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Posted: #26
Can't argue much with that Scorp.  This total opened way too low which indicates to me that Sanchez would have an unexpectedly good outing.

I thought you'd go for the 4.1 ERA Young as a home dog over the 2.3 ERA Zimmerman as a road favorite.  Maybe the Mets struggles lately were too much to ignore for this contrarian play.
 
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Posted: #27
Taking teams on losing streaks is the demise of most contraian bettors,most gamblers actually.There's too many games offered everyday to be setting yourself up for failure taking teams on losing streaks.
There is no 100% cappers in the world
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Taking teams on losing streaks is the demise of most contraian bettors,most gamblers actually.There's too many games offered everyday to be setting yourself up for failure taking teams on losing streaks.

Well said.  Good luck with the Rockies tonight.  Their offense is too good to be sporting the record they have and Kennedy isn't what he was last year.  In fact, the sabrmetrics of his pitching arsenal doesn't even look close to what it did last year.  He's just not throwing good pitches.  I like your chances.
 
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Posted: #29
Si1ly..   Thanks  for all your work it really does help..  Thanks again.
 
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Posted: #30

Taking teams on losing streaks is the demise of most contraian bettors,most gamblers actually.There's too many games offered everyday to be setting yourself up for failure taking teams on losing streaks.

With that being said, should I not play NYY tonight?  I lost BIG on NYY vs. Oakland because I was chasing NYY. I wanted to play NYY again tonight but small to get my money back. Any thoughts on this MASTER si1ly and KingScorpio?

 

 
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Posted: #31

Fuck the Yankees until they start showing winning results.

Kuroda is 2-4 4.66 era on the road,that's not worth laying juice for.

Tomorrow is another day if you can't find anything better tonight.

There is no 100% cappers in the world
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Fuck the Yankees until they start showing winning results.

Kuroda is 2-4 4.66 era on the road,that's not worth laying juice for.

Tomorrow is another day if you can't find anything better tonight.


I've got to agree.  

They're obviously a great team with a phenomenal offense that can carry them to a victory any night.  But the fact is, they're playing like garbage and they've struggled on the West coast all season.  My model might favor them a bit because of their offensive advantage tonight, but they're not a team I would be betting on in their current form.
 
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Posted: #33
Will Ichiro bring some stability on offense from the point he can get on base and not have to swing for power? 
 
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Posted: #34

Well, with the reply from KingScorpio and MASTER si1ly...I will NOT PLAY NYY tonight win or lose. I am going to stay away from them til they no longer play like garbage and just wait til they play well again to get my  back. THANK YOU for the quick responds.

Greatly Appreciated!!!

 
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Posted: #35
Si1y you must be thinking of playing one of these late games??? There's no point to play two and to know your going to split and lose a little on the juice.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:

Will Ichiro bring some stability on offense from the point he can get on base and not have to swing for power? 

I think that's what ESPN wants us to believe and maybe even the Yankee organization believes it themselves... but I don't think that's true.  You never trade young prospects (especially pitching) for veterans on the decline at the end of their career.  I don't think it will have much influence at all in their offensive production the rest of the season.  I think it's a brainless move on their part actually.. just making moves for the sake of making moves.
 
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Posted: #37
Well the White Sox offense finally decided to show up.  
 
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Posted: #38
Cleveland cashes.

Twins not looking good.



Worst case is a 1-1 split with no juice lost.  Maybe the Twins will rally for me.. that's why they play 9 innings.
 
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Posted: #39
hey si1ly, why is the over of the Rockies game is not a play for you? your model shows 11.something and the total is 9, any reason?
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by geshck:

hey si1ly, why is the over of the Rockies game is not a play for you? your model shows 11.something and the total is 9, any reason?

That total smells like unshaven and unshowered box - that's why.
 
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Posted: #41
yeah I thought that too, any late game for you?
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by geshck:

yeah I thought that too, any late game for you?

Naw, done for the night.  Working on tomorrow's sheets to get them up for my opening numbers at 10:30 PM EST
 
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Posted: #43
si1lly what do you mean by no juice lost?  What did you put on each game?
 
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Posted: #44
Perfect, GL with the twins I hope they come back for you
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by geshck:

Perfect, GL with the twins I hope they come back for you

That would be a nice surprise.  Thanks.   
 
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by chief33:

si1lly what do you mean by no juice lost?  What did you put on each game?

CLE to win 1 unit and MIN risk 1 unit.
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