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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Home System

    «First Previous 123 ... 91011 Next Last»
    RealRedDragon
    MILKMAN0923
    Woodd2
    dufresne
    ERBATIZ
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 30470
    Posts: 270
    «First Previous 123 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    RealRedDragon
    RealRedDragon
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2010 - 5:46 AM ET #226

    Quote Originally Posted by RealRedDragon:

    I suppose Its not bad idea to take LAA. A nice time to do that. Inds won twice and this mistake should be corrected tonight imo.

    LAA Game 3 (taken 1) 
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    Quote Originally Posted by RealRedDragon:

    I suppose Its not bad idea to take LAA. A nice time to do that. Inds won twice and this mistake should be corrected tonight imo.

    LAA Game 3 (taken 1) 
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2010 - 6:13 AM ET #227

    ATL has the best home record in baseball right now and they open a 7 game series tongiht, would you consider this for a play?
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    ATL has the best home record in baseball right now and they open a 7 game series tongiht, would you consider this for a play?
     
    Woodd2
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2010 - 6:14 AM ET #228

      can't wait for the atlanta play tomorrow... but hey if they dont win then, we gotem game 2 or game 3 for profit   
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      can't wait for the atlanta play tomorrow... but hey if they dont win then, we gotem game 2 or game 3 for profit   
     
    RealRedDragon
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2010 - 9:02 AM ET #229

    Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:

      can't wait for the atlanta play tomorrow... but hey if they dont win then, we gotem game 2 or game 3 for profit   
    Agree. Maybe one game later but not tomorrow imo.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:

      can't wait for the atlanta play tomorrow... but hey if they dont win then, we gotem game 2 or game 3 for profit   
    Agree. Maybe one game later but not tomorrow imo.
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2010 - 8:59 PM ET #230

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    ATL has the best home record in baseball right now and they open a 7 game series tongiht, would you consider this for a play?

    No, I wouldn't. Look at post #1. We are using the top ten home teams from the past year. Atlanta isn't one of them.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    ATL has the best home record in baseball right now and they open a 7 game series tongiht, would you consider this for a play?

    No, I wouldn't. Look at post #1. We are using the top ten home teams from the past year. Atlanta isn't one of them.

     
    dufresne
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2010 - 9:32 PM ET #231

    Quote Originally Posted by K4ngur13:

    wow, this is still going

    this system must be doing quiet well then what is the record here or made money just curious



    good luck

    K4ngur13,

    My personal record with this strategy is 67-0.

    Game 1 wins  44

    Game 2 wins  12

    Game 3 wins   8

    Game 4 wins   3

    Total = 67

    Due to my own money management style and the juice that is associated with ML betting (NYY@ -235), I am up just a little over 31 units.

    Obviously a six game loss would wipe out all gains. This is the downside of chase systems. Some people will stop at three or four to limit the downside. It is interesting to note that if I had stopped after the first game and never chased to win, I would only be up 7 units instead of 31.

     

    Friday:

    Texas Game 1

    Monday:

    Tampa Bay Game 1

    Tuesday:

    San Francisco Game 1

    Above are the next three system plays. I won't be on them because I'm happy with the results I have so far. I will do this again next year but I don't think I will play in September at all.

    Thanks again to Skyndrix for starting this thread and introducing me to this strategy.

    BOL to All

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    Quote Originally Posted by K4ngur13:

    wow, this is still going

    this system must be doing quiet well then what is the record here or made money just curious



    good luck

    K4ngur13,

    My personal record with this strategy is 67-0.

    Game 1 wins  44

    Game 2 wins  12

    Game 3 wins   8

    Game 4 wins   3

    Total = 67

    Due to my own money management style and the juice that is associated with ML betting (NYY@ -235), I am up just a little over 31 units.

    Obviously a six game loss would wipe out all gains. This is the downside of chase systems. Some people will stop at three or four to limit the downside. It is interesting to note that if I had stopped after the first game and never chased to win, I would only be up 7 units instead of 31.

     

    Friday:

    Texas Game 1

    Monday:

    Tampa Bay Game 1

    Tuesday:

    San Francisco Game 1

    Above are the next three system plays. I won't be on them because I'm happy with the results I have so far. I will do this again next year but I don't think I will play in September at all.

    Thanks again to Skyndrix for starting this thread and introducing me to this strategy.

    BOL to All

     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2010 - 12:50 AM ET #232

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    sportsgirl22
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    Posted: Sep. 13, 2010 - 11:14 PM ET #233

    wow...im glad that i found this post yesterday. i took rays tonight because i believe that CC wont get his 20th win ...and seems like ur system is a winner....dufresne, are you going to post anymore for next series?

    thanks for your help..i am trying to understand this system, i will start from page 1
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    wow...im glad that i found this post yesterday. i took rays tonight because i believe that CC wont get his 20th win ...and seems like ur system is a winner....dufresne, are you going to post anymore for next series?

    thanks for your help..i am trying to understand this system, i will start from page 1
     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2010 - 10:12 AM ET #234

    im looking forward your nhl syst.
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    im looking forward your nhl syst.
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2010 - 8:03 PM ET #235

    so since SF list last night you wuld play them again tonight for gm 2 correct?  sorry jjst found this thread late, keeps me busy when no football is on..
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    so since SF list last night you wuld play them again tonight for gm 2 correct?  sorry jjst found this thread late, keeps me busy when no football is on..
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2010 - 6:01 AM ET #236

    bunch of new seriers starting today, any plays? 

    SF gm 2

    Tb gm1

    Tex gm1
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    bunch of new seriers starting today, any plays? 

    SF gm 2

    Tb gm1

    Tex gm1
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2010 - 6:11 AM ET #237

    Just went back and looked and here are todays plays for FRIDAY

    BOS gm1

    LAD gm1

    MINN gm1
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    Just went back and looked and here are todays plays for FRIDAY

    BOS gm1

    LAD gm1

    MINN gm1
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 18, 2010 - 7:38 AM ET #238

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    Just went back and looked and here are todays plays for FRIDAY

    BOS gm1

    LAD gm1

    MINN gm1
     


    todays plays

    BOS gm2

    LAD gm2

    MINN gm2
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    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

    Just went back and looked and here are todays plays for FRIDAY

    BOS gm1

    LAD gm1

    MINN gm1
     


    todays plays

    BOS gm2

    LAD gm2

    MINN gm2
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:11 PM ET #239

    i didnt play these b/c i was having a great weekend in NCAA / NFL but all 3 were winners...

    BOS gm 3

    LAD gm 3

    MINN gm 2

    will loook for plays tomorrow..
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    i didnt play these b/c i was having a great weekend in NCAA / NFL but all 3 were winners...

    BOS gm 3

    LAD gm 3

    MINN gm 2

    will loook for plays tomorrow..
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:16 PM ET #240

    monday 9/19 plays

    NY Yanks gm1

    DET gm 1


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    monday 9/19 plays

    NY Yanks gm1

    DET gm 1


     
    str8shot
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:27 PM ET #241

    Phillies Are Prime For This!!!

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    Phillies Are Prime For This!!!

     
    SportsFan9698
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    Posted: Sep. 19, 2010 - 11:31 PM ET #242

    OK I just stumbled across this thread.  Basically as I understand things, you are making a season long wager that says that none of the top 10 home teams will lose 6 in a row at home.  Is that correct?
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    OK I just stumbled across this thread.  Basically as I understand things, you are making a season long wager that says that none of the top 10 home teams will lose 6 in a row at home.  Is that correct?
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 6:15 AM ET #243

    Quote Originally Posted by SportsFan9698:

    OK I just stumbled across this thread.  Basically as I understand things, you are making a season long wager that says that none of the top 10 home teams will lose 6 in a row at home.  Is that correct?


    yes pretty much...i hoped on late and its been money, but you have to be prepared to chase if necessary..

    I like the phillys toda also but they are not a top ten home team last year, although this year they are...for system sake they are not a play but im adding them as a bonus, b/c they still have at least 6 games left at home on there current home stand...

    system plays:

    NNY gm1

    Det gm1

    Bonus Play:
    Phils gm1
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsFan9698:

    OK I just stumbled across this thread.  Basically as I understand things, you are making a season long wager that says that none of the top 10 home teams will lose 6 in a row at home.  Is that correct?


    yes pretty much...i hoped on late and its been money, but you have to be prepared to chase if necessary..

    I like the phillys toda also but they are not a top ten home team last year, although this year they are...for system sake they are not a play but im adding them as a bonus, b/c they still have at least 6 games left at home on there current home stand...

    system plays:

    NNY gm1

    Det gm1

    Bonus Play:
    Phils gm1
     
    SportsFan9698
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 12:08 PM ET #244

    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



    yes pretty much...i hoped on late and its been money, but you have to be prepared to chase if necessary..

     

    OK with that being the premise of the system, I see a problem.  It is conceivable and actually quite likely that at the end of the season you will be left with a handfull of the "top-10" teams that are in processed of being chased - in other words those plays are left in LOSING status on the final day of the season.  Therefore, you will have a good handfull of losing units on the final day that you cannot chase forward to get the win that you need.

    That is an obvious flaw, but the one that concerns me more is that OVER TIME, chase systems will always come back to bite you.  I'd hate to follow this for a 7 month season just for one team to jump up and bite you in the ass.  You are starting with 200+ units trying to win about 100 units on the year.  Thats a 50% gain in simple terms - not bad if investing in wall street, but not great returns in the game of sports wagering.  A theoretical 50% gain with the risk of losing 100%

    Considering the bankroll needed to begin, the time invested, and the chance of losing it all - this system does not make much sence to me

    Not here to bash your system, but trying to boil it down to the risk/reward

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    Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



    yes pretty much...i hoped on late and its been money, but you have to be prepared to chase if necessary..

     

    OK with that being the premise of the system, I see a problem.  It is conceivable and actually quite likely that at the end of the season you will be left with a handfull of the "top-10" teams that are in processed of being chased - in other words those plays are left in LOSING status on the final day of the season.  Therefore, you will have a good handfull of losing units on the final day that you cannot chase forward to get the win that you need.

    That is an obvious flaw, but the one that concerns me more is that OVER TIME, chase systems will always come back to bite you.  I'd hate to follow this for a 7 month season just for one team to jump up and bite you in the ass.  You are starting with 200+ units trying to win about 100 units on the year.  Thats a 50% gain in simple terms - not bad if investing in wall street, but not great returns in the game of sports wagering.  A theoretical 50% gain with the risk of losing 100%

    Considering the bankroll needed to begin, the time invested, and the chance of losing it all - this system does not make much sence to me

    Not here to bash your system, but trying to boil it down to the risk/reward

     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 2:43 PM ET #245

    sorry i can't explain everything because i'm posting from my phone but i would suggest you read the whole thread. It is highly unlikely you will be chasing all ten teams at once and 2 you only play a team that is on a six game home stand. So if there not playing 6 in a row then its a no play. I didn't start this thread i just follow it. No team on the list has lost 6 straight yet. Think the record is 70- 0 or something. Its been profitable for me
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    sorry i can't explain everything because i'm posting from my phone but i would suggest you read the whole thread. It is highly unlikely you will be chasing all ten teams at once and 2 you only play a team that is on a six game home stand. So if there not playing 6 in a row then its a no play. I didn't start this thread i just follow it. No team on the list has lost 6 straight yet. Think the record is 70- 0 or something. Its been profitable for me
     
    willwrig
    willwrig
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    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 671
    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 4:57 PM ET #246

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    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 10:03 PM ET #247

    system plays:

    NNY gm1 (pending)

    Det gm1

    Bonus Play:
    Phils gm1



    i started the system late but since i started im 8-0 (+8 units)

    gm 1s  4-0

    gm 2s 2-0

    gm 3s 2-0


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    system plays:

    NNY gm1 (pending)

    Det gm1

    Bonus Play:
    Phils gm1



    i started the system late but since i started im 8-0 (+8 units)

    gm 1s  4-0

    gm 2s 2-0

    gm 3s 2-0


     
    sportsgirl22
    sportsgirl22
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    Posts: 534
    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 11:03 PM ET #248

    great job....3 for 3 today......any for tomorrow milkman?
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    great job....3 for 3 today......any for tomorrow milkman?
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 5130
    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 11:16 PM ET #249

    NNY gm1

    Det gm1

    Bonus Play:
    Phils gm1



    i started the system late but since i started im 9-0 (+9 units)

    gm 1s  5-0

    gm 2s 2-0
    Submit
    gm 3s 2-0
    Reply
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    NNY gm1

    Det gm1

    Bonus Play:
    Phils gm1



    i started the system late but since i started im 9-0 (+9 units)

    gm 1s  5-0

    gm 2s 2-0
    Submit
    gm 3s 2-0
     
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 5130
    Posted: Sep. 20, 2010 - 11:17 PM ET #250

    Quote Originally Posted by sportsgirl22:

    great job....3 for 3 today......any for tomorrow milkman?



    Not that i see, think it may be till thursday or friday till the next play...
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsgirl22:

    great job....3 for 3 today......any for tomorrow milkman?



    Not that i see, think it may be till thursday or friday till the next play...
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