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MLB stuff for July 15 - 18

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Thursday, July 15. American League:
 
TEX: Tommy Hunter R (5-0, 2.34) C- is 1-1 w/a 11.74 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox.
BOS: Tim Wakefield R (3-7, 5.22) B is 10-15 w/a 6.09 ERA in thirty-four appearances (twenty-seven starts) against the Rangers.
Ephemerides note: Hunter ^SUtJU _VEsSA, Wakefield ^ maybe
Run support for Hunter: 7.29
Run support for Wakefield: 4.38
TEX's BA against Wakefield: .287
BOS's BA aginst Hunter: negligible
Lean: Red Sox
 
CWS: John Danks L (8-7, 3.29) B is 4-6 w/a 5.03 ERA in fifteen starts against the Twins.
MIN: Kevin Slowey R (8-5, 4.64) C+ is 2-3 w/a 5.66 ERA in seven games (six starts) against the White Sox.
Ephemerides note: Danks ^SU*MA fair, Slowey ^SUtMA maybe
Run support for Danks: 4.32
Run support for Slowey: 5.33
CWS's BA against Slowey: .299
MIN's BA against Danks: .318 (Cuddyer 18-36 .500)
 
SEA: Doug Fister R (3-4, 3.09) C- is 1-0 w/a 2.51 ERA in two starts against the Angels.
LAA: Joel Piñeiro R (9-6, 3.95) B-/C+ is 1-1 w/a 5.87 ERA in three games (one start) against the Mariners.
Ephemerides note: Fister _MEsMA no^, Piñeiro _VEcSA
Run support for Fister: 3.46
Run support for Piñeiro: 5.00
SEA's BA against Piñeiro: negligible
LAA's BA against Fister: negligible
 
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Thusday, July 15. National League:
 
MIL: Dave Bush R (4-6, 4.14) B+ is 1-1 w/a 2.33 ERA in four starts against the Braves.
ATL: Jair Jurrjens R (1-3, 5.40) C+ is 0-1 w/a 5.14 ERA in one start against the Brewers.
Ephemerides note: Bush _VEsME, Jurrjens ^ ^ _MEoSU _VEsSA _
Run support for Bush: 3.85
Run support for Jurrjens: 3.45
MIL's BA against Jurrjens: negligible
ATL's BA against Bush: negligible
Lean: Under
 
PHI: Jamie Moyer L (9-8, 4.51) C- is 3-2 w/a 4.27 ERA in eight starts against the Cubs.
CHC: Ryan Dempster R (7-7, 3.61) A is 4-4 w/a 5.05 ERA in twenty two appearances (fifteen starts) against the Phillies.
Ephemerides note: Moyer ^SUtME good, Dempster ?
Run support for Moyer: 4.83
Run support for Dempster: 4.08
Phillies' BA against Dempster: .221
Cubs' BA against Moyer: .245
 
LAD: Clayton Kershaw L (9-4, 2.96) B is 2-0 w/a 2.27 ERA in five starts against the Cardinals.
STL: Chris Carpenter R (9-3, 3.29) B+ is 5-0 w/a 1.88 ERA in seven starts against the Dodgers.
Ephemerides note: Kershaw no align, Carpenter $ lucky
Run support for Kershaw: 4.42
Run support for Carpenter: 5.03
LAD's BA against Carpenter: .246
STL's BA against Kershaw: .214 from 84 at-bats
Lean: Cardinals
 
NYM: R.A. Dickey R (6-2, 2.77) B+ is making his first start against the Giants.
SF: Tim Lincecum R (9-4, 3.16) B+ is 0-1 w/a 5.04 ERA in four starts against the Mets.
Ephemerides note: Dickey good, Lincecum _MEsMA
Run support for Dickey: 5.28
Run support for Lincecum: 5.36
Mets' BA against Lincecum: .254 from 64 at-bats
Giants' BA against Dickey: negligible
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

Thursday, July 15. American League:
 
TEX: Tommy Hunter R (5-0, 2.34) C- is 1-1 w/a 11.74 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox.
BOS: Tim Wakefield R (3-7, 5.22) B is 10-15 w/a 6.09 ERA in thirty-four appearances (twenty-seven starts) against the Rangers.
Ephemerides note: Hunter ^SUtJU _VEsSA, Wakefield ^ maybe
Run support for Hunter: 7.29
Run support for Wakefield: 4.38
TEX's BA against Wakefield: .287
BOS's BA aginst Hunter: negligible
Lean: Red Sox
 
CWS: John Danks L (8-7, 3.29) B is 4-6 w/a 5.03 ERA in fifteen starts against the Twins.
MIN: Kevin Slowey R (8-5, 4.64) C+ is 2-3 w/a 5.66 ERA in seven games (six starts) against the White Sox.
Ephemerides note: Danks ^SU*MA fair, Slowey ^SUtMA maybe
Run support for Danks: 4.32
Run support for Slowey: 5.33
CWS's BA against Slowey: .299
MIN's BA against Danks: .318 (Cuddyer 18-36 .500)
 
SEA: Doug Fister R (3-4, 3.09) C- is 1-0 w/a 2.51 ERA in two starts against the Angels.
LAA: Joel Piñeiro R (9-6, 3.95) B-/C+ is 1-1 w/a 5.87 ERA in three games (one start) against the Mariners.
Ephemerides note: Fister _MEsMA no^, Piñeiro _VEcSA
Run support for Fister: 3.46
Run support for Piñeiro: 5.00
SEA's BA against Piñeiro: negligible
LAA's BA against Fister: negligible



Kane,

Can you explain why you lean Red Sox when all the numbers (qualified statistics, nothing flukie) point to T.Hunter being a winning machine.
 
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Posted: #4
 
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Posted: #5
You can't give Hunter a C unless these ratings are based solely on how pitchers have done in the past.  With that said Wakefield 18 ER in last 3 games against Rangers.  Doesn't that equal a C at the minimum?

Texas tonight my friend.  Hunter 5-0 this year and getting a C.
 
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Posted: #6
I mean how pitchers have done in the past against specific teams.
 
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Posted: #7
The public points to the Red Sox, but my initial lean was Rangers right out of the gate. I feel something shady about this game 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by flyp:

The public points to the Red Sox, but my initial lean was Rangers right out of the gate. I feel something shady about this game 


Red Sox are always publicly backed at home, that's a given regardless of the %'s you see on this website.

I'm banking on the following:
-T.Hunter gets supreme run support from his lineup.
-T.Hunter is 5-0 and has yet to pitch himself out of a game.
-Red Sox are very very banged up.
-Rangers lost 4 in a row vs. Balty and will show up for this series, period. (many will argue to not bet on any team with a loosing streak)

That's why I'm wondering why Kane is leaning Boston...I would actually have expected him to make Texas a POD, or at least a 1 unit play...
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by JZA:



Red Sox are always publicly backed at home, that's a given regardless of the %'s you see on this website.

I'm banking on the following:
-T.Hunter gets supreme run support from his lineup.
-T.Hunter is 5-0 and has yet to pitch himself out of a game.
-Red Sox are very very banged up.
-Rangers lost 4 in a row vs. Balty and will show up for this series, period. (many will argue to not bet on any team with a loosing streak)

That's why I'm wondering why Kane is leaning Boston...I would actually have expected him to make Texas a POD, or at least a 1 unit play...


Also, Target-9 has a 3unit play on Texas, and he has been rolling for weeks now...

I don't think this smells like a trap on the Texas side at all here...if anything, I would argue that the line is begging for Boston action.

I'm dropping the hammer.
 
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Posted: #10
 
Legend
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Posted: #11

I don't have a good read on that game even though my system indicates a play on the Red Sox.

No play on Texas for me.

My official plays are in a seperate thread. I like the Cardinals and Twins tonight.

Public should be split on this one. People are catching up to Tommy Hunter as the Rangers are 6-1 in his starts. And why not grab the best team in the AL West at a great price? Should be a bonus with a solid pitcher against a jeckyll-n-hyde one.

PS. The pitcher ratings aren't based on past statistics or performances. Its a prediction of future performance based on a combination of... stuff.

 
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BOL TO YOU IN THE SECOND HALF
 
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Posted: #13
Thanks for clearing it up that the grades are based on a combination of stuff.
 
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Posted: #14
Thanks Kane.

On the Cards tonight also.
 
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Friday, July 16. American League:
 
TOR: Ricky Romero L (6-6, 3.71) B is 1-2 w/a 4.33 ERA in five starts against the Orioles.
BAL: Brad Bergesen R (3-6, 6.40) C- is 1-0 w/a 5.19 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays.
Ephemerides note: Romero _MAsVE, Bergesen ^SUtSA
Run support for Romero: 4.07
Run support for Bergesen: 4.18
TOR's BA against Bergesen: .280 from 50 at-bats
BAL's BA against Romero: .278
 
DET: Max Scherzer R (6-6, 4.61) B-/C- is 0-1 w/a 9.00 ERA in one start against the Indians.
CLE: Jake Westbrook R (5-5, 4.75) C- is 5-8 w/a 5.69 ERA in twenty-two appearances (nineteen starts) against the Tigers.
Ephemerides note: Scherzer $$$$ lucky, Westbrook $$$ lucky
Run support for Scherzer: 4.69
Run support for Westbrook: 4.28
DET's BA against Westbrook: .303
CLE's BA against Scherzer: negligible
Pick: Over
 
TB: James Shields R (7-9, 4.87) C- is 2-7 w/a 5.54 ERA in eleven starts against the Yankees.
NYY: C.C. Sabathia L (12-3, 3.09) B+ is 8-3 w/a 2.97 ERA in sixteen starts against the Yankees.
Ephemerides note: Shields fair, Sabathia $$ lucky
Run support for Shields: 4.74
Run support for Sabathia: 6.24
TB's BA against Sabathia: .257
NYY's BA against Shields: .261
Lean: Yankees -1
 
TEX: Colby Lewis R (8-5, 3.33) C- is making his first start against the Red Sox.
BOS: Felix Doubront L (1-1, 4.22) C
Ephemerides note: Lewis maybe, Doubront $$ lucky
Run support for Lewis: 4.24
Run support for Doubront: 6.35 through 2 starts
TEX's BA against Doubront: NA
BOS's BA against Lewis: negligible
 
CWS: Gavin Floyd R (5-7, 4.20) A is 4-4 w/a 4.22 ERA in nine starts against the Twins.
MIN: Francisco Liriano L (6-7, 3.86) C+ is 0-3 w/a 6.84 ERA in seven games (four starts) against the White Sox.
Ephemerides note: Foyd _VEsUR, Liriano _VEsUR
Run support for Floyd: 3.84
Run support for Liriano: 3.85
CWS's BA against Liriano: .278
MIN's BA against Floyd: .289
 
OAK: Gio González L (7-6, 3.79) C+ is 0-1 w/a 7.71 ERA in two starts against the Royals.
KC: Zack Greinke R (5-8, 3.71) C- is 4-0 w/a 2.88 ERA in eleven games (seven starts) against the Athletics.
Ephemerides note: González ^SU*ME ^SUtSA good, Greinke _VEsUR
Run support for González: 4.16
Run support for Greinke: 3.63
OAK's BA against Greinke: .245
KC's BA against González: negligible
Pick: Athletics
 
SEA: Félix Hernández R (7-5, 2.88) C+ is 4-6 w/a 4.40 ERA in eighteen starts against the Angels.
LAA: Jered Weaver R (8-5, 3.20) B+ is 9-3 w/a 3.94 ERA in sixteen starts against the Mariners.
Ephemerides note: Hernández _VEsSA _ _, Weaver _MEsJU no^
Run support for Hernández: 3.69
Run support for Weaver: 4.54
SEA's BA against Weaver: .239
LAA's BA against Hernández: .226
Lean: Angels
 
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Wassup HK. Thanks for the info. Im all over the A's tomorrow. I believe Gonzales has his mojo flowing tomorrow. Also like the Bluejays and washington. I believe these three pitchers will have shut outs through 6 innings. I know its wishful thinking but never know. Good luck bud.
 
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HUNTER A C
 
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Friday, July 16. National League:
 
PHI: Joe Blanton R (3-5, 6.41) B-/C+ is making his first start against the Cubs.
CHC: Ted Lilly L (3-8, 4.08) A+ is 1-4 w/a 6.43 ERA in five starts against the Phillies.
Ephemerides note: Blanton _, Lilly $$$$$ good
Run support for Blanton: 5.66
Run support for Lilly: 2.73
PHI's BA against Lilly: .258
CHC's BA against Blanton: negligible
Blanton's day/night splits: Blanton has a winning record in day games but his ERA is almost 1-point higher in day starts
Lilly's day/night splits: negliglbe, almost identical numbers
Pick: Cubs
 
HOU: Brett Myers R (6-6, 3.41) A+ is 4-4 w/a 2.68 ERA in nine games (eight starts) against the Pirates.
PIT: Zach Duke L (3-8, 5.49) B-/C- is 2-4 w/a 3.25 ERA in ten games (nine starts) against the Astros.
Ephemerides note: Myers $ lucky, Duke _ _
Run support for Myers: 4.51
Run support for Duke: 3.16
Astros' BA against Duke: .250
Pirates' BA against Myers: .265
Pick: Astros
 
COL: Jason Hammel R (7-3, 4.08) C- is 0-0 w/a 2.45 ERA in one start against the Reds.
CIN: Bronson Arroyo R (9-4, 4.04) B+ is 1-2 w/a 3.98 ERA in eight games (six starts) against the Rockies.
Ephemerides note: Hammel good, Arroyo ^ME*PL ^SU*JU _MEoMA
Run support for Hammel: 4.11
Run support for Arroyo: 4.96
Rockies' BA against Arroyo: .230
Reds' BA against Hammel: negligible
 
WAS: Stephen Strasburg R (3-2, 2.32) B+
FLA: Ricky Nolasco R (9-6, 4.55) B+ is 7-2 w/a 4.37 ERA in twelve games (ten starts) against the Nationals.
Ephemerides note: Strasburg $$$$$ good, Nolasco _ _
Run support for Strasburg: 4.19
Run support for Nolasco: 4.75
Nationals' BA against Nolasco: .265
Marlins' BA against Strasburg: NA
Pick: Nationals
 
MIL: Randy Wolf L (6-8, 4.56) A+ is 4-12 w/a 5.31 ERA against the Braves.
ATL: Tommy Hanson R (8-5, 4.13) B+ is 1-1 w/a 3.43 ERA in three starts against the Brewers.
Ephemerides note: Wolf good, Hanson $$$$
Run support for Wolf: 5.96
Run support for Hanson: 5.83
MIL's BA against Hanson: negligible
ATL's BA against Wolf: .301
 
LAD: Chad Billingsley R (7-4, 4.14) B+ is 1-2 w/a 4.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against the Cardinals.
STL: Jaime García L (8-4, 2.17) B-/C- is making his first start against the Dodgers.
Ephemerides note: Billingsley $$$$$ good, García _
Run support for Billingsley: 5.05
Run support for García: 3.90
LAD's BA against García: negligible
STL's BA against Billingsley: .276
Lean: Dodgers
 
ARI: Dan Haren R (7-7, 4.36) B- is 5-1 w/approx a 2.89 ERA in twelve starts against the Padres.
SD: Jon Garland R (8-6, 3.56) C+ is 2-2 w/a 5.63 ERA in six starts against the Diamondbacks.
Ephemerides note: Haren _MEsMA, Garland ^ maybe
Run support for Haren: 4.45
Run support for Garland: 4.04
ARI's BA against Garland: .260
SD's BA against Haren: .261
 
NYM: Jonathon Niese L (6-3, 3.61) C- have never faced the Giants.
SF: Barry Zito L (7-4, 3.76) C is 2-2 w/a 4.28 ERA in five starts against the Mets.
Ephemerides note: Niese _VEsSA, Zito _MEsUR
Run support for Niese: 6.02
Run support for Zito: 4.22
Mets' BA against Zito: .259
Giants' BA against Niese: NA
 
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Posted: #20

Good stuff Kane. Thanks for your contribution

 
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thanks for the good info
 
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Saturday, July 17. American League:
 
DET: Justin Verlander R (11-5, 3.82) A is 9-10 w/a 5.39 ERA in twenty-one starts against the Indians.
CLE: Fausto Carmona R (8-7, 3.64) B-/C- is 6-4 w/a 3.44 ERA in sixteen games (thirteen starts) against the Tigers.
Ephemerides note: Verlander _VEsUR, Carmona _VEsUR
Run support for Verlander: 5.61
Run support for Carmona: 3.89
Tigers' BA against Carmona: .243
Indians' BA against Verlander: .262
Verlander's & Carmona's day/night splits: both have slightly better ERA & WHIP in day starts 
Lean: Under
 
DET: Rick Porcello R (4-7, 6.14) B+ is 4-0 w/a 2.55 ERA in six starts against the Indians.
CLE: Mitch Talbot R (8-8, 3.99) C- is 1-1 w/a 9.49 ERA in three games (two starts) against the Tigers.
Ephemerides note: Porcello _MEsPL, Talbot ^ ^ _
Run support for Porcello: 4.86
Run support for Talbot: 4.63
Tigers' BA against Talbot: negligible
Indians' BA against Porcello: .204
 
TB: Jeff Niemann R (7-2, 2.77) B- is 1-0 w/a 2.93 ERA in three starts against the Yankees.
NYY: A.J. Burnett R (7-7, 4.75) B- is 12-5 w/a 2.98 ERA in twenty-three starts against the Rays.
Ephemerides note: Niemann _, Burnett $ lucky
Run support for Niemann: 5.44
Run support for Burnett: 4.44
Rays' BA against Burnett: .244
Yankees' BA against Niemann: negligible
Nieman's & Burnett's day/night splits: both negligible
 
TOR: Brandon Morrow R (5-6, 4.86) C is 0-0 w/a 3.65 ERA in eight games (one start) against the Orioles.
BAL: Jeremy Guthrie R (3-10, 4.77) B-/C+ is 2-5 w/a 3.74 ERA in twelve starts against the Blue Jays.
Ephemerides note: Morrow _VEsUR, Guthrie ^SUtME _VEsSA
Run support for Morrow: 4.96
Run support for Guthrie: 3.45
TOR's BA against Guthrie: .288
BAL's BA against Morrow: negligible
 
TEX: Cliff Lee L (8-4, 2.64) C+ is 2-4 w/a 4.39 ERA in nine starts against the Red Sox.
BOS: John Lackey R (9-5, 4.78) B- is 11-12 w/a 5.87 ERA in thirty-two starts against the Rangers.
Ephemerides note: Lee $$$$$, Lackey _MEsME
Run support for Lee:  4.55
Run support for Lackey: 5.38
TEX's BA against Lackey: .354
BOS' BA against Lee: .235
Pick: Rangers
 
OAK: Trevor Cahill R (9-3, 2.94) C+ is 2-0 w/a 4.09 ERA in two starts against the Royals.
KC: Bruce Chen L (5-3, 3.81) A is 1-2 w/a 3.68 ERA in eight appearances (four starts) against the Athletics.
Ephemerides note: Cahill _MEoME, Chen ^ ^ _
Run support for Cahill: 4.63
Run support for Chen: 4.63
OAK's BA against Chen: negligible
KC's BA against Cahill: negligible
Lean: Under
 
CWS: Mark Buehrle L (8-7, 4.24) C+ is 24-16 w/a 4.10 ERA in a bunch of starts against the Twins.
MIN: Carl Pavano R (10-6, 3.58) A+ is 4-2 w/a 2.81 ERA in six starts against the White Sox.
Ephemerides note: Buehrle _VEcSA, Pavano good
Run support for Buehrle: 4.25
Run support for Pavano: 4.61
CWS's BA against Pavano: .231
MIN's BA against Buehrle: .279
Pick: Twins
 
SEA: Ryan Rowland-Smith L (1-9, 5.89) A is 0-2 w/a 3.06 ERA in ten games (four starts) against the Angels.
LAA: Joe Saunders L (6-9, 4.76) C- is 8-1 w/a 3.58 ERA in thirteen starts against the Mariners.
Ephemerides note: Rowland-Smith _VEsUR, Saunders _VEsMA no^
Run support for Rowland-Smith: 2.79
Run support for Saunders: 3.96
SEA's BA against Saunders: .241
LAA's BA against Rowland-Smith: .301
 
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Saturday, July 17. National League:
 
PHI: Cole Hamels L (7-7, 3.78) C- is 3-1 w/a 2.61 ERA in five starts against the Cubs.
CHC: Randy Wells R (4-7, 4.61) C- is making his first start against the Phillies.
Ephemerides note: Hamels ^SUtVE ?, Wells good
Run support for Hamels: 3.75
Run support for Wells: 3.64
PHI's BA against Wells: negligible
CHC's BA against Hamels: .226
Hamels' day/night splits: 4.52 ERA w/a 1.40 WHIP in day starts, 3.31 ERA w/a 1.11 WHIP in night starts
Wells' day/night splits: 4.27 ERA w/a 1.42 WHIP in day starts, 2.87 ERA w/a 1.19 WHIP in night starts
 
LAD: Hiroki Kuroda R (7-7, 3.87) B- is 0-0 w/a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Cardinals.
STL: Adam Wainwright R (13-5, 2.11) C- is 2-3 w/a 3.53 ERA in nine games (six starts) against the Dodgers.
Ephemerides note: Kuroda no align, Wainwright ^ ^SU*ME _
Run support for Kuroda: 5.46
Run support for Wainwright: 5.58
LAD's BA against Wainwright: .320
STL's BA against Kuroda: .239 from 67 at-bats
Kuroda's day/night splits: negligible
Wainwright's day/night splits: slightly worse numbers for day starts
 
HOU: Bud Norris R (2-6, 5.97) C is 1-0 w/a 1.50 ERA in one start against the Pirates.
PIT: Ross Ohlendorf R (1-7, 4.22) B-/C- is 0-6 w/a 6.55 ERA in eight games (six starts) against the Astros.
Ephemerides note: Norris _ no^, Ohlendorf good
Note: both pitchers get shitty run support; 2.94 & 2.17 respectively
 
MIL: Chris Narveson L (7-6, 6.02) C- is making his first start against the Braves.
ATL: Tim Hudson R (9-4, 2.30) C is 3-2 w/a 2.98 ERA in seven starts against the Brewers.
Ephemerides note: Narveson maybe, Hudson _VEsNE
Run support for Narveson: 4.15
Run support for Hudson: 5.08
MIL's BA against Hudson: .273
ATL's BA against Narveson: NA
 
COL: Jorge De La Rosa L (3-1, 4.94) B+ is 1-2 w/a 8.36 ERA in eight games (two starts) against the Reds.
CIN: Edinson Vólquez R (0-0, NA) B+
Ephemerides note: De La Rosa maybe, $$
 
WAS: Liván Hernández R (6-5, 3.37) C+ is 13-8 w/a 3.52 ERA in twenty-nine starts against the Marlins.
FLA: Josh Johnson R (9-3, 1.70) B+ is 6-0 w/approx a 3.55 ERA in twelve starts against the Nationals.
Ephemerides note: Hernández fair, Johnson $$ lucky
Run support for Hernández: 3.70
Run support for Johnson: 5.00
WAS's BA against Johnson: .203
FLA's BA against Hernández: .312
 
ARI: Rodrigo López R (5-7, 4.40) B+ is 0-1 w/a 2.00 ERA in one start against the Padres.
SD: Clayton Richard L (6-4, 3.33) A+ is making his first start against the Diamondbacks.
Ephemerides note: López ^ _ _, Richard ^SU*ME $$$
Run support for López: 5.26
Run support for Richard: 3.86
Pick: Padres
 
NYM: Hisanori Takahashi L (7-3, 4.15) B-/C- is making his first start against the Giants.
SF: Matt Cain R (6-8, 3.34) B-/C- is 3-3 w/a 4.26 ERA in seven starts against the Mets.
Ephemerides note: Takahashi maybe, Cain _MEsSA
Lean: Mets
 
Captain
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LETS GO PHILLIES!!!  
 
 
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thanks bro!!
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