

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML    4    MIL ML   27  1.95      -105  $2,700   (this bet size is absolutely up to you. as I mentioned earlier - I can afford it and can afford topping up the account in case it loses. if you can't - please, either reduce the size or stay away altogether)

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals   1   Over 9.5    1    1.91      -110   $110

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    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ATS 2 BAL -1.5 3 2.25 +125  $300

    Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals   2   Under 8.5  3 1.83  -120  $360

    Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML    4    MIL ML   27  1.95      -105  $2,700   (this bet size is absolutely up to you. as I mentioned earlier - I can afford it and can afford topping up the account in case it loses. if you can't - please, either reduce the size or stay away altogether)

    Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals   1   Over 9.5    1    1.91      -110   $110

     
    ALEXSON
    ALEXSON
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 6:07 AM ET #369

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    6-6  -$885 114-134 Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511

    You are randomly picking games with a chasing system (1x bet, lose bet 3x, lose again bet 9x) and getting burn when the teams you are chasing is cold.  ??.  Currently down $1500 from your initial $5000 at the start of the season and needs to create a new thread with your down shift recently (putting back $2500) of your 1st double bankroll blah blah.  Let's not confuse any new followers just reading the last few post.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    6-6  -$885 114-134 Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511

    You are randomly picking games with a chasing system (1x bet, lose bet 3x, lose again bet 9x) and getting burn when the teams you are chasing is cold.  ??.  Currently down $1500 from your initial $5000 at the start of the season and needs to create a new thread with your down shift recently (putting back $2500) of your 1st double bankroll blah blah.  Let's not confuse any new followers just reading the last few post.  

     
    ALEXSON
    ALEXSON
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 6:25 AM ET #370

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ATS 2 BAL -1.5 3 2.25 +125  $300 Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals   2   Under 8.5  3 1.83  -120  $360 Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML    4    MIL ML   27  1.95      -105  $2,700   (this bet size is absolutely up to you. as I mentioned earlier - I can afford it and can afford topping up the account in case it loses. if you can't - please, either reduce the size or stay away altogether) Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals   1   Over 9.5    1    1.91      -110   $110

    Milwaukee betting 27x at -105 is putting $2835 at risk not $2700.

    Also an error in yesterday betting on post #356.  I'll let you try to find it and update your numbers.  Not sure I can trust your adding and subtracting either with so many errors in your numbers.

    Please note that your record keeping is constantly off every week and will get zero credits towards the end.  Transparency requires updating your numbers correctly.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    Nationals (WSH) @ Orioles (BAL) ATS 2 BAL -1.5 3 2.25 +125  $300 Athletics (OAK) @ Giants (SF) Totals   2   Under 8.5  3 1.83  -120  $360 Twins (MIN) @ Brewers (MIL) ML    4    MIL ML   27  1.95      -105  $2,700   (this bet size is absolutely up to you. as I mentioned earlier - I can afford it and can afford topping up the account in case it loses. if you can't - please, either reduce the size or stay away altogether) Mets (NYM) @ Yankees (NYY) Totals   1   Over 9.5    1    1.91      -110   $110

    Milwaukee betting 27x at -105 is putting $2835 at risk not $2700.

    Also an error in yesterday betting on post #356.  I'll let you try to find it and update your numbers.  Not sure I can trust your adding and subtracting either with so many errors in your numbers.

    Please note that your record keeping is constantly off every week and will get zero credits towards the end.  Transparency requires updating your numbers correctly.

     
    ChatBIN
    ChatBIN
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 7:53 AM ET #371

    Quote Originally Posted by ALEXSON:

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: 6-6  -$885 114-134 Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511 You are randomly picking games with a chasing system (1x bet, lose bet 3x, lose again bet 9x) and getting burn when the teams you are chasing is cold.  ??.  Currently down $1500 from your initial $5000 at the start of the season and needs to create a new thread with your down shift recently (putting back $2500) of your 1st double bankroll blah blah.  Let's not confuse any new followers just reading the last few post.

     

    While I appreciate constructive remarks and comments - I have to ignore the tone you chose to converse. I will do what I will do and you can do what you like to do. I respect your concern about the "followers"  - however - my posts are addressing the issues that might arise from some misunderstandings clearly. Now, what I am not taking kindly to are the "mystery" remarks about my transparency. If you have a specific concern - I'd appreciate your input. Otherwise -please keep your contribution in the limits of positivity as this whole thread is.

    P.S. I bet $2,2700 cause if I bet $2,835 I'd be out of my bankroll limits before and if I would need to top it up

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    Quote Originally Posted by ALEXSON:

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: 6-6  -$885 114-134 Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511 You are randomly picking games with a chasing system (1x bet, lose bet 3x, lose again bet 9x) and getting burn when the teams you are chasing is cold.  ??.  Currently down $1500 from your initial $5000 at the start of the season and needs to create a new thread with your down shift recently (putting back $2500) of your 1st double bankroll blah blah.  Let's not confuse any new followers just reading the last few post.

     

    While I appreciate constructive remarks and comments - I have to ignore the tone you chose to converse. I will do what I will do and you can do what you like to do. I respect your concern about the "followers"  - however - my posts are addressing the issues that might arise from some misunderstandings clearly. Now, what I am not taking kindly to are the "mystery" remarks about my transparency. If you have a specific concern - I'd appreciate your input. Otherwise -please keep your contribution in the limits of positivity as this whole thread is.

    P.S. I bet $2,2700 cause if I bet $2,835 I'd be out of my bankroll limits before and if I would need to top it up

     
    tweets50
    tweets50
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 1:43 PM ET #372

    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    Quote Originally Posted by ALEXSON: Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: 6-6  -$885 114-134 Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511 You are randomly picking games with a chasing system (1x bet, lose bet 3x, lose again bet 9x) and getting burn when the teams you are chasing is cold.  ??.  Currently down $1500 from your initial $5000 at the start of the season and needs to create a new thread with your down shift recently (putting back $2500) of your 1st double bankroll blah blah.  Let's not confuse any new followers just reading the last few post.   While I appreciate constructive remarks and comments - I have to ignore the tone you chose to converse. I will do what I will do and you can do what you like to do. I respect your concern about the "followers"  - however - my posts are addressing the issues that might arise from some misunderstandings clearly. Now, what I am not taking kindly to are the "mystery" remarks about my transparency. If you have a specific concern - I'd appreciate your input. Otherwise -please keep your contribution in the limits of positivity as this whole thread is. P.S. I bet $2,2700 cause if I bet $2,835 I'd be out of my bankroll limits before and if I would need to top it up

    You will have more critics than supporters in this forum. I understand your method, but people tend to find flaws in your posts vs strengths. You are pressing up on the the  Brewers loss and I am on the other side pressing up on the Twins winning streak. I started with 1k now have it up to 4k and started about halfway through the winning streak. but if I lose today people will highlight wow you lost 3k and a loser, but I have 8k built and only did 3k today. I've found out going 1x-5x really keeps it into perspective. I stop doing units because if you are one unit off someone will pipe up and say wow you are a loser.  I've said it before and say it again, in bacarat ride the banker or player. These are the times we wait for in MLB..

    TO your point I get it, will have a lot of doubters here just ignore them. My only suggestion is keep your action vs. stronger wagers seperate or don't even go as many games. I lost 10x(5k) on Boston last night but was up 15k through the playoffs, risking 1/3 of profit. Kinda struggling going back and forth.  I am trying figure out myself how to post strength of bet more clear...and when you lose have a back up for the next game. If you post dollar amount, people call wow, bs. 

    In general, I feel like you are on the right path to making money in sports. People that bet 1u a game no matter how strong the game is end up losing in the long run unless you play one or two plays a day and run 60 percent.  YOU HAVE to press up at some point realistically to make any money. That's where your "followers" have to be clear. I don't care about followers just try to post my best few plays a day NBA. Some people are happy winning one unit a day, I'm not. I respect others that have that thinking it doesn't matter to me as long as they are happy doing what they do. 

    Been here a while and still trying to figure this out. Lots of trollers here. People look at records, but reguardless its how you bet the game. Records don't mean a thing if you are pressing the games that are high percentage. 

     

    BOL posting and GL this MLB season. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN:

    Quote Originally Posted by ALEXSON: Quote Originally Posted by ChatBIN: 6-6  -$885 114-134 Bankroll:$4,396-$885=$3,511 You are randomly picking games with a chasing system (1x bet, lose bet 3x, lose again bet 9x) and getting burn when the teams you are chasing is cold.  ??.  Currently down $1500 from your initial $5000 at the start of the season and needs to create a new thread with your down shift recently (putting back $2500) of your 1st double bankroll blah blah.  Let's not confuse any new followers just reading the last few post.   While I appreciate constructive remarks and comments - I have to ignore the tone you chose to converse. I will do what I will do and you can do what you like to do. I respect your concern about the "followers"  - however - my posts are addressing the issues that might arise from some misunderstandings clearly. Now, what I am not taking kindly to are the "mystery" remarks about my transparency. If you have a specific concern - I'd appreciate your input. Otherwise -please keep your contribution in the limits of positivity as this whole thread is. P.S. I bet $2,2700 cause if I bet $2,835 I'd be out of my bankroll limits before and if I would need to top it up

    You will have more critics than supporters in this forum. I understand your method, but people tend to find flaws in your posts vs strengths. You are pressing up on the the  Brewers loss and I am on the other side pressing up on the Twins winning streak. I started with 1k now have it up to 4k and started about halfway through the winning streak. but if I lose today people will highlight wow you lost 3k and a loser, but I have 8k built and only did 3k today. I've found out going 1x-5x really keeps it into perspective. I stop doing units because if you are one unit off someone will pipe up and say wow you are a loser.  I've said it before and say it again, in bacarat ride the banker or player. These are the times we wait for in MLB..

    TO your point I get it, will have a lot of doubters here just ignore them. My only suggestion is keep your action vs. stronger wagers seperate or don't even go as many games. I lost 10x(5k) on Boston last night but was up 15k through the playoffs, risking 1/3 of profit. Kinda struggling going back and forth.  I am trying figure out myself how to post strength of bet more clear...and when you lose have a back up for the next game. If you post dollar amount, people call wow, bs. 

    In general, I feel like you are on the right path to making money in sports. People that bet 1u a game no matter how strong the game is end up losing in the long run unless you play one or two plays a day and run 60 percent.  YOU HAVE to press up at some point realistically to make any money. That's where your "followers" have to be clear. I don't care about followers just try to post my best few plays a day NBA. Some people are happy winning one unit a day, I'm not. I respect others that have that thinking it doesn't matter to me as long as they are happy doing what they do. 

    Been here a while and still trying to figure this out. Lots of trollers here. People look at records, but reguardless its how you bet the game. Records don't mean a thing if you are pressing the games that are high percentage. 

     

    BOL posting and GL this MLB season. 

     
    tweets50
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 2:00 PM ET #373

    My only question is does your machine pick up anomalies in game lines?

    Example, You were on Baltimore -125 yesterday for 300. Today baltimore a -160 fav. 13.11 era pitcher favored over 4.00 era for the Nationals.. I would be confident in just the ML vs RL to get your loss back from yesterday. OR are you trying to pick up all your losses for a gain with one game?

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    My only question is does your machine pick up anomalies in game lines?

    Example, You were on Baltimore -125 yesterday for 300. Today baltimore a -160 fav. 13.11 era pitcher favored over 4.00 era for the Nationals.. I would be confident in just the ML vs RL to get your loss back from yesterday. OR are you trying to pick up all your losses for a gain with one game?

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 2:14 PM ET #374

    Bol Chat-

    I fully understand what you are doing and agree with you on Baltimore and Milwaukeethumbs_up

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    Bol Chat-

    I fully understand what you are doing and agree with you on Baltimore and Milwaukeethumbs_up

     
     
    cd329
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    Posted: May. 17, 2025 - 2:15 PM ET #375

    @tweets50

     when you keep pressing plays on teams that lost, you can lose many games in a row.  Pressing up on winning teams is always a better bet, cause even if the bet loses, you will only be losing 1 bet.   Being around all aspects of gambling for last 45 years, i have never come across 100 dollar bettors then suddenly risking many thousands just to get back that 100 dollar bet they lost.  Might be some that would do it, but you will be hard pressed to find them.  Chasing losing teams losses, is a sure way to the power house.

    your doing it the smart way, going with the streak and not fighting it

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    @tweets50

     when you keep pressing plays on teams that lost, you can lose many games in a row.  Pressing up on winning teams is always a better bet, cause even if the bet loses, you will only be losing 1 bet.   Being around all aspects of gambling for last 45 years, i have never come across 100 dollar bettors then suddenly risking many thousands just to get back that 100 dollar bet they lost.  Might be some that would do it, but you will be hard pressed to find them.  Chasing losing teams losses, is a sure way to the power house.

    your doing it the smart way, going with the streak and not fighting it

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