Not even going to try and overthink this one. I waited for this matchup and maybe the only thing I will do differently is take the F5 which I think has less of a chance to not hit vs. the FG. In short, neither of these pitchers has been shutdown vs. the other team and neither of these pitchers has been shutdown in the playoffs. Clearly Flaherty has a LOT more playoff experience than Gilbert but I don't think that matters all that much today.
The Tigers score much more at home than they do on the road which should bode well for them because they haven't torched Gilbert either. I have been impressed with their bullpen even though they lost the last game in the 8th inning but could have been far worse as they limited the damage and the Tigers actually had a small chance to come back and win the game. This is THE swing game of the series so both teams should be motivated.
One caveat is weather as there is rain approaching the fields. That is another reason I'm erring on the side of the F5 in the case that the pitchers start, a long delay ensues, and then we are married to bullpens. Regardless, I think both of these starters can give up a run and I think we will see an early score for sure. Of course, I'm not a gypsy so take that with a grain of salt too. But I do feel that the FH total of 4 is quite attractive given neither hurler is in his best situation today.
OVER 4 FH (SEA/DET)...BIG PLAY!!!
I know the Tigers are capable of many unders and maybe this is not the only information to follow but in the last 3 games played between these two IN DETROIT, the Mariners have won 8-4, 15-7, and 12-3. So they are used to scoring in Detroit and, as comparison sake, the games they played IN SEATTLE all pretty much went under. These stats are for 2025 ONLY btw.
I'm going to be back with the later game but I truly think this game cashes and is very reminiscent of yesteday's game with two guys that can give up runs on the mound, though yesterday Milwaukee had a bullpen arm start the game and I think that was the main reason they gave up runs. Today the main reason will be Jack Flaherty. At least in my opinion. As always, keep comments positive, and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS): 11-9-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 4-3)
Not even going to try and overthink this one. I waited for this matchup and maybe the only thing I will do differently is take the F5 which I think has less of a chance to not hit vs. the FG. In short, neither of these pitchers has been shutdown vs. the other team and neither of these pitchers has been shutdown in the playoffs. Clearly Flaherty has a LOT more playoff experience than Gilbert but I don't think that matters all that much today.
The Tigers score much more at home than they do on the road which should bode well for them because they haven't torched Gilbert either. I have been impressed with their bullpen even though they lost the last game in the 8th inning but could have been far worse as they limited the damage and the Tigers actually had a small chance to come back and win the game. This is THE swing game of the series so both teams should be motivated.
One caveat is weather as there is rain approaching the fields. That is another reason I'm erring on the side of the F5 in the case that the pitchers start, a long delay ensues, and then we are married to bullpens. Regardless, I think both of these starters can give up a run and I think we will see an early score for sure. Of course, I'm not a gypsy so take that with a grain of salt too. But I do feel that the FH total of 4 is quite attractive given neither hurler is in his best situation today.
OVER 4 FH (SEA/DET)...BIG PLAY!!!
I know the Tigers are capable of many unders and maybe this is not the only information to follow but in the last 3 games played between these two IN DETROIT, the Mariners have won 8-4, 15-7, and 12-3. So they are used to scoring in Detroit and, as comparison sake, the games they played IN SEATTLE all pretty much went under. These stats are for 2025 ONLY btw.
I'm going to be back with the later game but I truly think this game cashes and is very reminiscent of yesteday's game with two guys that can give up runs on the mound, though yesterday Milwaukee had a bullpen arm start the game and I think that was the main reason they gave up runs. Today the main reason will be Jack Flaherty. At least in my opinion. As always, keep comments positive, and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Halfway there though would love more I think they had chances
Adding...
NYY FH (-145): I almost jumped on this over as well but the truth is Rodon is 12-1 as a starter in the postseason with the Yankees. That's really pretty incredible. BUT, he also has above a 5 ERA while logging those innings. So it's kinda a double edged sword. He was really great last time out and the games in Yankee Stadium between these two have been tight with the UNDER cashing of late. I'm not so sure what I'm going to get with Bieber I think as awesome as he was coming off the IL he started to sputter a bit towards the end of the year and I'm asking if maybe he's wearing down a bit. He will be rested though so another reason why I am spooked taking the over. But that Yankees bullpen....I just dont' want to chance it. Regardless, this will cash or at worst we will get a push.
Few more runs for the Mariners & Tigers but always dicey in the playoffs. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
1
Halfway there though would love more I think they had chances
Adding...
NYY FH (-145): I almost jumped on this over as well but the truth is Rodon is 12-1 as a starter in the postseason with the Yankees. That's really pretty incredible. BUT, he also has above a 5 ERA while logging those innings. So it's kinda a double edged sword. He was really great last time out and the games in Yankee Stadium between these two have been tight with the UNDER cashing of late. I'm not so sure what I'm going to get with Bieber I think as awesome as he was coming off the IL he started to sputter a bit towards the end of the year and I'm asking if maybe he's wearing down a bit. He will be rested though so another reason why I am spooked taking the over. But that Yankees bullpen....I just dont' want to chance it. Regardless, this will cash or at worst we will get a push.
Few more runs for the Mariners & Tigers but always dicey in the playoffs. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
….but the truth is Rodon is 12-1 as a starter in the postseason with the Yankees. That's really pretty incredible. BUT, he also has above a 5 ERA while logging those innings. So it's kinda a double edged sword.
He’s started five playoff games for the Yankees and his record is 1-2.
But I believe in him tonight!
3
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:
….but the truth is Rodon is 12-1 as a starter in the postseason with the Yankees. That's really pretty incredible. BUT, he also has above a 5 ERA while logging those innings. So it's kinda a double edged sword.
He’s started five playoff games for the Yankees and his record is 1-2.
YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS): 11-9-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 4-3) Not even going to try and overthink this one. I waited for this matchup and maybe the only thing I will do differently is take the F5 which I think has less of a chance to not hit vs. the FG. In short, neither of these pitchers has been shutdown vs. the other team and neither of these pitchers has been shutdown in the playoffs. Clearly Flaherty has a LOT more playoff experience than Gilbert but I don't think that matters all that much today. The Tigers score much more at home than they do on the road which should bode well for them because they haven't torched Gilbert either. I have been impressed with their bullpen even though they lost the last game in the 8th inning but could have been far worse as they limited the damage and the Tigers actually had a small chance to come back and win the game. This is THE swing game of the series so both teams should be motivated. One caveat is weather as there is rain approaching the fields. That is another reason I'm erring on the side of the F5 in the case that the pitchers start, a long delay ensues, and then we are married to bullpens. Regardless, I think both of these starters can give up a run and I think we will see an early score for sure. Of course, I'm not a gypsy so take that with a grain of salt too. But I do feel that the FH total of 4 is quite attractive given neither hurler is in his best situation today. OVER 4 FH (SEA/DET)...BIG PLAY!!! I know the Tigers are capable of many unders and maybe this is not the only information to follow but in the last 3 games played between these two IN DETROIT, the Mariners have won 8-4, 15-7, and 12-3. So they are used to scoring in Detroit and, as comparison sake, the games they played IN SEATTLE all pretty much went under. These stats are for 2025 ONLY btw. I'm going to be back with the later game but I truly think this game cashes and is very reminiscent of yesteday's game with two guys that can give up runs on the mound, though yesterday Milwaukee had a bullpen arm start the game and I think that was the main reason they gave up runs. Today the main reason will be Jack Flaherty. At least in my opinion. As always, keep comments positive, and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
winner winner ..thx buddy
NFL King of Covers #30 +7400 units 28-12 ATS for 70%
3
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:
YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS): 11-9-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 4-3) Not even going to try and overthink this one. I waited for this matchup and maybe the only thing I will do differently is take the F5 which I think has less of a chance to not hit vs. the FG. In short, neither of these pitchers has been shutdown vs. the other team and neither of these pitchers has been shutdown in the playoffs. Clearly Flaherty has a LOT more playoff experience than Gilbert but I don't think that matters all that much today. The Tigers score much more at home than they do on the road which should bode well for them because they haven't torched Gilbert either. I have been impressed with their bullpen even though they lost the last game in the 8th inning but could have been far worse as they limited the damage and the Tigers actually had a small chance to come back and win the game. This is THE swing game of the series so both teams should be motivated. One caveat is weather as there is rain approaching the fields. That is another reason I'm erring on the side of the F5 in the case that the pitchers start, a long delay ensues, and then we are married to bullpens. Regardless, I think both of these starters can give up a run and I think we will see an early score for sure. Of course, I'm not a gypsy so take that with a grain of salt too. But I do feel that the FH total of 4 is quite attractive given neither hurler is in his best situation today. OVER 4 FH (SEA/DET)...BIG PLAY!!! I know the Tigers are capable of many unders and maybe this is not the only information to follow but in the last 3 games played between these two IN DETROIT, the Mariners have won 8-4, 15-7, and 12-3. So they are used to scoring in Detroit and, as comparison sake, the games they played IN SEATTLE all pretty much went under. These stats are for 2025 ONLY btw. I'm going to be back with the later game but I truly think this game cashes and is very reminiscent of yesteday's game with two guys that can give up runs on the mound, though yesterday Milwaukee had a bullpen arm start the game and I think that was the main reason they gave up runs. Today the main reason will be Jack Flaherty. At least in my opinion. As always, keep comments positive, and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
Great hit on the BIG PLAY over. Yesterday got the win in the 1st inning but today had to wait until just about the last possible out. Regardless, it’s another W
Rodon has to walk Guerrero Jr every time he sees him. Here’s hoping the Yankees get us some runs they will have chances have to limit their own mistakes as well
2
Great hit on the BIG PLAY over. Yesterday got the win in the 1st inning but today had to wait until just about the last possible out. Regardless, it’s another W
Rodon has to walk Guerrero Jr every time he sees him. Here’s hoping the Yankees get us some runs they will have chances have to limit their own mistakes as well
Yessss and I knew Bieber wouldn’t last. Pretty much what I wrote with Rodon also susceptible to giving up runs. Believe me I was happy taking a push after that comeback. Judge on another planet.
1
@CoverMyLosses
Yessss and I knew Bieber wouldn’t last. Pretty much what I wrote with Rodon also susceptible to giving up runs. Believe me I was happy taking a push after that comeback. Judge on another planet.
Great hit on the BIG PLAY over. Yesterday got the win in the 1st inning but today had to wait until just about the last possible out. Regardless, it’s another W Rodon has to walk Guerrero Jr every time he sees him. Here’s hoping the Yankees get us some runs they will have chances have to limit their own mistakes as well
Never in doubt!!!
1
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:
Great hit on the BIG PLAY over. Yesterday got the win in the 1st inning but today had to wait until just about the last possible out. Regardless, it’s another W Rodon has to walk Guerrero Jr every time he sees him. Here’s hoping the Yankees get us some runs they will have chances have to limit their own mistakes as well
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