Nobody has scored fewer runs than the Reds over the last week of baseball. Their bats are ice cold and Villanueva has been fantastic. Also factor in that Leake was a terrible daytime pitcher last year (1-2, 6.25 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, .330 BAA) and hasn't done well as a road pitcher yet in 2013. This is a recipe for a long day at Wrigley for the Reds.
NYY RL +150 NYY/OAK Under 8 -109
The A's typically do well against lefties, but not this lefty. CC owned the A's in 2012 (22IP, 2.05 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, .198 BAA) and he's pitching very well so far in 2013. He's a horse and will likely go 7-8 innings, hand the ball to Rivera, and it's good night A's. Griffin is a fly-ball pitcher and will likely give up a couple dingers to the Yanks, but with their depleted line up I think they'll probably just be 2 run shots. Yankees win 5-1.
ATL ML -168
I rarely lay this kind of juice. Both teams have pretty cold bats but the Braves have the better starter and a huge edge in bullpens so I think it's worth drinking the juice on this one. No RL play for me due to the lack of production from Bravo bats lately.
PIT ML -126
Both starters can deal but the Buccos bats have been hotter and I like their bullpen better. Raise the Jolly Roger yar!
LAD ML -139
Kershaw's numbers against the Giants are disgustingly good. Kershaw's numbers in 2013 are disgustingly good. I don't normally lay juice with the "obvious" pitcher but on this occasion, I'm giving it a go. SD ML +123
Arizona leads the league in blown saves. Even if Miley is great (and his most recent outing suggests to expect anything but that), do you trust the Zona bullpen to hold a lead? Me either.
COL ML +123
How the helllllll is one of the best home teams in baseball a home dog to the RAYS? I don't care who's pitching, if you offer me plus money on the Rockies in Denver, I'm taking it.
Good luck
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
63-49 YTD
Big....card. CHC ML +103
Nobody has scored fewer runs than the Reds over the last week of baseball. Their bats are ice cold and Villanueva has been fantastic. Also factor in that Leake was a terrible daytime pitcher last year (1-2, 6.25 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, .330 BAA) and hasn't done well as a road pitcher yet in 2013. This is a recipe for a long day at Wrigley for the Reds.
NYY RL +150 NYY/OAK Under 8 -109
The A's typically do well against lefties, but not this lefty. CC owned the A's in 2012 (22IP, 2.05 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, .198 BAA) and he's pitching very well so far in 2013. He's a horse and will likely go 7-8 innings, hand the ball to Rivera, and it's good night A's. Griffin is a fly-ball pitcher and will likely give up a couple dingers to the Yanks, but with their depleted line up I think they'll probably just be 2 run shots. Yankees win 5-1.
ATL ML -168
I rarely lay this kind of juice. Both teams have pretty cold bats but the Braves have the better starter and a huge edge in bullpens so I think it's worth drinking the juice on this one. No RL play for me due to the lack of production from Bravo bats lately.
PIT ML -126
Both starters can deal but the Buccos bats have been hotter and I like their bullpen better. Raise the Jolly Roger yar!
LAD ML -139
Kershaw's numbers against the Giants are disgustingly good. Kershaw's numbers in 2013 are disgustingly good. I don't normally lay juice with the "obvious" pitcher but on this occasion, I'm giving it a go. SD ML +123
Arizona leads the league in blown saves. Even if Miley is great (and his most recent outing suggests to expect anything but that), do you trust the Zona bullpen to hold a lead? Me either.
COL ML +123
How the helllllll is one of the best home teams in baseball a home dog to the RAYS? I don't care who's pitching, if you offer me plus money on the Rockies in Denver, I'm taking it.
The Rockies are 2-1 at home when Francis starts. The loss was by 1 run.
I'm not saying they can't or won't win but blindly taking them without even considering who is pitching seems pretty silly as is looking at a 3 game sample. Francis is awful and you're not getting any kind of bargain at that price. You point out the loss was by one run but ignore that he is averaging 4 innings a start and in one of those wins he gave up 9 runs and was facing aaron laffey.
That's a pretty fair line and if it comes down much more I'm taking tampa but gl.
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Quote Originally Posted by Pasteur:
The Rockies are 2-1 at home when Francis starts. The loss was by 1 run.
I'm not saying they can't or won't win but blindly taking them without even considering who is pitching seems pretty silly as is looking at a 3 game sample. Francis is awful and you're not getting any kind of bargain at that price. You point out the loss was by one run but ignore that he is averaging 4 innings a start and in one of those wins he gave up 9 runs and was facing aaron laffey.
That's a pretty fair line and if it comes down much more I'm taking tampa but gl.
I'm not saying they can't or won't win but blindly taking them without even considering who is pitching seems pretty silly as is looking at a 3 game sample. Francis is awful and you're not getting any kind of bargain at that price. You point out the loss was by one run but ignore that he is averaging 4 innings a start and in one of those wins he gave up 9 runs and was facing aaron laffey.
That's a pretty fair line and if it comes down much more I'm taking tampa but gl.
Just because I didn't base my pick solely on the starting pitchers doesn't mean I ignored them.
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Quote Originally Posted by tkf18ny:
I'm not saying they can't or won't win but blindly taking them without even considering who is pitching seems pretty silly as is looking at a 3 game sample. Francis is awful and you're not getting any kind of bargain at that price. You point out the loss was by one run but ignore that he is averaging 4 innings a start and in one of those wins he gave up 9 runs and was facing aaron laffey.
That's a pretty fair line and if it comes down much more I'm taking tampa but gl.
Just because I didn't base my pick solely on the starting pitchers doesn't mean I ignored them.
I think his 2012 numbers vs. the A's are more relevant than his career numbers. The A's do hit LHP well so something has to give today. Should be interesting!
I think his 2012 numbers vs. the A's are more relevant than his career numbers. The A's do hit LHP well so something has to give today. Should be interesting!
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