MONDAYS SLUGGERS$$$$$$

yesterday

you said it perfectly im like you buddy i am far from capable of analysing or creating models that are computerized with statistical edges and you hit the nail on the head the oddsmakers are experts they have all the intangibles factored in the line!!!

I don't disagree with you.  A lot of times, however, directly after they set the lines is when I like to bet.  Downside to this is if players are going to be out and I don't know about it and they do.  In baseball, one player matters a lot less than in basketball or football though, so I like to take advantage of this.  I'd say more than 3/4 of the time, I am able to identify and catch the lines before they shift negatively for me.  The other 1/4 of the time they stay generally the same or move a little more positively (telling me I should have waited).   I would say that the ability to take advantage of "mistakes" that so called experts are making is the best thing you can try to improve on as a bettor. 

No offense to anyone, but I lose a lot more often when I get "tips" from "experts" than just analyze the game myself.  I know about as much as anyone about baseball, basketball, and football.  Just because someone does it for a living does not mean that they are a better capper than you.  Not trying to come off as cocky, but I do my research.  Does that protect you from the anything can happen that we all love and hate in sports?  Obviously not, but I'll take my analysis any day over someone that tells me they have a lock.  Unless they are playing the game themselves, there is nothing that they are going to know about how it is going to go down, that I can't conclude myself from some good research.  There are always going to be days when 7-1 leads are blown by relief, like that Philly game yesterday, but that's baseball for you.  Point being, individual bets have to be looked at from all angles, in order to determine the best course of action, but line movement doesn't influence who I choose to bet on, only when I choose to bet.

bol pool

ive been cashing serious money on baseball this season simply by not letting any thing that i determine in my wagers but simply following what offshores giving perfect exampl yesterday the play was the mets but i intervened and thought no way will the shitty mets win and son of a bitv=ch they won i lost a 6 teamer with miami only loss i  found the best way to bet baseball is never pay high juice and keep your bets all the same units and adjust the odds in your favour by giving up the run line  but think about it one loss on a 200 plus fav kills you  or get the odds down to plus or even money on the run line gives you a even playing ground if you lose its not 2 to 1  it 1 to 1 i can swallow that  like today i wouldnt ever think or wanna bet toronto or have a clue to bet dodgers or cards  or twins  these lines i closely follow have trends of winning and losing like the plays i noted as upset alerts watch the outcomes of these games they will either win convincinly or screw the bettors big! yesterday the strongest plays from offshore were my 1st 3 listed  rays/athletics/nationals all heavy favorites but strong enough to give up the run line to plus money or even odds so if one woulda lost its not bad juice , like the mets who woulda been betting this crappy team i woulnt of i just did it from the offshore lines i follow and trust me i thought it was a loss every time but they won especially when they put up like 5 runs in 9th on one game crazy shit  today san fran and toronto will look bad untill the end but im confident they win in the end but dodgers are the strongest i dont know why and honestly cant explain why i just follow the lines i study from offshore and wager accordingly is it perfect far from it !!! but i can only say its been very lucrative for me  ive been cashing out alotta money 100%relying on this way of betting  im working on football lines now and thats how i saw the florida st poy i wagered 100 u on this game 100%on what offshore line dictated plus i saw it was a mismatch murray st and saw i was on the wrong side of every early football bet and i adjusted quick theres no doubt in my mind the oddsmakers are extremly sharp and almost know outcomes of games and they do lose also there human intervention like clemsons running back had a great game

Bol today Pool buddy.....

agreed. my lean is with a lot of lopsided dogs tomorrow. like phillies for one..

gl poolman

betting big

i agree with you totally and respect your comments definitly trust your own abilities over touts they are all scammers that sell bettors down the river  i dont even look at the lines i look at the differences from offshore to usa lines its kinda complex to be honest and hard to thourougly explain in detail but for example today as yesterday the athletics and washington won and detroit all of these lines were the same as todays dodgers and cardinals not the actuall 165 or whatever they are the offshore will either go at or lower or higher then usa lines and thats what i follow the difference not necesarrily the real line hope im not confusing you

It's good that you have a system that seems to be working.  Obviously we operate a little differently, but no problem with that.  If you follow NFL, I'll throw you some bones when the season starts.  Have done pretty good with baseball this year, and although I love it, I actually prefer betting NBA and NFL to it.  I really do believe crazier things happen in baseball than basketball or football, due to all the moving parts.  Drives me nuts sometimes.  Due to that though, there is so much more analysis that has to be done.  As long as you have a good system though, then kudos to you.  You've got a one up on most people that bet because the majority of people really don't put as much thought into it as they should. 

I understand what you are saying.  As I said, as long as it has been profitable for you this season and in the long run, stick with it because obviously it is working for you.  I know that you didn't say that you rely on what experts and oddsmakers tell you to bet on, I'm just saying what works for me best is diligent research.  Hopefully it pans out today :-)  GL 2 you!

 HAVE YOU LOOKED AT ANY 1ST 5'S THE WAY THAT THE BULL PEN'S HAVE BEEN KILLING US THIS YEARSubmit

Quite a card today poolman.  GL

Leaning BJays and Giants

POOL..

gl pool .....

Poolio  

Good luck Poolman

I HAVENT LOOKED AT ANY 1ST 5 ,S BEACH BUM  I AM NOT VERY GOOD AT THEM OR TOTALS YOUR THE MAN TO SEE ON THE TOTALS SOMEBODY ASKED ME AND I TOLD THEM TO ASK YOU IN THAT DEPARTMENT

YANKEES ML +102 2,U

ROYALS ML +1472,U

MARINERS ML -1082,U

ROCKIES ML +2252,U

CUBS ML +1752,U

PHILLIE ML +1802,U

ASTROS ML +190 2,U

FUCK IT ITS A HOLIDAY AND IM @HOME AND LOVE THE ACTION PLUS I ACTUALLY LIKE THESE PICKS I KNOW THERE NOT VERY POPULAR BUT I LIKE MY CHANCES 

GL buddy